The following are the preliminary pre-season ARGH power ratings for the 117 Division 1-A teams for 2003. These ratings are calculated as of information and estimates available February 7, 2003, and are NOT final. The final pre-season ratings will be released in July.
These power ratings are computed using the following factors: Previous year's power rating; second previous year's power rating; number of returning starters (estimated); previous year's strength of schedule; whether the coach is returning; and whether the starting quarterback is returning. The strength of each factor varies each year based on what has happened in the three previous years. These preliminary pre-season power ratings also include a factor for recruiting, based on rankings found on cnnsi.com
Final preseason ratings will be adjusted based on recruiting rankings found in Athlon and possibly other sources and returning starters to be found in several publications to be determined.
For more information on the methodology of the pre-season power ratings, click here.
The estimated home field advantage for 2003 will be .581, or about 4.28 points for an average game.
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| 2003 | 2002 | Team | 2002 Record | Power Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Oklahoma | 12 - 2 | 0.916 |
| 2 | 1 | Ohio St. | 14 - 0 | 0.896 |
| 3 | 4 | Miami, Florida | 12 - 1 | 0.877 |
| 4 | 6 | Texas | 11 - 2 | 0.872 |
| 5 | 2 | Southern California | 11 - 2 | 0.839 |
| 6 | 11 | Maryland | 11 - 3 | 0.832 |
| 7 | 10 | Michigan | 10 - 3 | 0.831 |
| 8 | 3 | Georgia | 13 - 1 | 0.825 |
| 9 | 16 | Florida St. | 9 - 5 | 0.808 |
| 10 | 39 | Washington | 7 - 6 | 0.802 |
| 11 | 23 | Arkansas | 9 - 5 | 0.790 |
| 12 | 17 | Auburn | 9 - 4 | 0.788 |
| 13 | 25 | Florida | 8 - 5 | 0.788 |
| 14 | 29 | Virginia | 9 - 5 | 0.766 |
| 15 | 22 | Pittsburgh | 9 - 4 | 0.758 |
| 16 | 19 | Virginia Tech | 10 - 4 | 0.751 |
| 17 | 7 | Kansas St. | 11 - 2 | 0.749 |
| 18 | 33 | Tennessee | 8 - 5 | 0.743 |
| 19 | 8 | Iowa | 11 - 2 | 0.739 |
| 20 | 28 | Louisiana St. | 8 - 5 | 0.738 |
| 21 | 20 | Colorado | 9 - 5 | 0.730 |
| 22 | 15 | North Carolina St. | 11 - 3 | 0.728 |
| 23 | 55 | Oregon | 7 - 6 | 0.711 |
| 24 | 37 | Purdue | 7 - 6 | 0.706 |
| 25 | 57 | Illinois | 5 - 7 | 0.702 |
| 26 | 24 | Texas Tech | 9 - 5 | 0.702 |
| 27 | 32 | Oregon St. | 8 - 5 | 0.699 |
| 28 | 52 | Nebraska | 7 - 7 | 0.693 |
| 29 | 43 | Arizona St. | 8 - 6 | 0.688 |
| 30 | 34 | Wisconsin | 8 - 6 | 0.677 |
| 31 | 40 | Minnesota | 8 - 5 | 0.672 |
| 32 | 42 | Iowa St. | 7 - 7 | 0.657 |
| 33 | 21 | South Florida | 9 - 2 | 0.657 |
| 34 | 45 | Georgia Tech | 7 - 6 | 0.653 |
| 35 | 18 | Washington St. | 10 - 3 | 0.647 |
| 36 | 84 | North Carolina | 3 - 9 | 0.645 |
| 37 | 31 | UCLA | 8 - 5 | 0.644 |
| 38 | 12 | Penn State | 9 - 4 | 0.636 |
| 39 | 51 | Clemson | 7 - 6 | 0.636 |
| 40 | 36 | Colorado St. | 10 - 4 | 0.632 |
| 41 | 47 | Texas A&M | 6 - 6 | 0.621 |
| 42 | 27 | Boston College | 9 - 4 | 0.613 |
| 43 | 79 | Stanford | 2 - 9 | 0.613 |
| 44 | 50 | Mississippi | 7 - 6 | 0.612 |
| 45 | 9 | Alabama | 10 - 3 | 0.610 |
| 46 | 14 | Notre Dame | 10 - 3 | 0.609 |
| 47 | 41 | Oklahoma St. | 8 - 5 | 0.595 |
| 48 | 59 | Miami, Ohio | 7 - 5 | 0.580 |
