These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of November 29, 2003. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
11/25
North Texas 13 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 53
11/27
Mississippi 24 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 66
11/28
ARIZONA STATE 14 over Arizona; total 55
LOUISIANA STATE 14 over Arkansas; total 48
Louisville 3 over CINCINNATI; total 55
Miami, Ohio 30 over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 52
Nebraska 6 over COLORADO; total 46
MARSHALL 24 over Ohio; total 56
Southern Mississippi 20 over EAST CAROLINA; total 42
Texas 22 over TEXAS A&M; total 70
BOWLING GREEN STATE 14 over Toledo; total 56
11/29
Alabama 3 over HAWAII; total 58
HOUSTON 4 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 54
FLORIDA pick 'em over Florida State; total 47
Fresno State 20 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 55
Georgia 9 over GEORGIA TECH; total 31
MISSOURI 23 over Iowa State; total 50
Maryland 7 over WAKE FOREST; total 50
Miami, Florida 5 over PITTSBURGH; total 48
BOISE STATE 24 over Nevada; total 55
Nevada-Las Vegas pick 'em over WYOMING; total 47
Notre Dame 1 over STANFORD; total 40
LOUISIANA TECH 15 over Rice; total 62
MEMPHIS 11 over South Florida; total 46
Syracuse 1 over RUTGERS; total 59
WEST VIRGINIA 26 over Temple; total 48
Tennessee 17 over KENTUCKY; total 54
Texas Christian 28 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 42
VIRGINIA 1 over Virginia Tech; total 51
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.
ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:
| The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2003 season: | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 39-10 | .796 | 470-165 | .740 |
| Against the spread | 26-21-2 | .551 | 323-297-15 | .520 |
| Over-under | 21-24-2 | .468 | 287-291-10 | .497 |
| ARGH Early Bird Picks | 2-1 | .667 | 28-16 | .636 |
| ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks | 0-0 | NA | 5-3 | .625 |
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 526-109 |
| Percentage | .82835 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.27559 |
| Mean error | 11.1819 |
| Mean square error | 199.7825 |
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