ARGH Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams as of November 3, 2002. The power rating represents the chance the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team at a neutral site.

The estimated home field advantage is .590, or about 4.86 points for an average game.

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This WeekLast Week Team Record Power Rating
1 1 Oklahoma 8 - 0 0.932
2 4 Ohio St. 10 - 0 0.909
3 5 Miami, Florida 8 - 0 0.888
4 7 Texas 8 - 1 0.880
5 2 Notre Dame 8 - 1 0.866
6 9 Iowa 9 - 1 0.848
7 6 Georgia 8 - 1 0.844
8 8 Southern California 6 - 2 0.842
9 3 Virginia Tech 8 - 1 0.839
10 11 Alabama 7 - 2 0.823
11 12 Washington St. 8 - 1 0.807
12 13 Florida St. 6 - 3 0.799
13 15 Kansas St. 7 - 2 0.782
14 14 Louisiana St. 6 - 2 0.780
15 20 Maryland 7 - 2 0.780
16 10 North Carolina St. 9 - 1 0.766
17 21 Michigan 7 - 2 0.762
18 16 Iowa St. 7 - 3 0.762
19 18 Penn State 6 - 3 0.760
20 19 Arkansas 5 - 3 0.755
21 31 Pittsburgh 7 - 2 0.745
22 32 Florida 6 - 3 0.744
23 23 Bowling Green 8 - 0 0.735
24 17 Colorado 6 - 3 0.735
25 22 UCLA 6 - 3 0.734
26 33 Colorado St. 8 - 2 0.733
27 24 Boise State 8 - 1 0.732
28 25 Oregon St. 6 - 3 0.729
29 30 Auburn 6 - 3 0.724
30 34 South Florida 6 - 2 0.709
31 26 Oregon 7 - 2 0.706
32 47 Texas Christian 7 - 1 0.702
33 28 California 5 - 4 0.690
34 51 Boston College 5 - 3 0.687
35 46 Georgia Tech 6 - 3 0.682
36 44 Tennessee 5 - 3 0.682
37 41 Kentucky 6 - 3 0.679
38 40 Texas Tech 6 - 4 0.670
39 29 Minnesota 7 - 2 0.664
40 36 Wisconsin 6 - 4 0.664
41 27 Arizona St. 7 - 3 0.657
42 39 Nebraska 6 - 4 0.652
43 35 Air Force 6 - 3 0.647
44 45 Virginia 6 - 3 0.643
45 54 West Virginia 6 - 3 0.639
46 49 Louisville 5 - 3 0.635
47 48 Miami, Ohio 7 - 3 0.631
48 38 Texas A&M 5 - 4 0.629
49 42 South Carolina 5 - 4 0.618
50 53 Clemson 5 - 4 0.608
51 37 Southern Mississippi 5 - 3 0.605
52 50 Purdue 4 - 5 0.605
53 52 Wake Forest 5 - 5 0.591
54 55 Missouri 4 - 5 0.587
55 59 Toledo 5 - 3 0.568
56 58 Northern Illinois 6 - 3 0.565
57 57 Mississippi 5 - 4 0.563
58 43 Marshall 6 - 2 0.556
59 62 Oklahoma St. 4 - 4 0.549
60 61 Hawaii 7 - 2 0.544
61 56 Washington 4 - 5 0.540
62 60 Cincinnati 3 - 5 0.530
63 64 Tulane 6 - 3 0.503
64 72 North Texas 4 - 5 0.502
65 63 Illinois 3 - 6 0.493
66 65 New Mexico St. 6 - 3 0.482
67 66 Stanford 2 - 6 0.447
68 71 Fresno St. 4 - 5 0.442
69 67 Michigan St. 3 - 6 0.436
70 78 Nevada 4 - 5 0.417
71 84 Brigham Young 4 - 5 0.411
72 68 Central Florida 3 - 5 0.407
73 69 Mississippi St. 3 - 5 0.404
74 70 Arizona 3 - 6 0.395
75 75 Utah 2 - 6 0.395
76 87 Houston 4 - 4 0.390
77 76 New Mexico 4 - 5 0.388
78 74 Temple 3 - 6 0.385
79 88 Syracuse 3 - 6 0.383
80 73 North Carolina 2 - 7 0.378
81 82 East Carolina 2 - 5 0.374
82 85 Nevada-Las Vegas 4 - 5 0.373
83 77 Indiana 3 - 6 0.372
84 83 Louisiana Tech 3 - 5 0.368
85 81 San Jose St. 4 - 6 0.358
86 97 Connecticut 3 - 6 0.356
87 93 Central Michigan 4 - 5 0.352
88 91 Ball St. 4 - 5 0.352
89 90 AL-Birmingham 4 - 4 0.345
90 95 Northwestern 3 - 7 0.344
91 80 Western Michigan 2 - 7 0.335
92 79 San Diego St. 3 - 6 0.333
93 86 Troy St. 3 - 7 0.331
94 94 Duke 2 - 8 0.317
95 92 Vanderbilt 2 - 7 0.317
96 107 Akron 2 - 7 0.304
97 103 Rice 4 - 5 0.297
98 99 Ohio 3 - 6 0.295
99 89 Memphis 2 - 7 0.295
100 98 Wyoming 2 - 7 0.283
101 100 Middle Tennessee St. 2 - 7 0.277
102 105 Utah St. 2 - 6 0.266
103 106 Arkansas St. 5 - 6 0.262
104 96 Baylor 3 - 6 0.262
105 101 Kent 3 - 6 0.253
106 102 Kansas 2 - 8 0.234
107 109 LA-Lafayette 2 - 7 0.234
108 104 Idaho 2 - 7 0.233
109 108 Eastern Michigan 3 - 6 0.189
110 112 Navy 1 - 7 0.182
111 110 Texas-El Paso 2 - 7 0.180
112 115 Rutgers 1 - 8 0.167
113 111 LA-Monroe 2 - 7 0.164
114 113 Tulsa 1 - 8 0.144
115 114 Wild Card U. 8 - 56 0.143
116 116 Southern Methodist 1 - 9 0.129
117 117 Buffalo 1 - 8 0.123
118 118 Army 0 - 8 0.095

The following are the power ratings and non-conference records for the various conferences:

Conference Record Power Rating
SEC 33-9 .661
Pac-10 29-10 .655
Big Twelve 36-14 .639
Big Ten 32-13 .623
ACC 23-11 .618
Big East 24-13 .591
Independents 23-29 .451
Conference USA 15-20.447
Mountain West 17-23.445
MAC 22-31 .405
WAC 12-27 .361
Sun Belt 10-29 .308

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