The following are the preliminary pre-season ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams for 2002. These ratings are calculated as of information and estimates available March 19, 2001, and are not final. The final pre-season ratings will be released in July.
These power ratings are computed using the following factors: Previous year's power rating; second previous year's power rating; number of returning starters (estimated); previous year's strength of schedule; whether the coach is returning; and whether the starting quarterback is returning. The strength of each factor varies each year based on what has happened in the three previous years. These preliminary pre-season power ratings also include a factor for recruiting, based on rankings found on CBS Sportsline.com.
Final preseason ratings will be adjusted based on recruiting rankings found in Athlon and returning starters to be found in several publications to be determined.
For more information on the methodology of the pre-season power ratings, click here.
The estimated home field advantage for 2001 will be .592, or about 5.07 points for an average game.
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2002 | 2001 | Team | 2001 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Miami, Florida | 12 - 0 | 0.895 |
2 | 6 | Oklahoma | 11 - 2 | 0.845 |
3 | 3 | Texas | 11 - 2 | 0.829 |
4 | 14 | Florida St. | 8 - 4 | 0.828 |
5 | 2 | Florida | 10 - 2 | 0.795 |
6 | 4 | Tennessee | 11 - 2 | 0.781 |
7 | 5 | Nebraska | 11 - 2 | 0.772 |
8 | 7 | Oregon | 11 - 1 | 0.755 |
9 | 20 | Michigan | 8 - 4 | 0.751 |
10 | 23 | Georgia | 8 - 4 | 0.751 |
11 | 33 | Washington | 8 - 4 | 0.749 |
12 | 34 | Texas A&M | 8 - 4 | 0.740 |
13 | 15 | Virginia Tech | 8 - 4 | 0.734 |
14 | 19 | UCLA | 7 - 4 | 0.729 |
15 | 40 | Auburn | 7 - 5 | 0.711 |
16 | 17 | Louisville | 11 - 2 | 0.711 |
17 | 25 | Boston College | 8 - 4 | 0.706 |
18 | 54 | Purdue | 6 - 6 | 0.689 |
19 | 8 | Colorado | 10 - 3 | 0.680 |
20 | 32 | Southern California | 6 - 6 | 0.673 |
21 | 35 | Ohio St. | 7 - 5 | 0.666 |
22 | 13 | Washington St. | 10 - 2 | 0.663 |
23 | 9 | Louisiana St. | 10 - 3 | 0.655 |
24 | 36 | Arkansas | 7 - 5 | 0.654 |
25 | 49 | Boise State | 8 - 4 | 0.639 |
26 | 27 | Alabama | 7 - 5 | 0.632 |
27 | 10 | Syracuse | 10 - 3 | 0.631 |
28 | 18 | South Carolina | 9 - 3 | 0.629 |
29 | 12 | Maryland | 10 - 2 | 0.629 |
30 | 11 | Illinois | 10 - 2 | 0.627 |
31 | 43 | North Carolina St. | 7 - 5 | 0.622 |
32 | 55 | Oregon St. | 5 - 6 | 0.622 |
33 | 41 | Iowa St. | 7 - 5 | 0.619 |
34 | 22 | Kansas St. | 6 - 6 | 0.619 |
35 | 39 | Michigan St. | 7 - 5 | 0.618 |
36 | 31 | Texas Tech | 7 - 5 | 0.617 |
37 | 30 | Georgia Tech | 8 - 5 | 0.611 |
38 | 37 | Marshall | 11 - 2 | 0.605 |
39 | 47 | Mississippi | 7 - 4 | 0.602 |
40 | 50 | Penn State | 5 - 6 | 0.601 |
41 | 38 | Pittsburgh | 7 - 5 | 0.591 |
42 | 26 | Fresno St. | 11 - 3 | 0.589 |
43 | 21 | North Carolina | 8 - 5 | 0.584 |
44 | 60 | Wisconsin | 5 - 7 | 0.578 |
45 | 57 | South Florida | 8 - 3 | 0.575 |
46 | 73 | Texas Christian | 6 - 6 | 0.573 |
47 | 51 | Southern Mississippi | 6 - 5 | 0.573 |
48 | 46 | Notre Dame | 5 - 6 | 0.568 |
