The following are the pre-season ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams for 2001, including one team new to Division 1-A but not to my ratings: South Florida; and one team new to the ratings that will be playing a Division 1-A schedule for the first time in 2001: Troy State. These ratings are calculated as of information available July 13, 2001, and are final unless there's a coaching change between now and the beginning of the season.
These power ratings are computed using the following factors: Previous year's power rating; second previous year's power rating; number of returning starters; previous year's strength of schedule; whether the coach is returning; whether the starting quarterback is returning, and recruiting. The strength of each factor varies each year based on what has happened in the three previous years.
Click here to see the factors used to calculate this year's preseason power ratings.
Click here to see two sets of projected records for each team.
Click here to see strength of schedule, both overall and non-conference, for each team.
The estimated home field advantage for 2001 will be .611, or about 5.92 points for an average game.
The next update will come after the pre-season "classics" in the last week of August.
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2001 | 2000 | Team | 2000 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 8 | Florida | 10 - 3 | 0.832 |
2 | 1 | Oklahoma | 13 - 0 | 0.824 |
3 | 3 | Miami, Florida | 11 - 1 | 0.824 |
4 | 4 | Virginia Tech | 11 - 1 | 0.823 |
5 | 5 | Nebraska | 10 - 2 | 0.810 |
6 | 2 | Florida St. | 11 - 2 | 0.804 |
7 | 19 | Tennessee | 8 - 4 | 0.770 |
8 | 15 | Texas | 9 - 3 | 0.767 |
9 | 17 | Georgia Tech | 9 - 3 | 0.767 |
10 | 11 | Michigan | 9 - 3 | 0.734 |
11 | 9 | Kansas St. | 11 - 3 | 0.720 |
12 | 13 | Notre Dame | 9 - 3 | 0.715 |
13 | 10 | Oregon | 10 - 2 | 0.710 |
14 | 6 | Washington | 11 - 1 | 0.700 |
15 | 44 | Stanford | 5 - 6 | 0.698 |
16 | 23 | Purdue | 8 - 4 | 0.694 |
17 | 30 | Louisiana St. | 8 - 4 | 0.692 |
18 | 24 | Mississippi St. | 8 - 4 | 0.688 |
19 | 7 | Oregon St. | 11 - 1 | 0.678 |
20 | 36 | UCLA | 6 - 6 | 0.675 |
21 | 20 | Wisconsin | 9 - 4 | 0.675 |
22 | 28 | Southern Mississippi | 8 - 4 | 0.675 |
23 | 33 | East Carolina | 8 - 4 | 0.674 |
24 | 62 | Colorado | 3 - 8 | 0.662 |
25 | 18 | Clemson | 9 - 3 | 0.660 |
26 | 27 | Texas A&M | 7 - 5 | 0.658 |
27 | 55 | Arkansas | 6 - 6 | 0.649 |
28 | 49 | Michigan St. | 5 - 6 | 0.648 |
29 | 21 | Georgia | 8 - 4 | 0.637 |
30 | 22 | South Carolina | 8 - 4 | 0.635 |
31 | 31 | Northwestern | 8 - 4 | 0.635 |
32 | 35 | Syracuse | 6 - 5 | 0.626 |
33 | 32 | Louisville | 9 - 3 | 0.623 |
34 | 16 | Ohio St. | 8 - 4 | 0.622 |
35 | 59 | Illinois | 5 - 6 | 0.614 |
36 | 41 | Pittsburgh | 7 - 5 | 0.612 |
37 | 78 | Temple | 4 - 7 | 0.606 |
38 | 66 | Alabama | 3 - 8 | 0.605 |
39 | 46 | North Carolina St. | 8 - 4 | 0.594 |
40 | 14 | Toledo | 10 - 1 | 0.593 |
41 | 29 | Auburn | 9 - 4 | 0.590 |
42 | 52 | Southern California | 5 - 7 | 0.587 |
43 | 71 | California | 3 - 8 | 0.578 |
44 | 38 | Boston College | 7 - 5 | 0.575 |
45 | 70 | Washington St. | 4 - 7 | 0.574 |
46 | 43 | Arizona St. | 6 - 6 | 0.572 |
