These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of November 15, 2003. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

11/12

MIAMI, OHIO 23 over Marshall; total 62

11/13

MARYLAND 7 over Virginia; total 45

11/15

NEW MEXICO 3 over Air Force; total 53

WASHINGTON STATE 21 over Arizona State; total 53

NORTH TEXAS 18 over Arkansas State; total 51

GEORGIA 9 over Auburn; total 35

Ball State 12 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 48

OKLAHOMA 46 over Baylor; total 59

Boston College pick 'em over RUTGERS; total 59

NOTRE DAME 6 over Brigham Young; total 41

WESTERN MICHIGAN 14 over Central Michigan; total 59

TEXAS CHRISTIAN 17 over Cincinnati; total 48

Colorado 6 over IOWA STATE; total 57

WAKE FOREST 8 over Connecticut; total 61

CLEMSON 14 over Duke; total 43

Florida 7 over SOUTH CAROLINA; total 46

Hawaii 3 over NEVADA; total 59

Houston 20 over ARMY; total 60

LOUISIANA-MONROE 4 over Idaho; total 51

PENN STATE 9 over Indiana; total 37

OKLAHOMA STATE 16 over Kansas; total 65

NEBRASKA 7 over Kansas State; total 42

BOWLING GREEN STATE 25 over Kent; total 57

Kentucky 6 over VANDERBILT; total 57

Louisiana State 9 over ALABAMA; total 47

TULSA 5 over Louisiana Tech; total 60

MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 9 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 56

LOUISVILLE 8 over Memphis; total 55

Michigan 10 over NORTHWESTERN; total 47

WISCONSIN pick 'em over Michigan State; total 51

IOWA 5 over Minnesota; total 52

TENNESSEE 28 over Mississippi State; total 53

ARKANSAS 30 over New Mexico State; total 54

GEORGIA TECH 15 over North Carolina; total 52

FLORIDA STATE 19 over North Carolina State; total 58

Northern Illinois 5 over TOLEDO; total 51

AKRON 19 over Ohio; total 64

UCLA 4 over Oregon; total 45

Pittsburgh 2 over WEST VIRGINIA; total 48

OHIO STATE 5 over Purdue; total 38

Rice 13 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 48

COLORADO STATE 9 over San Diego State; total 44

FRESNO STATE 17 over San Jose State; total 52

Southern California 30 over ARIZONA; total 61

OREGON STATE 9 over Stanford; total 48

MIAMI, FLORIDA 18 over Syracuse; total 51

MISSOURI 15 over Texas A&M; total 63

TEXAS 21 over Texas Tech; total 79

BOISE STATE 41 over Texas-El Paso; total 64

UTAH STATE 3 over Troy State; total 39

SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 19 over Tulane; total 52

Virginia Tech 27 over TEMPLE; total 53

CALIFORNIA 8 over Washington; total 55

UTAH 18 over Wyoming; total 56

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

- Houston -9.5
- Miami, OH -12.5

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

- Texas Christian -7

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2003 season: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|

Last Week | Overall | |||

Straight-up | 33-16 | .673 | 389-143 | .731 |

Against the spread | 27-20-2 | .571 | 271-248-13 | .522 |

Over-under | 22-19 | .537 | 245-241-7 | .504 |

ARGH Early Bird Picks | 2-1 | .667 | 24-15 | .615 |

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks | 1-0 | 1.000 | 4-3 | .571 |

ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
---|---|

Record | 443-89 |

Percentage | .83271 |

Bias toward home team | +0.16588 |

Mean error | 11.0033 |

Mean square error | 192.2158 |

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