ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of November 29, 2003. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!


North Texas 13 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 53


Mississippi 24 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 66


ARIZONA STATE 14 over Arizona; total 55
LOUISIANA STATE 14 over Arkansas; total 48
Louisville 3 over CINCINNATI; total 55
Miami, Ohio 30 over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 52
Nebraska 6 over COLORADO; total 46
MARSHALL 24 over Ohio; total 56
Southern Mississippi 20 over EAST CAROLINA; total 42
Texas 22 over TEXAS A&M; total 70
BOWLING GREEN STATE 14 over Toledo; total 56


Alabama 3 over HAWAII; total 58
HOUSTON 4 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 54
FLORIDA pick 'em over Florida State; total 47
Fresno State 20 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 55
Georgia 9 over GEORGIA TECH; total 31
MISSOURI 23 over Iowa State; total 50
Maryland 7 over WAKE FOREST; total 50
Miami, Florida 5 over PITTSBURGH; total 48
BOISE STATE 24 over Nevada; total 55
Nevada-Las Vegas pick 'em over WYOMING; total 47
Notre Dame 1 over STANFORD; total 40
LOUISIANA TECH 15 over Rice; total 62
MEMPHIS 11 over South Florida; total 46
Syracuse 1 over RUTGERS; total 59
WEST VIRGINIA 26 over Temple; total 48
Tennessee 17 over KENTUCKY; total 54
Texas Christian 28 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 42
VIRGINIA 1 over Virginia Tech; total 51

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2003 season:

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread26-21-2.551323-297-15.520
ARGH Early Bird Picks2-1.66728-16.636
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks0-0NA5-3.625

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team-0.27559
Mean error11.1819
Mean square error199.7825

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