ARGH Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams as of September 3, 2002. The power rating represents the chance the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team at a neutral site.

The estimated home field advantage is .593, or about 5.07 points for an average game.

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This WeekLast Week Team Record Power Rating
1 1 Miami, Florida 1 - 0 0.852
2 2 Oklahoma 1 - 0 0.828
3 4 Florida St. 2 - 0 0.821
4 3 Texas 1 - 0 0.820
5 5 Tennessee 1 - 0 0.784
6 6 Nebraska 2 - 0 0.783
7 7 Florida 1 - 0 0.763
8 19 Virginia Tech 2 - 0 0.757
9 8 Oregon 1 - 0 0.755
10 9 Michigan 1 - 0 0.751
11 11 Texas A&M 1 - 0 0.723
12 14 Georgia 1 - 0 0.718
13 12 Boston College 1 - 0 0.717
14 16 Alabama 1 - 0 0.709
15 13 Washington 0 - 1 0.707
16 10 Colorado 0 - 1 0.705
17 26 Notre Dame 1 - 0 0.693
18 20 UCLA 0 - 0 0.692
19 18 Kansas St. 1 - 0 0.689
20 49 Colorado St. 2 - 0 0.687
21 24 Southern California 1 - 0 0.686
22 21 Texas Tech 0 - 1 0.682
23 41 Wisconsin 2 - 0 0.682
24 22 Ohio St. 1 - 0 0.675
25 15 Louisiana St. 0 - 1 0.669
26 36 Iowa St. 1 - 1 0.666
27 30 Washington St. 1 - 0 0.657
28 17 Louisville 0 - 1 0.652
29 23 Auburn 0 - 1 0.642
30 31 Penn State 1 - 0 0.636
31 28 Oregon St. 1 - 0 0.634
32 32 Michigan St. 1 - 0 0.626
33 37 Georgia Tech 1 - 0 0.624
34 38 North Carolina St. 2 - 0 0.620
35 25 Illinois 0 - 1 0.620
36 34 Southern Mississippi 1 - 0 0.616
37 35 South Carolina 1 - 0 0.616
38 33 Marshall 1 - 0 0.613
39 27 Maryland 0 - 1 0.612
40 40 Arkansas 0 - 0 0.610
41 39 Pittsburgh 1 - 0 0.607
42 29 Mississippi 1 - 0 0.606
43 43 Syracuse 0 - 1 0.604
44 51 Utah 1 - 0 0.597
45 42 Purdue 1 - 0 0.596
46 45 Clemson 0 - 1 0.590
47 44 Fresno St. 1 - 1 0.590
48 48 Iowa 1 - 0 0.587
49 47 Boise State 1 - 0 0.582
50 54 Brigham Young 1 - 0 0.578
51 46 Arizona 1 - 0 0.575
52 50 Oklahoma St. 0 - 1 0.551
53 64 Missouri 1 - 0 0.544
54 52 Mississippi St. 0 - 1 0.538
55 60 Cincinnati 1 - 0 0.538
56 55 South Florida 1 - 0 0.535
57 56 Minnesota 1 - 0 0.529
58 63 Louisiana Tech 1 - 0 0.529
59 59 Temple 1 - 0 0.521
60 58 Stanford 0 - 0 0.519
61 62 Memphis 1 - 0 0.514
62 68 Miami, Ohio 1 - 0 0.513
63 53 North Carolina 0 - 1 0.512
64 57 Wake Forest 0 - 1 0.504
65 66 Virginia 0 - 2 0.498
66 61 Texas Christian 0 - 1 0.494
67 71 Northern Illinois 1 - 0 0.487
68 67 Arizona St. 1 - 1 0.485
69 69 West Virginia 1 - 0 0.483
70 70 Toledo 1 - 0 0.477
71 72 Bowling Green 1 - 0 0.471
72 77 Middle Tennessee St. 0 - 1 0.456
73 73 North Texas 0 - 1 0.452
74 79 Troy St. 0 - 1 0.449
75 76 Central Florida 0 - 1 0.448
76 65 East Carolina 0 - 1 0.444
77 88 Kentucky 1 - 0 0.442
78 78 AL-Birmingham 0 - 1 0.440
79 80 Indiana 1 - 0 0.436
80 81 Hawaii 1 - 0 0.434
81 75 Nevada-Las Vegas 0 - 1 0.432
82 83 Western Michigan 1 - 0 0.429
83 87 California 1 - 0 0.417
84 74 Northwestern 0 - 1 0.407
85 82 New Mexico 1 - 1 0.406
86 85 Tulane 1 - 0 0.405
87 86 Ball St. 0 - 0 0.383
88 84 Utah St. 0 - 1 0.381
89 95 Air Force 1 - 0 0.380
90 92 Central Michigan 1 - 0 0.368
91 93 Texas-El Paso 1 - 0 0.367
92 96 Kent 1 - 0 0.358
93 90 Nevada 0 - 1 0.353
94 100 San Jose St. 1 - 0 0.350
95 89 Baylor 0 - 1 0.342
96 98 Wyoming 0 - 1 0.329
97 97 Kansas 0 - 1 0.328
98 101 Connecticut 0 - 1 0.315
99 99 Akron 0 - 1 0.308
100 103 San Diego St. 0 - 1 0.305
101 91 Rice 0 - 1 0.300
102 94 Rutgers 0 - 1 0.296
103 109 Duke 1 - 0 0.294
104 102 Idaho 0 - 1 0.291
105 104 Vanderbilt 0 - 1 0.278
106 111 Houston 1 - 0 0.277
107 106 Tulsa 0 - 1 0.275
108 108 New Mexico St. 0 - 1 0.257
109 107 Ohio 0 - 1 0.253
110 105 Southern Methodist 0 - 1 0.230
111 118 Navy 1 - 0 0.218
112 113 LA-Lafayette 0 - 1 0.213
113 114 LA-Monroe 0 - 1 0.204
114 117 Eastern Michigan 0 - 1 0.199
115 110 Arkansas St. 0 - 2 0.199
116 115 Army 0 - 0 0.189
117 116 Buffalo 0 - 1 0.187
118 112 Wild Card U. 2 - 24 0.166

The following are the power ratings and non-conference records for the various conferences:

Conference Record Power Rating
Big Twelve 7-5 .638
SEC 7-4 .614
Pac-10 7-2 .613
Big East 7-2 .604
Big Ten 10-2 .595
ACC 5-5 .564
Mountain West 6-4.464
Conference USA 4-3.457
Independents 3-3 .431
WAC 6-5 .401
MAC 8-5 .392
Sun Belt 0-8 .296

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