49 | 53 | Colorado St. | 7 - 5 | 0.561 |
50 | 44 | Clemson | 7 - 5 | 0.553 |
51 | 45 | Toledo | 10 - 2 | 0.549 |
52 | 28 | Utah | 8 - 4 | 0.533 |
53 | 48 | Hawaii | 9 - 3 | 0.529 |
54 | 29 | Iowa | 7 - 5 | 0.526 |
55 | 81 | Mississippi St. | 3 - 8 | 0.525 |
56 | 65 | Arizona St. | 4 - 7 | 0.525 |
57 | 62 | Miami, Ohio | 7 - 5 | 0.516 |
58 | 52 | Indiana | 5 - 6 | 0.513 |
59 | 76 | Troy St. | 7 - 4 | 0.510 |
60 | 77 | Northern Illinois | 6 - 5 | 0.502 |
61 | 24 | Brigham Young | 12 - 2 | 0.502 |
62 | 100 | California | 1 - 10 | 0.495 |
63 | 59 | Wake Forest | 6 - 5 | 0.492 |
64 | 58 | East Carolina | 6 - 6 | 0.490 |
65 | 67 | Oklahoma St. | 4 - 7 | 0.486 |
66 | 56 | Central Florida | 6 - 5 | 0.484 |
67 | 42 | Bowling Green | 8 - 3 | 0.480 |
68 | 69 | Arizona | 5 - 6 | 0.475 |
69 | 71 | Cincinnati | 7 - 5 | 0.473 |
70 | 66 | Middle Tennessee St. | 8 - 3 | 0.470 |
71 | 74 | Memphis | 5 - 6 | 0.462 |
72 | 88 | North Texas | 5 - 7 | 0.461 |
73 | 61 | Louisiana Tech | 7 - 5 | 0.453 |
74 | 64 | New Mexico | 6 - 5 | 0.453 |
75 | 75 | Virginia | 5 - 7 | 0.453 |
76 | 78 | Missouri | 4 - 7 | 0.453 |
77 | 80 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 4 - 7 | 0.450 |
78 | 72 | Northwestern | 4 - 7 | 0.442 |
79 | 79 | West Virginia | 3 - 8 | 0.438 |
80 | 86 | Utah St. | 4 - 7 | 0.422 |
81 | 68 | Minnesota | 4 - 7 | 0.420 |
82 | 85 | Kentucky | 2 - 9 | 0.398 |
83 | 82 | Western Michigan | 5 - 6 | 0.395 |
84 | 91 | Southern Methodist | 4 - 7 | 0.392 |
85 | 16 | Stanford | 9 - 3 | 0.392 |
86 | 63 | AL-Birmingham | 6 - 5 | 0.384 |
87 | 93 | Baylor | 3 - 8 | 0.380 |
88 | 87 | Temple | 4 - 7 | 0.369 |
89 | 96 | Nevada | 3 - 8 | 0.368 |
90 | 98 | Tulane | 3 - 9 | 0.362 |
91 | 106 | Texas-El Paso | 2 - 9 | 0.350 |
92 | 90 | Akron | 4 - 7 | 0.345 |
93 | 89 | Kansas | 3 - 8 | 0.341 |
94 | 70 | Rice | 8 - 4 | 0.337 |
95 | 92 | Ball St. | 5 - 6 | 0.328 |
96 | 101 | Central Michigan | 3 - 8 | 0.328 |
97 | 97 | Vanderbilt | 2 - 9 | 0.326 |
98 | 111 | Tulsa | 1 - 10 | 0.310 |
99 | 84 | Kent | 6 - 5 | 0.307 |
100 | 83 | Air Force | 6 - 6 | 0.307 |
101 | 104 | Ohio | 1 - 10 | 0.301 |
102 | 99 | San Diego St. | 3 - 8 | 0.270 |
103 | 115 | Houston | 0 - 11 | 0.268 |
104 | 94 | New Mexico St. | 5 - 7 | 0.267 |
105 | 95 | San Jose St. | 3 - 9 | 0.264 |
106 | 110 | Duke | 0 - 11 | 0.263 |
107 | 112 | Idaho | 1 - 10 | 0.259 |
108 | 102 | Wyoming | 2 - 9 | 0.248 |
109 | 113 | Connecticut | 2 - 9 | 0.246 |
110 | 108 | Rutgers | 2 - 9 | 0.238 |
111 | 107 | LA-Lafayette | 3 - 8 | 0.233 |
112 | 116 | LA-Monroe | 2 - 9 | 0.229 |
113 | 105 | Buffalo | 3 - 8 | 0.227 |
114 | 109 | Wild Card U. | 8 - 49 | 0.215 |
115 | 114 | Eastern Michigan | 2 - 9 | 0.210 |
116 | 118 | Arkansas St. | 2 - 9 | 0.206 |
117 | 103 | Army | 3 - 8 | 0.204 |
118 | 117 | Navy | 0 - 10 | 0.142 |
The following are the 2002 preliminary preseason power ratings for the various conferences:
Conference | Power Rating |
---|---|
SEC | .622 |
Big Twelve | .615 |
Pac-10 | .608 |
Big Ten | .585 |
Big East | .575 |
ACC | .559 |
Conference USA | .450 |
WAC | .423 |
Mountain West | .416 |
Independents | .411 |
MAC | .398 |
Sun Belt | .304 |