ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of December 6, 2003. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!


Miami, Ohio 3 over BOWLING GREEN STATE; total 60


Navy 28 over Army; total 54
Boise State 15 over HAWAII; total 65
Louisiana State 2 over Georgia; total 36
Notre Dame 1 over SYRACUSE; total 47
Oklahoma 21 over Kansas State; total 58
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 24 over Oregon State; total 61

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2003 season:

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread17-11-1.603340-308-16.524
ARGH Early Bird Picks0-0NA28-16.636
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks0-0NA5-3.625

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team-0.40023
Mean error11.2120
Mean square error203.1597

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