ARGH Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams as of November 24, 2002. The power rating represents the chance the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team at a neutral site.

The estimated home field advantage is .581, or about 4.27 points for an average game.

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This WeekLast Week Team Record Power Rating
1 1 Ohio St. 13 - 0 0.922
2 2 Miami, Florida 10 - 0 0.917
3 3 Oklahoma 10 - 1 0.897
4 5 Southern California 9 - 2 0.882
5 4 Iowa 11 - 1 0.866
6 7 Notre Dame 10 - 1 0.859
7 6 Georgia 10 - 1 0.856
8 10 Kansas St. 10 - 2 0.853
9 9 Texas 9 - 2 0.838
10 8 Alabama 9 - 3 0.824
11 15 Penn State 9 - 3 0.816
12 14 Michigan 9 - 3 0.802
13 13 Florida St. 8 - 4 0.794
14 12 Washington St. 9 - 2 0.779
15 20 Boise State 11 - 1 0.778
16 11 Maryland 9 - 3 0.777
17 16 Arkansas 8 - 3 0.771
18 18 Colorado 8 - 3 0.765
19 19 Florida 8 - 3 0.762
20 27 North Carolina St. 10 - 3 0.756
21 29 Auburn 8 - 4 0.753
22 22 Colorado St. 10 - 2 0.747
23 17 Virginia Tech 8 - 3 0.745
24 25 South Florida 9 - 2 0.743
25 24 Louisiana St. 8 - 3 0.743
26 23 Pittsburgh 8 - 3 0.731
27 21 UCLA 7 - 4 0.728
28 30 Oregon St. 8 - 4 0.726
29 32 West Virginia 8 - 3 0.724
30 40 Virginia 8 - 4 0.699
31 28 Texas Tech 8 - 5 0.692
32 35 Boston College 7 - 4 0.692
33 36 Tennessee 7 - 4 0.685
34 33 Georgia Tech 7 - 4 0.683
35 34 California 7 - 5 0.682
36 26 Texas Christian 8 - 2 0.671
37 43 Washington 7 - 5 0.668
38 39 Bowling Green 9 - 2 0.652
39 37 Kentucky 7 - 4 0.651
40 46 Wisconsin 7 - 6 0.648
41 31 Iowa St. 7 - 6 0.642
42 50 Clemson 7 - 5 0.635
43 41 Louisville 7 - 4 0.634
44 53 Toledo 8 - 3 0.630
45 47 Purdue 6 - 6 0.629
46 45 Nebraska 7 - 5 0.620
47 44 Texas A&M 6 - 5 0.620
48 52 Arizona St. 7 - 5 0.618
49 42 Oregon 7 - 5 0.613
50 38 Air Force 8 - 4 0.602
51 57 Wake Forest 6 - 5 0.589
52 51 Cincinnati 5 - 6 0.583
53 49 Minnesota 7 - 5 0.583
54 61 Hawaii 9 - 2 0.573
55 55 Northern Illinois 8 - 4 0.572
56 58 Mississippi 5 - 6 0.569
57 59 Marshall 8 - 2 0.564
58 56 Missouri 5 - 7 0.561
59 63 Oklahoma St. 6 - 5 0.559
60 60 Illinois 5 - 7 0.558
61 54 Miami, Ohio 7 - 5 0.557
62 48 Southern Mississippi 6 - 5 0.554
63 64 North Texas 7 - 5 0.538
64 62 South Carolina 5 - 7 0.534
65 67 Central Florida 6 - 5 0.497
66 70 Connecticut 6 - 6 0.490
67 69 Tulane 7 - 5 0.482
68 68 Fresno St. 7 - 5 0.465
69 66 Utah 5 - 6 0.460
70 73 Syracuse 4 - 7 0.435
71 71 Arizona 4 - 7 0.434
72 65 Michigan St. 4 - 8 0.431
73 72 New Mexico 6 - 6 0.429
74 81 East Carolina 4 - 6 0.427
75 74 New Mexico St. 7 - 5 0.424
76 77 Ball St. 6 - 5 0.402
77 76 Temple 4 - 8 0.391
78 75 Stanford 2 - 9 0.383
79 78 San Jose St. 6 - 7 0.371
80 79 Brigham Young 5 - 7 0.371
81 82 Mississippi St. 3 - 8 0.367
82 80 Nevada 5 - 7 0.362
83 89 Western Michigan 4 - 8 0.360
84 86 North Carolina 3 - 9 0.358
85 97 San Diego St. 4 - 8 0.345
86 83 AL-Birmingham 5 - 6 0.343
87 90 Louisiana Tech 4 - 7 0.336
88 87 Nevada-Las Vegas 4 - 7 0.329
89 84 Houston 4 - 7 0.329
90 88 Utah St. 4 - 6 0.325
91 96 Memphis 3 - 8 0.322
92 100 Akron 4 - 8 0.314
93 92 Troy St. 4 - 8 0.312
94 85 Northwestern 3 - 9 0.311
95 94 Ohio 4 - 7 0.307
96 91 Indiana 3 - 9 0.307
97 93 Vanderbilt 2 - 10 0.299
98 95 Duke 2 - 10 0.296
99 99 Middle Tennessee St. 3 - 8 0.272
100 98 Central Michigan 4 - 8 0.263
101 103 Rice 4 - 7 0.261
102 102 Arkansas St. 6 - 7 0.255
103 105 Wyoming 2 - 9 0.253
104 101 Baylor 3 - 9 0.250
105 104 LA-Lafayette 3 - 9 0.217
106 107 Idaho 2 - 10 0.199
107 108 Kansas 2 - 10 0.194
108 113 LA-Monroe 3 - 9 0.183
109 106 Kent 3 - 9 0.180
110 110 Navy 1 - 10 0.176
111 109 Eastern Michigan 3 - 9 0.176
112 111 Southern Methodist 3 - 9 0.173
113 112 Rutgers 1 - 10 0.156
114 116 Wild Card U. 8 - 57 0.133
115 115 Texas-El Paso 2 - 10 0.132
116 114 Army 1 - 10 0.123
117 117 Tulsa 1 - 11 0.117
118 118 Buffalo 1 - 11 0.106

The following are the power ratings and non-conference records for the various conferences:

Conference Record Power Rating
Pac-10 29-10 .651
SEC 35-11 .651
Big Ten 33-13 .625
Big Twelve 36-15 .624
ACC 25-12 .621
Big East 25-14 .599
Independents 31-30 .484
Conference USA 15-24.447
Mountain West 18-23.442
MAC 22-33 .399
WAC 13-27 .357
Sun Belt 10-32 .298

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