These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of November 22, 2003. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
11/19
Marshall 14 over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 53
11/20
ARKANSAS STATE 4 over Middle Tennessee State; total 61
Texas Christian 1 over SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI; total 38
11/21
Boise State 7 over FRESNO STATE; total 53
11/22
Air Force 3 over SAN DIEGO STATE; total 36
AUBURN 7 over Alabama; total 42
SOUTH FLORIDA 6 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 38
HAWAII 29 over Army; total 56
VIRGINIA TECH 15 over Boston College; total 53
Bowling Green State 16 over BALL STATE; total 54
KENT 22 over Buffalo; total 57
California 6 over STANFORD; total 49
NAVY 19 over Central Michigan; total 52
MEMPHIS 13 over Cincinnati; total 51
SOUTH CAROLINA 2 over Clemson; total 42
Colorado State 1 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 46
NORTH CAROLINA 7 over Duke; total 60
TULANE 20 over East Carolina; total 65
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 25 over Eastern Michigan; total 47
VIRGINIA 4 over Georgia Tech; total 39
LOUISVILLE 11 over Houston; total 62
Iowa 2 over WISCONSIN; total 46
KANSAS 16 over Iowa State; total 56
GEORGIA 24 over Kentucky; total 46
Louisiana State 6 over MISSISSIPPI; total 53
TROY STATE 19 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 45
NORTH CAROLINA STATE pick 'em over Maryland; total 61
Miami, Ohio 31 over OHIO; total 56
ARKANSAS 32 over Mississippi State; total 64
KANSAS STATE 11 over Missouri; total 55
New Mexico 7 over WYOMING; total 57
Northwestern 9 over ILLINOIS; total 44
MICHIGAN 3 over Ohio State; total 43
Oklahoma 31 over TEXAS TECH; total 78
Oklahoma State 21 over BAYLOR; total 57
OREGON 2 over Oregon State; total 55
MICHIGAN STATE 11 over Penn State; total 44
Pittsburgh 22 over TEMPLE; total 55
Purdue 20 over INDIANA; total 42
MIAMI, FLORIDA 25 over Rutgers; total 52
RICE 18 over Texas-El Paso; total 66
Tulsa 13 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 61
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 23 over UCLA; total 49
Utah 12 over BRIGHAM YOUNG; total 50
Utah State 3 over IDAHO; total 46
TENNESSEE 24 over Vanderbilt; total 48
Washington State 12 over WASHINGTON; total 52
West Virginia 1 over SYRACUSE; total 51
TOLEDO 15 over Western Michigan; total 61
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.
ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:
| The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2003 season: | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 42-12 | .778 | 431-155 | .735 |
| Against the spread | 26-28 | .481 | 297-276-13 | .518 |
| Over-under | 21-26-1 | .448 | 266-267-8 | .499 |
| ARGH Early Bird Picks | 2-0 | 1.000 | 26-15 | .634 |
| ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks | 1-0 | 1.000 | 5-3 | .625 |
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 485-101 |
| Percentage | .82765 |
| Bias toward home team | +0.01962 |
| Mean error | 11.4258 |
| Mean square error | 206.4381 |
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