The following are the final pre-season ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams for 2002.
These power ratings are computed using the following factors: Previous year's power rating; second previous year's power rating; number of returning starters; previous year's strength of schedule; whether the coach is returning; and whether the starting quarterback is returning. The strength of each factor varies each year based on what has happened in the three previous years.
Click here to see two sets of projected records for each team.
Click here to see strength of schedule, both overall and non-conference, for each team.
For more information on the methodology of the pre-season power ratings, click here.
The estimated home field advantage for 2002 will be .592, or about 5.07 points for an average game.
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2002 | 2001 | Team | 2001 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Miami, Florida | 12 - 0 | 0.893 |
2 | 6 | Oklahoma | 11 - 2 | 0.844 |
3 | 3 | Texas | 11 - 2 | 0.827 |
4 | 14 | Florida St. | 8 - 4 | 0.813 |
5 | 4 | Tennessee | 11 - 2 | 0.790 |
6 | 5 | Nebraska | 11 - 2 | 0.765 |
7 | 2 | Florida | 10 - 2 | 0.761 |
8 | 7 | Oregon | 11 - 1 | 0.750 |
9 | 20 | Michigan | 8 - 4 | 0.748 |
10 | 8 | Colorado | 10 - 3 | 0.747 |
11 | 34 | Texas A&M | 8 - 4 | 0.738 |
12 | 25 | Boston College | 8 - 4 | 0.734 |
13 | 33 | Washington | 8 - 4 | 0.733 |
14 | 31 | Texas Tech | 7 - 5 | 0.726 |
15 | 15 | Virginia Tech | 8 - 4 | 0.721 |
16 | 23 | Georgia | 8 - 4 | 0.717 |
17 | 9 | Louisiana St. | 10 - 3 | 0.717 |
18 | 27 | Alabama | 7 - 5 | 0.716 |
19 | 17 | Louisville | 11 - 2 | 0.716 |
20 | 22 | Kansas St. | 6 - 6 | 0.712 |
21 | 19 | UCLA | 7 - 4 | 0.692 |
22 | 40 | Auburn | 7 - 5 | 0.669 |
23 | 32 | Southern California | 6 - 6 | 0.669 |
24 | 11 | Illinois | 10 - 2 | 0.663 |
25 | 46 | Notre Dame | 5 - 6 | 0.656 |
26 | 12 | Maryland | 10 - 2 | 0.650 |
27 | 55 | Oregon St. | 5 - 6 | 0.650 |
28 | 35 | Ohio St. | 7 - 5 | 0.643 |
29 | 10 | Syracuse | 10 - 3 | 0.642 |
30 | 13 | Washington St. | 10 - 2 | 0.642 |
31 | 50 | Penn State | 5 - 6 | 0.635 |
32 | 41 | Iowa St. | 7 - 5 | 0.633 |
33 | 39 | Michigan St. | 7 - 5 | 0.629 |
34 | 37 | Marshall | 11 - 2 | 0.628 |
35 | 51 | Southern Mississippi | 6 - 5 | 0.628 |
36 | 18 | South Carolina | 9 - 3 | 0.627 |
37 | 21 | Fresno St. | 11 - 3 | 0.627 |
38 | 30 | Georgia Tech | 8 - 5 | 0.620 |
39 | 38 | Pittsburgh | 7 - 5 | 0.612 |
40 | 36 | Arkansas | 7 - 5 | 0.610 |
41 | 54 | Purdue | 6 - 6 | 0.606 |
42 | 43 | Mississippi | 7 - 4 | 0.605 |
43 | 47 | North Carolina St. | 7 - 5 | 0.605 |
44 | 44 | Clemson | 7 - 5 | 0.599 |
45 | 60 | Wisconsin | 5 - 7 | 0.593 |
46 | 69 | Arizona | 5 - 6 | 0.579 |
47 | 49 | Boise State | 8 - 4 | 0.578 |
48 | 29 | Iowa | 7 - 5 | 0.578 |
49 | 67 | Oklahoma St. | 4 - 7 | 0.574 |
50 | 28 | Utah | 8 - 4 | 0.568 |
51 | 53 | Colorado St. | 7 - 5 | 0.557 |
52 | 81 | Mississippi St. | 3 - 8 | 0.551 |