| 49 | 65 | South Carolina | 5 - 7 | 0.545 |
| 50 | 73 | Syracuse | 4 - 8 | 0.544 |
| 51 | 70 | New Mexico | 7 - 7 | 0.541 |
| 52 | 26 | West Virginia | 9 - 4 | 0.531 |
| 53 | 72 | Michigan St. | 4 - 8 | 0.531 |
| 54 | 13 | Boise State | 12 - 1 | 0.529 |
| 55 | 63 | Hawaii | 10 - 4 | 0.521 |
| 56 | 49 | Wake Forest | 7 - 6 | 0.520 |
| 57 | 62 | Louisville | 7 - 6 | 0.518 |
| 58 | 64 | Fresno St. | 9 - 5 | 0.508 |
| 59 | 61 | Southern Mississippi | 7 - 6 | 0.503 |
| 60 | 48 | Toledo | 9 - 5 | 0.495 |
| 61 | 86 | Mississippi St. | 3 - 9 | 0.495 |
| 62 | 56 | North Texas | 8 - 5 | 0.493 |
| 63 | 89 | Akron | 4 - 8 | 0.489 |
| 64 | 58 | Northern Illinois | 8 - 4 | 0.488 |
| 65 | 60 | Missouri | 5 - 7 | 0.488 |
| 66 | 53 | Air Force | 8 - 5 | 0.485 |
| 67 | 38 | Marshall | 11 - 2 | 0.480 |
| 68 | 46 | Bowling Green | 9 - 3 | 0.476 |
| 69 | 99 | Duke | 2 - 10 | 0.475 |
| 70 | 90 | Northwestern | 3 - 9 | 0.472 |
| 71 | 74 | Arizona | 4 - 8 | 0.456 |
| 72 | 67 | Central Florida | 7 - 5 | 0.441 |
| 73 | 30 | Texas Christian | 10 - 2 | 0.434 |
| 74 | 69 | Utah | 5 - 6 | 0.434 |
| 75 | 44 | Kentucky | 7 - 5 | 0.430 |
| 76 | 82 | Nevada | 5 - 7 | 0.424 |
| 77 | 54 | Cincinnati | 7 - 7 | 0.415 |
| 78 | 85 | Brigham Young | 5 - 7 | 0.413 |
| 79 | 68 | Connecticut | 6 - 6 | 0.402 |
| 80 | 35 | California | 7 - 5 | 0.391 |
| 81 | 66 | Tulane | 8 - 5 | 0.388 |
| 82 | 76 | East Carolina | 4 - 8 | 0.372 |
| 83 | 88 | AL-Birmingham | 5 - 7 | 0.367 |
| 84 | 93 | Indiana | 3 - 9 | 0.361 |
| 85 | 91 | Memphis | 3 - 9 | 0.351 |
| 86 | 94 | Middle Tennessee St. | 4 - 8 | 0.342 |
| 87 | 77 | Ball St. | 6 - 6 | 0.340 |
| 88 | 71 | New Mexico St. | 7 - 5 | 0.334 |
| 89 | 97 | Vanderbilt | 2 - 10 | 0.308 |
| 90 | 83 | Western Michigan | 4 - 8 | 0.307 |
| 91 | 87 | San Diego St. | 4 - 9 | 0.303 |
| 92 | 98 | Utah St. | 4 - 7 | 0.294 |
| 93 | 81 | Houston | 5 - 7 | 0.294 |
| 94 | 100 | Rice | 4 - 7 | 0.291 |
| 95 | 92 | Louisiana Tech | 4 - 8 | 0.288 |
| 96 | 75 | Temple | 4 - 8 | 0.288 |
| 97 | 112 | Eastern Michigan | 3 - 9 | 0.286 |
| 98 | 103 | Baylor | 3 - 9 | 0.285 |
| 99 | 108 | Kansas | 2 - 10 | 0.281 |
| 100 | 104 | Wyoming | 2 - 10 | 0.266 |
| 101 | 80 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 5 - 7 | 0.262 |
| 102 | 102 | Central Michigan | 4 - 8 | 0.259 |
| 103 | 109 | LA-Monroe | 3 - 9 | 0.252 |
| 104 | 78 | San Jose St. | 6 - 7 | 0.250 |
| 105 | 110 | Kent | 3 - 9 | 0.242 |
| 106 | 96 | Troy St. | 4 - 8 | 0.241 |
| 107 | 111 | Southern Methodist | 3 - 9 | 0.237 |
| 108 | 116 | Tulsa | 1 - 11 | 0.215 |
| 109 | 117 | Buffalo | 1 - 11 | 0.212 |
| 110 | 101 | Arkansas St. | 6 - 7 | 0.206 |
| 111 | 95 | Ohio | 4 - 8 | 0.204 |
| 112 | 107 | Idaho | 2 - 10 | 0.202 |
| 113 | 115 | Texas-El Paso | 2 - 10 | 0.200 |
| 114 | 106 | LA-Lafayette | 3 - 9 | 0.199 |
| 115 | 105 | Navy | 2 - 10 | 0.197 |
| 116 | 114 | Wild Card U. | 8 - 57 | 0.171 |
| 117 | 113 | Rutgers | 1 - 11 | 0.156 |
| 118 | 118 | Army | 1 - 11 | 0.128 |
2003 preliminary preseason conference power ratings:
| Conference | Power Rating |
|---|---|
| ACC | .674 |
| Big Ten | .657 |
| Pac-10 | .649 |
| SEC | .639 |
| Big Twelve | .632 |
| Big East | .565 |
| Mountain West | .417 |
| Conference USA | .403 |
| MAC | .379 |
| Independents | .362 |
| WAC | .346 |
| Sun Belt | .290 |