47 | 50 | Fresno St. | 7 - 5 | 0.570 |
48 | 53 | AL-Birmingham | 7 - 4 | 0.566 |
49 | 57 | Marshall | 8 - 5 | 0.565 |
50 | 89 | San Diego St. | 3 - 8 | 0.562 |
51 | 51 | Minnesota | 6 - 6 | 0.555 |
52 | 26 | Colorado St. | 10 - 2 | 0.554 |
53 | 25 | Western Michigan | 9 - 3 | 0.550 |
54 | 40 | Arizona | 5 - 6 | 0.544 |
55 | 65 | Penn State | 5 - 7 | 0.539 |
56 | 48 | Texas Tech | 7 - 6 | 0.530 |
57 | 45 | Mississippi | 7 - 5 | 0.524 |
58 | 74 | Indiana | 3 - 8 | 0.519 |
59 | 12 | Texas Christian | 10 - 2 | 0.518 |
60 | 39 | West Virginia | 7 - 5 | 0.507 |
61 | 80 | Iowa | 3 - 9 | 0.506 |
62 | 56 | North Carolina | 6 - 5 | 0.505 |
63 | 91 | Rice | 3 - 8 | 0.503 |
64 | 67 | Brigham Young | 6 - 6 | 0.487 |
65 | 60 | Ohio | 7 - 4 | 0.480 |
66 | 69 | Maryland | 5 - 6 | 0.478 |
67 | 97 | Louisiana Tech | 3 - 9 | 0.464 |
68 | 73 | Utah | 4 - 7 | 0.463 |
69 | 86 | Vanderbilt | 3 - 8 | 0.463 |
70 | 34 | Iowa St. | 9 - 3 | 0.455 |
71 | 101 | Wake Forest | 2 - 9 | 0.455 |
72 | 84 | Kentucky | 2 - 9 | 0.454 |
73 | 54 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 8 - 5 | 0.453 |
74 | 64 | Virginia | 6 - 6 | 0.448 |
75 | 82 | Missouri | 3 - 8 | 0.446 |
76 | 63 | Northern Illinois | 6 - 5 | 0.437 |
77 | 47 | Texas-El Paso | 8 - 4 | 0.428 |
78 | 87 | Memphis | 4 - 7 | 0.428 |
79 | 61 | Central Florida | 7 - 4 | 0.420 |
80 | 77 | New Mexico | 5 - 7 | 0.418 |
81 | 72 | Kansas | 4 - 7 | 0.410 |
82 | 68 | San Jose St. | 7 - 5 | 0.402 |
83 | 88 | Oklahoma St. | 3 - 8 | 0.401 |
84 | 98 | Hawaii | 3 - 9 | 0.401 |
85 | 37 | Boise State | 10 - 2 | 0.399 |
86 | 58 | Cincinnati | 7 - 5 | 0.395 |
87 | 75 | Tulane | 6 - 5 | 0.389 |
88 | 92 | Utah St. | 5 - 6 | 0.389 |
89 | 76 | Middle Tennessee St. | 6 - 5 | 0.385 |
90 | 90 | Tulsa | 5 - 7 | 0.376 |
91 | 79 | Akron | 6 - 5 | 0.372 |
92 | 95 | Houston | 3 - 8 | 0.360 |
93 | 85 | Idaho | 5 - 6 | 0.357 |
94 | 94 | Ball St. | 5 - 6 | 0.357 |
95 | 42 | Air Force | 9 - 3 | 0.357 |
96 | 102 | Southern Methodist | 3 - 9 | 0.351 |
97 | 81 | Miami, Ohio | 6 - 5 | 0.350 |
98 | 103 | Bowling Green | 2 - 9 | 0.346 |
99 | 109 | Nevada | 2 - 10 | 0.339 |
100 | 96 | New Mexico St. | 3 - 8 | 0.329 |
101 | 112 | Central Michigan | 2 - 9 | 0.304 |
102 | 113 | Duke | 0 - 11 | 0.292 |
103 | 104 | Army | 1 - 10 | 0.288 |
104 | 111 | Wyoming | 1 - 10 | 0.276 |
105 | Troy St. | 9 - 3 | 0.270 | |
106 | 110 | Connecticut | 3 - 8 | 0.267 |
107 | 100 | Baylor | 2 - 9 | 0.264 |
108 | 83 | South Florida | 7 - 4 | 0.252 |
109 | 99 | Eastern Michigan | 3 - 8 | 0.241 |
110 | 105 | Wild Card U. | 15 - 41 | 0.240 |
111 | 93 | Rutgers | 3 - 8 | 0.238 |
112 | 106 | North Texas | 3 - 8 | 0.232 |
113 | 108 | Navy | 1 - 10 | 0.222 |
114 | 117 | LA-Monroe | 1 - 10 | 0.206 |
115 | 116 | LA-Lafayette | 1 - 10 | 0.201 |
116 | 107 | Arkansas St. | 1 - 10 | 0.179 |
117 | 115 | Kent | 1 - 10 | 0.174 |
118 | 114 | Buffalo | 2 - 9 | 0.124 |
The following are the ARGH 2001 preseason power ratings for the various conferences:
Conference | Power Rating |
---|---|
Pac-10 | .632 |
SEC | .628 |
Big Ten | .613 |
Big East | .601 |
Big Twelve | .579 |
ACC | .556 |
Conference USA | .492 |
Mountain West | .446 |
WAC | .423 |
MAC | .376 |
Independents | .362 |
Sun Belt | .270 |