ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of November 8, 2003. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!


MIAMI, OHIO 8 over Bowling Green State; total 59


TEXAS CHRISTIAN 8 over Louisville; total 50


ARKANSAS 11 over South Carolina; total 53
Utah State 6 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 51


NEW MEXICO 4 over Colorado State; total 55


Akron 4 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN; total 64
Alabama 11 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 61
STANFORD 3 over Arizona State; total 45
AIR FORCE 32 over Army; total 53
WESTERN MICHIGAN 1 over Ball State; total 60
OREGON pick 'em over California; total 59
Central Florida 7 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 47
Florida State 15 over CLEMSON; total 43
NEVADA 1 over Fresno State; total 49
Georgia Tech 10 over DUKE; total 32
ARKANSAS STATE 13 over Idaho; total 47
INDIANA 2 over Illinois; total 49
PURDUE 2 over Iowa; total 39
Kansas State 12 over IOWA STATE; total 54
Kent pick 'em over OHIO; total 53
OHIO STATE 9 over Michigan State; total 41
AUBURN 5 over Mississippi; total 54
Missouri 8 over COLORADO; total 64
NOTRE DAME 4 over Navy; total 42
Nebraska 10 over KANSAS; total 49
North Texas 22 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 55
Northern Illinois 27 over BUFFALO; total 50
NORTHWESTERN 5 over Penn State; total 37
CONNECTICUT 9 over Rutgers; total 62
NEVADA-LAS VEGAS 8 over San Diego State; total 38
TEXAS-EL PASO pick 'em over San Jose State; total 55
South Florida 14 over EAST CAROLINA; total 45
LOUISIANA TECH 28 over Southern Methodist; total 48
Southern Mississippi 4 over HOUSTON; total 51
SYRACUSE 24 over Temple; total 55
MIAMI, FLORIDA 11 over Tennessee; total 48
OKLAHOMA STATE 2 over Texas; total 63
OKLAHOMA 39 over Texas A&M; total 65
Texas Tech 24 over BAYLOR; total 72
Troy State 2 over MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE; total 43
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 13 over Tulane; total 54
Tulsa 9 over RICE; total 61
WASHINGTON STATE 9 over UCLA; total 42
FLORIDA 26 over Vanderbilt; total 48
Virginia Tech 3 over PITTSBURGH; total 54
Wake Forest 16 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 65
Washington 14 over ARIZONA; total 54
BOSTON COLLEGE 3 over West Virginia; total 45
MINNESOTA 11 over Wisconsin; total 56

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2003 season:

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread21-26-2.449244-228-11.517
ARGH Early Bird Picks1-2.33322-14.611
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks1-1.5003-3.500

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team-0.05435
Mean error10.9011
Mean square error187.4833

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