ARGH Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams as of December 8, 2002. The power rating represents the chance the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team at a neutral site.

The estimated home field advantage is .581, or about 4.30 points for an average game.

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This WeekLast Week Team Record Power Rating
1 2 Ohio St. 13 - 0 0.922
2 1 Miami, Florida 12 - 0 0.920
3 3 Southern California 10 - 2 0.897
4 4 Georgia 12 - 1 0.894
5 6 Oklahoma 11 - 2 0.877
6 5 Iowa 11 - 1 0.863
7 7 Kansas St. 10 - 2 0.855
8 8 Texas 10 - 2 0.851
9 9 Alabama 10 - 3 0.834
10 10 Notre Dame 10 - 2 0.818
11 11 Penn State 9 - 3 0.812
12 15 Washington St. 10 - 2 0.803
13 12 Michigan 9 - 3 0.798
14 13 Florida St. 9 - 4 0.797
15 16 Maryland 10 - 3 0.780
16 18 Boise State 11 - 1 0.776
17 14 Arkansas 9 - 4 0.762
18 17 Colorado 9 - 4 0.758
19 20 Auburn 8 - 4 0.756
20 22 North Carolina St. 10 - 3 0.750
21 21 West Virginia 9 - 3 0.747
22 19 Virginia Tech 9 - 4 0.743
23 24 Florida 8 - 4 0.740
24 23 South Florida 9 - 2 0.739
25 25 Oregon St. 8 - 4 0.731
26 27 Louisiana St. 8 - 4 0.725
27 28 Tennessee 8 - 4 0.722
28 26 UCLA 7 - 5 0.699
29 29 Pittsburgh 8 - 4 0.698
30 31 Texas Tech 8 - 5 0.693
31 30 Colorado St. 10 - 3 0.691
32 32 Boston College 8 - 4 0.691
33 33 California 7 - 5 0.684
34 35 Washington 7 - 5 0.669
35 36 Virginia 8 - 5 0.668
36 34 Texas Christian 9 - 2 0.667
37 38 Wisconsin 7 - 6 0.650
38 39 Iowa St. 7 - 6 0.637
39 40 Arizona St. 8 - 5 0.636
40 41 Georgia Tech 7 - 5 0.633
41 42 Kentucky 7 - 5 0.625
42 43 Purdue 6 - 6 0.624
43 44 Clemson 7 - 5 0.623
44 37 Toledo 9 - 4 0.623
45 45 Oregon 7 - 5 0.617
46 46 Bowling Green 9 - 3 0.607
47 52 Marshall 10 - 2 0.605
48 51 Cincinnati 7 - 6 0.602
49 47 Oklahoma St. 7 - 5 0.601
50 48 Nebraska 7 - 6 0.599
51 50 Air Force 8 - 4 0.595
52 49 Texas A&M 6 - 6 0.594
53 53 Minnesota 7 - 5 0.580
54 54 Mississippi 6 - 6 0.579
55 55 Louisville 7 - 5 0.573
56 57 Hawaii 10 - 3 0.568
57 56 Southern Mississippi 7 - 5 0.567
58 58 Northern Illinois 8 - 4 0.561
59 59 Wake Forest 6 - 6 0.560
60 60 Miami, Ohio 7 - 5 0.556
61 61 Illinois 5 - 7 0.556
62 62 Missouri 5 - 7 0.548
63 63 North Texas 7 - 5 0.542
64 64 South Carolina 5 - 7 0.529
65 65 Central Florida 7 - 5 0.505
66 68 Fresno St. 8 - 5 0.493
67 67 Connecticut 6 - 6 0.484
68 66 Tulane 7 - 5 0.482
69 69 Utah 5 - 6 0.451
70 70 New Mexico 7 - 6 0.446
71 71 New Mexico St. 7 - 5 0.430
72 72 Michigan St. 4 - 8 0.423
73 73 Syracuse 4 - 8 0.421
74 74 Arizona 4 - 8 0.414
75 76 Temple 4 - 8 0.390
76 77 Stanford 2 - 9 0.381
77 75 East Carolina 4 - 8 0.378
78 78 Nevada-Las Vegas 5 - 7 0.376
79 79 Ball St. 6 - 6 0.373
80 80 San Jose St. 6 - 7 0.370
81 81 Houston 5 - 7 0.364
82 83 Nevada 5 - 7 0.362
83 82 Brigham Young 5 - 7 0.361
84 84 Western Michigan 4 - 8 0.352
85 85 Mississippi St. 3 - 9 0.351
86 86 North Carolina 3 - 9 0.347
87 87 San Diego St. 4 - 9 0.343
88 89 AL-Birmingham 5 - 7 0.328
89 90 Memphis 3 - 9 0.319
90 91 Akron 4 - 8 0.312
91 93 Northwestern 3 - 9 0.307
92 88 Louisiana Tech 4 - 8 0.305
93 94 Middle Tennessee St. 4 - 8 0.304
94 92 Troy St. 4 - 8 0.303
95 95 Indiana 3 - 9 0.301
96 96 Vanderbilt 2 - 10 0.300
97 98 Ohio 4 - 8 0.295
98 97 Utah St. 4 - 7 0.293
99 99 Duke 2 - 10 0.280
100 100 Rice 4 - 7 0.264
101 101 Arkansas St. 6 - 7 0.258
102 102 Central Michigan 4 - 8 0.256
103 103 Baylor 3 - 9 0.250
104 104 Wyoming 2 - 10 0.233
105 105 LA-Lafayette 3 - 9 0.217
106 112 Navy 2 - 10 0.216
107 106 Idaho 2 - 10 0.202
108 107 Kansas 2 - 10 0.191
109 108 LA-Monroe 3 - 9 0.184
110 109 Kent 3 - 9 0.178
111 110 Southern Methodist 3 - 9 0.175
112 111 Eastern Michigan 3 - 9 0.170
113 113 Rutgers 1 - 11 0.151
114 114 Wild Card U. 8 - 57 0.130
115 115 Texas-El Paso 2 - 10 0.128
116 117 Tulsa 1 - 11 0.115
117 118 Buffalo 1 - 11 0.105
118 116 Army 1 - 11 0.101

The following are the power ratings and non-conference records for the various conferences:

Conference Record Power Rating
Pac-10 30-10 .653
SEC 37-12 .651
Big Ten 33-13 .622
Big Twelve 36-15 .621
ACC 26-14 .605
Big East 27-14 .595
Independents 32-32 .475
Conference USA 15-25.438
Mountain West 18-24.437
MAC 22-33 .393
WAC 14-28 .356
Sun Belt 11-32 .305

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