ARGH Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams as of September 15, 2002. The power rating represents the chance the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team at a neutral site.

The estimated home field advantage is .591, or about 5.02 points for an average game.

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This WeekLast Week Team Record Power Rating
1 4 Florida St. 3 - 0 0.853
2 1 Miami, Florida 3 - 0 0.848
3 2 Oklahoma 3 - 0 0.839
4 5 Texas 2 - 0 0.819
5 9 Notre Dame 3 - 0 0.797
6 6 Tennessee 2 - 0 0.794
7 11 Virginia Tech 3 - 0 0.787
8 7 Oregon 3 - 0 0.777
9 20 Ohio St. 3 - 0 0.770
10 23 Southern California 2 - 0 0.753
11 12 Wisconsin 4 - 0 0.752
12 15 Georgia 2 - 0 0.749
13 16 UCLA 2 - 0 0.741
14 8 Michigan 2 - 1 0.741
15 10 Texas A&M 2 - 0 0.734
16 3 Nebraska 3 - 1 0.723
17 25 Oregon St. 3 - 0 0.721
18 13 Boston College 2 - 0 0.714
19 32 North Carolina St. 4 - 0 0.714
20 28 Iowa St. 3 - 1 0.710
21 39 Penn State 2 - 0 0.710
22 37 Arkansas 2 - 0 0.706
23 24 Colorado St. 3 - 1 0.703
24 27 Southern Mississippi 3 - 0 0.696
25 19 Washington St. 2 - 1 0.695
26 17 Washington 1 - 1 0.691
27 22 Alabama 2 - 1 0.690
28 36 Clemson 2 - 1 0.687
29 14 Florida 2 - 1 0.687
30 40 Louisiana St. 2 - 1 0.673
31 26 Georgia Tech 2 - 1 0.669
32 34 Auburn 2 - 1 0.668
33 21 Kansas St. 3 - 0 0.662
34 42 Texas Tech 2 - 1 0.648
35 45 Purdue 2 - 1 0.630
36 48 Arizona 2 - 0 0.626
37 49 Minnesota 3 - 0 0.620
38 31 Utah 2 - 1 0.618
39 57 Kentucky 3 - 0 0.616
40 29 Louisville 1 - 2 0.615
41 30 Iowa 2 - 1 0.609
42 59 Arizona St. 3 - 1 0.591
43 50 Boise State 2 - 1 0.589
44 70 California 3 - 0 0.588
45 33 Mississippi 2 - 1 0.586
46 64 Louisiana Tech 2 - 1 0.583
47 52 Pittsburgh 2 - 1 0.582
48 47 South Florida 2 - 1 0.581
49 18 Colorado 1 - 2 0.581
50 51 Illinois 1 - 2 0.579
51 46 Fresno St. 1 - 2 0.579
52 35 Maryland 1 - 2 0.578
53 43 Marshall 1 - 1 0.578
54 67 West Virginia 2 - 1 0.573
55 38 Missouri 2 - 1 0.558
56 58 Virginia 1 - 2 0.554
57 44 Brigham Young 2 - 1 0.553
58 41 Michigan St. 2 - 1 0.549
59 66 Stanford 1 - 1 0.549
60 55 Mississippi St. 1 - 1 0.542
61 71 Bowling Green 2 - 0 0.539
62 53 South Carolina 1 - 2 0.535
63 61 Texas Christian 2 - 1 0.517
64 56 Oklahoma St. 1 - 2 0.514
65 63 Toledo 2 - 1 0.514
66 60 Cincinnati 1 - 1 0.507
67 65 Syracuse 1 - 2 0.492
68 83 Central Michigan 3 - 0 0.490
69 54 North Carolina 1 - 2 0.483
70 62 Miami, Ohio 1 - 2 0.469
71 68 Memphis 1 - 2 0.465
72 69 Wake Forest 1 - 2 0.464
73 80 Northern Illinois 1 - 2 0.463
74 73 Air Force 2 - 0 0.461
75 77 Western Michigan 1 - 2 0.456
76 74 Tulane 2 - 1 0.444
77 79 Middle Tennessee St. 0 - 2 0.443
78 82 Troy St. 1 - 2 0.435
79 81 Hawaii 1 - 1 0.433
80 76 Temple 1 - 2 0.427
81 90 New Mexico 2 - 2 0.426
82 92 Nevada 1 - 1 0.421
83 85 Central Florida 0 - 2 0.419
84 75 Nevada-Las Vegas 1 - 2 0.418
85 78 North Texas 1 - 2 0.409
86 91 Kent 2 - 1 0.396
87 86 East Carolina 1 - 2 0.392
88 72 AL-Birmingham 1 - 2 0.392
89 99 Connecticut 1 - 2 0.379
90 84 Indiana 1 - 2 0.373
91 87 San Jose St. 1 - 2 0.354
92 89 Utah St. 1 - 2 0.354
93 88 Ball St. 1 - 1 0.348
94 104 Houston 2 - 1 0.340
95 101 Kansas 1 - 2 0.329
96 95 Texas-El Paso 1 - 2 0.325
97 96 Vanderbilt 1 - 2 0.322
98 93 Baylor 1 - 2 0.321
99 94 Northwestern 1 - 2 0.313
100 102 Idaho 0 - 3 0.304
101 97 San Diego St. 0 - 3 0.297
102 103 Duke 1 - 2 0.266
103 105 Rice 0 - 2 0.266
104 100 Wyoming 0 - 3 0.265
105 98 Akron 0 - 3 0.262
106 110 New Mexico St. 0 - 2 0.261
107 108 Navy 1 - 1 0.252
108 114 Rutgers 1 - 2 0.227
109 107 Arkansas St. 1 - 3 0.226
110 109 Buffalo 1 - 2 0.214
111 106 Tulsa 0 - 3 0.211
112 117 Eastern Michigan 1 - 2 0.202
113 111 Southern Methodist 0 - 3 0.186
114 113 LA-Lafayette 0 - 3 0.181
115 116 Ohio 0 - 3 0.177
116 118 Wild Card U. 5 - 40 0.166
117 112 LA-Monroe 0 - 3 0.143
118 115 Army 0 - 2 0.137

The following are the power ratings and non-conference records for the various conferences:

Conference Record Power Rating
Pac-10 22-4 .673
SEC 20-8 .631
Big Twelve 23-11 .620
Big Ten 23-10 .604
ACC 12-8 .585
Big East 14-7 .581
Mountain West 11-12.468
Independents 9-8 .466
Conference USA 10-10.451
MAC 14-20 .395
WAC 8-17 .395
Sun Belt 2-18 .281

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