53 | 26 | North Carolina | 8 - 5 | 0.545 |
54 | 24 | Brigham Young | 12 - 2 | 0.538 |
55 | 57 | South Florida | 8 - 3 | 0.533 |
56 | 68 | Minnesota | 4 - 7 | 0.526 |
57 | 59 | Wake Forest | 6 - 5 | 0.521 |
58 | 16 | Stanford | 9 - 3 | 0.519 |
59 | 87 | Temple | 4 - 7 | 0.518 |
60 | 71 | Cincinnati | 7 - 5 | 0.512 |
61 | 73 | Texas Christian | 6 - 6 | 0.509 |
62 | 74 | Memphis | 5 - 6 | 0.507 |
63 | 75 | Virginia | 5 - 7 | 0.505 |
64 | 61 | Louisiana Tech | 7 - 5 | 0.493 |
65 | 78 | Missouri | 4 - 7 | 0.492 |
66 | 65 | Arizona St. | 4 - 7 | 0.491 |
67 | 58 | East Carolina | 6 - 6 | 0.486 |
68 | 62 | Miami, Ohio | 7 - 5 | 0.473 |
69 | 79 | West Virginia | 3 - 8 | 0.470 |
70 | 45 | Toledo | 10 - 2 | 0.468 |
71 | 77 | Northern Illinois | 6 - 5 | 0.460 |
72 | 42 | Bowling Green | 8 - 3 | 0.457 |
73 | 88 | North Texas | 5 - 7 | 0.449 |
74 | 72 | Northwestern | 4 - 7 | 0.448 |
75 | 80 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 4 - 7 | 0.447 |
76 | 56 | Central Florida | 6 - 5 | 0.445 |
77 | 66 | Middle Tennessee St. | 8 - 3 | 0.444 |
78 | 63 | AL-Birmingham | 6 - 5 | 0.442 |
79 | 76 | Troy St. | 7 - 4 | 0.442 |
80 | 64 | New Mexico | 6 - 5 | 0.430 |
81 | 52 | Indiana | 5 - 6 | 0.428 |
82 | 48 | Hawaii | 9 - 3 | 0.423 |
83 | 82 | Western Michigan | 5 - 6 | 0.409 |
84 | 86 | Utah St. | 4 - 7 | 0.401 |
85 | 98 | Tulane | 3 - 9 | 0.385 |
86 | 92 | Ball St. | 5 - 6 | 0.383 |
87 | 100 | California | 1 - 10 | 0.378 |
88 | 85 | Kentucky | 2 - 9 | 0.374 |
89 | 93 | Baylor | 3 - 8 | 0.367 |
90 | 96 | Nevada | 3 - 8 | 0.353 |
91 | 70 | Rice | 8 - 4 | 0.336 |
92 | 101 | Central Michigan | 3 - 8 | 0.334 |
93 | 106 | Texas-El Paso | 2 - 9 | 0.333 |
94 | 108 | Rutgers | 2 - 9 | 0.331 |
95 | 83 | Air Force | 6 - 6 | 0.325 |
96 | 84 | Kent | 6 - 5 | 0.321 |
97 | 89 | Kansas | 3 - 8 | 0.317 |
98 | 102 | Wyoming | 2 - 9 | 0.315 |
99 | 90 | Akron | 4 - 7 | 0.307 |
100 | 95 | San Jose St. | 3 - 9 | 0.297 |
101 | 113 | Connecticut | 2 - 9 | 0.291 |
102 | 112 | Idaho | 1 - 10 | 0.281 |
103 | 99 | San Diego St. | 3 - 8 | 0.279 |
104 | 97 | Vanderbilt | 2 - 9 | 0.274 |
105 | 91 | Southern Methodist | 4 - 7 | 0.259 |
106 | 111 | Tulsa | 1 - 10 | 0.258 |
107 | 104 | Ohio | 1 - 10 | 0.237 |
108 | 94 | New Mexico St. | 5 - 7 | 0.235 |
109 | 110 | Duke | 0 - 11 | 0.233 |
110 | 115 | Houston | 0 - 11 | 0.209 |
111 | 109 | Wild Card U. | 8 - 49 | 0.204 |
112 | 118 | Arkansas St. | 2 - 9 | 0.194 |
113 | 107 | LA-Lafayette | 3 - 8 | 0.190 |
114 | 116 | LA-Monroe | 2 - 9 | 0.190 |
115 | 103 | Army | 3 - 8 | 0.189 |
116 | 105 | Buffalo | 3 - 8 | 0.186 |
117 | 114 | Eastern Michigan | 2 - 9 | 0.183 |
118 | 117 | Navy | 0 - 10 | 0.140 |
The following are the 2002 preliminary preseason power ratings for the various conferences:
Conference | Power Rating |
---|---|
Big Twelve | .645 |
SEC | .618 |
Big East | .615 |
Pac-10 | .610 |
Big Ten | .591 |
ACC | .566 |
Conference USA | .458 |
Mountain West | .432 |
Independents | .410 |
WAC | .396 |
MAC | .378 |
Sun Belt | .283 |