These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of November 8, 2003. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
11/4
MIAMI, OHIO 8 over Bowling Green State; total 59
11/5
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 8 over Louisville; total 50
11/6
ARKANSAS 11 over South Carolina; total 53
Utah State 6 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 51
11/7
NEW MEXICO 4 over Colorado State; total 55
11/8
Akron 4 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN; total 64
Alabama 11 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 61
STANFORD 3 over Arizona State; total 45
AIR FORCE 32 over Army; total 53
WESTERN MICHIGAN 1 over Ball State; total 60
OREGON pick 'em over California; total 59
Central Florida 7 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 47
Florida State 15 over CLEMSON; total 43
NEVADA 1 over Fresno State; total 49
Georgia Tech 10 over DUKE; total 32
ARKANSAS STATE 13 over Idaho; total 47
INDIANA 2 over Illinois; total 49
PURDUE 2 over Iowa; total 39
Kansas State 12 over IOWA STATE; total 54
Kent pick 'em over OHIO; total 53
OHIO STATE 9 over Michigan State; total 41
AUBURN 5 over Mississippi; total 54
Missouri 8 over COLORADO; total 64
NOTRE DAME 4 over Navy; total 42
Nebraska 10 over KANSAS; total 49
North Texas 22 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 55
Northern Illinois 27 over BUFFALO; total 50
NORTHWESTERN 5 over Penn State; total 37
CONNECTICUT 9 over Rutgers; total 62
NEVADA-LAS VEGAS 8 over San Diego State; total 38
TEXAS-EL PASO pick 'em over San Jose State; total 55
South Florida 14 over EAST CAROLINA; total 45
LOUISIANA TECH 28 over Southern Methodist; total 48
Southern Mississippi 4 over HOUSTON; total 51
SYRACUSE 24 over Temple; total 55
MIAMI, FLORIDA 11 over Tennessee; total 48
OKLAHOMA STATE 2 over Texas; total 63
OKLAHOMA 39 over Texas A&M; total 65
Texas Tech 24 over BAYLOR; total 72
Troy State 2 over MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE; total 43
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 13 over Tulane; total 54
Tulsa 9 over RICE; total 61
WASHINGTON STATE 9 over UCLA; total 42
FLORIDA 26 over Vanderbilt; total 48
Virginia Tech 3 over PITTSBURGH; total 54
Wake Forest 16 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 65
Washington 14 over ARIZONA; total 54
BOSTON COLLEGE 3 over West Virginia; total 45
MINNESOTA 11 over Wisconsin; total 56
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.
ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:
| The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2003 season: | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 37-12 | .755 | 356-127 | .737 |
| Against the spread | 21-26-2 | .449 | 244-228-11 | .517 |
| Over-under | 24-19-1 | .557 | 223-222-7 | .501 |
| ARGH Early Bird Picks | 1-2 | .333 | 22-14 | .611 |
| ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks | 1-1 | .500 | 3-3 | .500 |
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 411-72 |
| Percentage | .85093 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.05435 |
| Mean error | 10.9011 |
| Mean square error | 187.4833 |
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