ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of November 15, 2003. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!


MIAMI, OHIO 23 over Marshall; total 62


MARYLAND 7 over Virginia; total 45


NEW MEXICO 3 over Air Force; total 53
WASHINGTON STATE 21 over Arizona State; total 53
NORTH TEXAS 18 over Arkansas State; total 51
GEORGIA 9 over Auburn; total 35
Ball State 12 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 48
OKLAHOMA 46 over Baylor; total 59
Boston College pick 'em over RUTGERS; total 59
NOTRE DAME 6 over Brigham Young; total 41
WESTERN MICHIGAN 14 over Central Michigan; total 59
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 17 over Cincinnati; total 48
Colorado 6 over IOWA STATE; total 57
WAKE FOREST 8 over Connecticut; total 61
CLEMSON 14 over Duke; total 43
Florida 7 over SOUTH CAROLINA; total 46
Hawaii 3 over NEVADA; total 59
Houston 20 over ARMY; total 60
LOUISIANA-MONROE 4 over Idaho; total 51
PENN STATE 9 over Indiana; total 37
OKLAHOMA STATE 16 over Kansas; total 65
NEBRASKA 7 over Kansas State; total 42
BOWLING GREEN STATE 25 over Kent; total 57
Kentucky 6 over VANDERBILT; total 57
Louisiana State 9 over ALABAMA; total 47
TULSA 5 over Louisiana Tech; total 60
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 9 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 56
LOUISVILLE 8 over Memphis; total 55
Michigan 10 over NORTHWESTERN; total 47
WISCONSIN pick 'em over Michigan State; total 51
IOWA 5 over Minnesota; total 52
TENNESSEE 28 over Mississippi State; total 53
ARKANSAS 30 over New Mexico State; total 54
GEORGIA TECH 15 over North Carolina; total 52
FLORIDA STATE 19 over North Carolina State; total 58
Northern Illinois 5 over TOLEDO; total 51
AKRON 19 over Ohio; total 64
UCLA 4 over Oregon; total 45
Pittsburgh 2 over WEST VIRGINIA; total 48
OHIO STATE 5 over Purdue; total 38
Rice 13 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 48
COLORADO STATE 9 over San Diego State; total 44
FRESNO STATE 17 over San Jose State; total 52
Southern California 30 over ARIZONA; total 61
OREGON STATE 9 over Stanford; total 48
MIAMI, FLORIDA 18 over Syracuse; total 51
MISSOURI 15 over Texas A&M; total 63
TEXAS 21 over Texas Tech; total 79
BOISE STATE 41 over Texas-El Paso; total 64
UTAH STATE 3 over Troy State; total 39
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 19 over Tulane; total 52
Virginia Tech 27 over TEMPLE; total 53
CALIFORNIA 8 over Washington; total 55
UTAH 18 over Wyoming; total 56

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2003 season:

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread27-20-2.571271-248-13.522
ARGH Early Bird Picks2-1.66724-15.615
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks1-01.0004-3.571

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team+0.16588
Mean error11.0033
Mean square error192.2158

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