ARGH Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams as of October 6, 2002. The power rating represents the chance the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team at a neutral site.

The estimated home field advantage is .592, or about 5.06 points for an average game.

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This WeekLast Week Team Record Power Rating
1 1 Virginia Tech 5 - 0 0.888
2 2 Miami, Florida 5 - 0 0.873
3 6 Notre Dame 5 - 0 0.865
4 3 Oklahoma 5 - 0 0.857
5 4 Texas 5 - 0 0.854
6 5 Ohio St. 6 - 0 0.847
7 7 Florida St. 5 - 1 0.838
8 9 Georgia 5 - 0 0.833
9 14 Oregon 5 - 0 0.796
10 11 Iowa St. 5 - 1 0.784
11 8 Southern California 3 - 2 0.781
12 12 Michigan 4 - 1 0.769
13 20 North Carolina St. 6 - 0 0.761
14 25 Washington St. 5 - 1 0.753
15 24 Iowa 5 - 1 0.751
16 23 Louisiana St. 4 - 1 0.751
17 27 UCLA 4 - 1 0.749
18 28 Penn State 4 - 1 0.746
19 34 Air Force 5 - 0 0.741
20 10 Wisconsin 5 - 1 0.738
21 21 Auburn 4 - 1 0.714
22 15 Florida 4 - 2 0.710
23 16 Alabama 4 - 2 0.707
24 17 Kansas St. 4 - 1 0.704
25 19 Oregon St. 4 - 2 0.700
26 51 California 4 - 2 0.698
27 41 Texas Tech 4 - 2 0.697
28 13 Texas A&M 3 - 2 0.690
29 22 Colorado St. 4 - 2 0.690
30 31 Louisville 3 - 2 0.685
31 48 Maryland 4 - 2 0.685
32 33 Tennessee 4 - 1 0.681
33 32 Boston College 3 - 1 0.680
34 18 Georgia Tech 4 - 2 0.679
35 38 Pittsburgh 5 - 1 0.675
36 42 Minnesota 5 - 1 0.672
37 26 Clemson 3 - 2 0.668
38 30 Arkansas 2 - 2 0.660
39 40 Colorado 3 - 2 0.659
40 35 Southern Mississippi 4 - 1 0.657
41 37 Nebraska 4 - 2 0.645
42 47 Bowling Green 4 - 0 0.644
43 36 Kentucky 4 - 1 0.642
44 54 South Carolina 4 - 2 0.640
45 56 Mississippi 4 - 1 0.638
46 29 Washington 3 - 2 0.632
47 50 Virginia 4 - 2 0.631
48 39 Purdue 3 - 3 0.628
49 49 Marshall 3 - 1 0.626
50 55 Michigan St. 3 - 2 0.619
51 53 Boise State 4 - 1 0.606
52 44 Missouri 3 - 2 0.604
53 62 Miami, Ohio 4 - 2 0.603
54 52 Utah 2 - 3 0.592
55 61 Texas Christian 4 - 1 0.577
56 43 Arizona St. 4 - 2 0.574
57 59 South Florida 3 - 2 0.573
58 58 Toledo 3 - 2 0.569
59 67 Wake Forest 3 - 3 0.563
60 45 West Virginia 3 - 2 0.560
61 46 Arizona 3 - 2 0.556
62 68 Fresno St. 3 - 3 0.541
63 60 Brigham Young 3 - 2 0.532
64 57 Cincinnati 2 - 3 0.527
65 73 North Carolina 2 - 3 0.504
66 63 Stanford 1 - 3 0.502
67 66 Oklahoma St. 2 - 3 0.497
68 70 San Jose St. 4 - 2 0.465
69 74 Western Michigan 2 - 3 0.458
70 64 Hawaii 3 - 2 0.452
71 76 Memphis 2 - 3 0.450
72 95 New Mexico St. 2 - 3 0.444
73 72 Nevada 2 - 3 0.437
74 69 Illinois 1 - 5 0.434
75 81 Northern Illinois 3 - 3 0.434
76 77 Central Florida 1 - 3 0.428
77 65 Louisiana Tech 2 - 4 0.415
78 82 Nevada-Las Vegas 2 - 3 0.412
79 78 Indiana 2 - 3 0.409
80 71 Syracuse 1 - 4 0.408
81 88 East Carolina 2 - 3 0.402
82 75 Mississippi St. 1 - 4 0.399
83 99 Tulane 3 - 3 0.395
84 84 Northwestern 2 - 4 0.392
85 79 Central Michigan 3 - 2 0.387
86 85 Duke 2 - 4 0.376
87 94 Troy St. 2 - 4 0.375
88 93 New Mexico 2 - 4 0.369
89 97 Baylor 3 - 2 0.363
90 80 Connecticut 2 - 4 0.359
91 87 Temple 1 - 4 0.351
92 91 Houston 2 - 3 0.349
93 90 AL-Birmingham 2 - 3 0.343
94 86 Kent 2 - 4 0.340
95 96 Vanderbilt 1 - 4 0.336
96 83 Ball St. 2 - 3 0.326
97 89 North Texas 1 - 5 0.317
98 108 Rice 1 - 4 0.308
99 98 Kansas 2 - 4 0.306
100 92 Idaho 1 - 5 0.283
101 103 Arkansas St. 4 - 3 0.281
102 102 Utah St. 1 - 5 0.278
103 105 Eastern Michigan 3 - 3 0.276
104 100 LA-Lafayette 1 - 4 0.264
105 109 Wyoming 1 - 4 0.238
106 106 San Diego St. 0 - 5 0.231
107 101 Middle Tennessee St. 0 - 5 0.226
108 110 Navy 1 - 4 0.222
109 107 Akron 0 - 6 0.216
110 111 Rutgers 1 - 4 0.210
111 104 Texas-El Paso 1 - 5 0.199
112 113 Buffalo 1 - 5 0.178
113 112 Ohio 1 - 5 0.176
114 114 Wild Card U. 8 - 51 0.165
115 115 Tulsa 0 - 5 0.140
116 116 Southern Methodist 0 - 6 0.122
117 118 Army 0 - 5 0.098
118 117 LA-Monroe 0 - 5 0.094

The following are the power ratings and non-conference records for the various conferences:

Conference Record Power Rating
Pac-10 29-10 .674
SEC 28-8 .643
Big Twelve 36-14 .638
Big Ten 31-13 .637
ACC 23-9 .634
Big East 20-12 .581
Mountain West 17-21.476
Conference USA 14-17.448
Independents 14-19 .445
MAC 20-30 .404
WAC 11-26 .369
Sun Belt 7-28 .273

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