ARGH Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams as of November 17, 2002. The power rating represents the chance the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team at a neutral site.

The estimated home field advantage is .585, or about 4.53 points for an average game.

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This WeekLast Week Team Record Power Rating
1 1 Ohio St. 12 - 0 0.919
2 2 Miami, Florida 9 - 0 0.911
3 3 Oklahoma 9 - 1 0.891
4 5 Iowa 11 - 1 0.869
5 6 Southern California 8 - 2 0.864
6 8 Georgia 10 - 1 0.857
7 7 Notre Dame 9 - 1 0.854
8 10 Alabama 9 - 2 0.854
9 4 Texas 9 - 2 0.839
10 11 Kansas St. 9 - 2 0.834
11 14 Maryland 9 - 2 0.818
12 9 Washington St. 9 - 1 0.816
13 12 Florida St. 8 - 3 0.812
14 13 Michigan 9 - 2 0.808
15 16 Penn State 8 - 3 0.793
16 17 Arkansas 7 - 3 0.774
17 18 Virginia Tech 8 - 2 0.771
18 22 Colorado 8 - 3 0.769
19 24 Florida 8 - 3 0.761
20 19 Boise State 10 - 1 0.757
21 21 UCLA 7 - 3 0.754
22 26 Colorado St. 9 - 2 0.745
23 23 Pittsburgh 8 - 2 0.745
24 15 Louisiana St. 7 - 3 0.743
25 30 South Florida 8 - 2 0.735
26 27 Texas Christian 8 - 1 0.734
27 20 North Carolina St. 9 - 3 0.724
28 31 Texas Tech 8 - 4 0.719
29 25 Auburn 7 - 4 0.712
30 33 Oregon St. 7 - 4 0.703
31 29 Iowa St. 7 - 5 0.691
32 32 West Virginia 7 - 3 0.687
33 36 Georgia Tech 7 - 4 0.677
34 28 California 6 - 5 0.675
35 39 Boston College 6 - 4 0.668
36 42 Tennessee 6 - 4 0.668
37 40 Kentucky 7 - 4 0.658
38 41 Air Force 8 - 3 0.657
39 34 Bowling Green 8 - 2 0.650
40 49 Virginia 7 - 4 0.642
41 51 Louisville 6 - 4 0.639
42 35 Oregon 7 - 4 0.636
43 56 Washington 6 - 5 0.634
44 37 Texas A&M 6 - 5 0.631
45 38 Nebraska 7 - 5 0.623
46 47 Wisconsin 6 - 6 0.623
47 50 Purdue 5 - 6 0.623
48 46 Southern Mississippi 6 - 4 0.620
49 43 Minnesota 7 - 4 0.618
50 44 Clemson 6 - 5 0.615
51 54 Cincinnati 5 - 5 0.610
52 48 Arizona St. 7 - 5 0.608
53 55 Toledo 7 - 3 0.606
54 45 Miami, Ohio 7 - 4 0.604
55 53 Northern Illinois 8 - 3 0.600
56 58 Missouri 5 - 6 0.598
57 52 Wake Forest 5 - 5 0.590
58 59 Mississippi 5 - 5 0.572
59 62 Marshall 7 - 2 0.559
60 60 Illinois 4 - 7 0.557
61 61 Hawaii 8 - 2 0.547
62 57 South Carolina 5 - 6 0.546
63 63 Oklahoma St. 5 - 5 0.544
64 65 North Texas 6 - 5 0.537
65 66 Michigan St. 4 - 7 0.460
66 73 Utah 4 - 6 0.443
67 69 Central Florida 5 - 5 0.443
68 70 Fresno St. 6 - 5 0.441
69 64 Tulane 6 - 5 0.441
70 78 Connecticut 5 - 6 0.437
71 82 Arizona 4 - 7 0.433
72 76 New Mexico 6 - 5 0.429
73 67 Syracuse 4 - 7 0.425
74 68 New Mexico St. 6 - 5 0.424
75 72 Stanford 2 - 8 0.407
76 79 Temple 4 - 7 0.404
77 83 Ball St. 5 - 5 0.393
78 80 San Jose St. 6 - 6 0.389
79 71 Brigham Young 5 - 6 0.386
80 75 Nevada 5 - 6 0.386
81 74 East Carolina 3 - 6 0.383
82 77 Mississippi St. 3 - 7 0.369
83 90 AL-Birmingham 5 - 5 0.359
84 81 Houston 4 - 6 0.341
85 85 Northwestern 3 - 8 0.335
86 86 North Carolina 2 - 9 0.327
87 88 Nevada-Las Vegas 4 - 7 0.325
88 97 Utah St. 4 - 6 0.323
89 87 Western Michigan 3 - 8 0.321
90 89 Louisiana Tech 3 - 7 0.320
91 91 Indiana 3 - 8 0.320
92 84 Troy St. 4 - 8 0.320
93 95 Vanderbilt 2 - 9 0.319
94 94 Ohio 4 - 6 0.314
95 92 Duke 2 - 9 0.308
96 96 Memphis 2 - 8 0.306
97 98 San Diego St. 3 - 8 0.295
98 93 Central Michigan 4 - 7 0.290
99 103 Middle Tennessee St. 3 - 7 0.290
100 101 Akron 3 - 8 0.277
101 100 Baylor 3 - 8 0.262
102 105 Arkansas St. 6 - 7 0.261
103 99 Rice 4 - 7 0.260
104 104 LA-Lafayette 3 - 8 0.259
105 102 Wyoming 2 - 9 0.250
106 106 Kent 3 - 8 0.205
107 107 Idaho 2 - 9 0.204
108 108 Kansas 2 - 10 0.199
109 110 Eastern Michigan 3 - 8 0.179
110 109 Navy 1 - 9 0.164
111 115 Southern Methodist 2 - 9 0.160
112 111 Rutgers 1 - 9 0.160
113 112 LA-Monroe 2 - 9 0.152
114 118 Army 1 - 9 0.141
115 113 Texas-El Paso 2 - 9 0.138
116 114 Wild Card U. 8 - 57 0.134
117 116 Tulsa 1 - 10 0.123
118 117 Buffalo 1 - 10 0.106

The following are the power ratings and non-conference records for the various conferences:

Conference Record Power Rating
Pac-10 29-10 .653
SEC 35-10 .653
Big Twelve 36-14 .633
Big Ten 33-13 .630
ACC 23-12 .613
Big East 25-13 .596
Independents 28-29 .472
Conference USA 15-22.457
Mountain West 18-23.441
MAC 22-33 .396
WAC 12-27 .352
Sun Belt 10-32 .304

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