ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for the games of the 2003-2004 bowl Season. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!


New Orleans Bowl: Memphis 1 over North Texas; total 48


GMAC Bowl: Miami, Ohio 22 over Louisville; total 67


Tangerine Bowl: North Carolina State 10 over Kansas; total 70


Fort Worth Bowl: Boise State 2 over TEXAS CHRISTIAN; total 55


Las Vegas Bowl: New Mexico 3 over Oregon State; total 55


Hawaii Bowl: HAWAII 7 over Houston; total 74


Insight Bowl: Virginia Tech 2 over California; total 56
Motor City Bowl: Bowling Green State 9 over Northwestern; total 50


Continental Tire Bowl: Virginia 1 over Pittsburgh; total 52


Alamo Bowl: Nebraska 4 over Michigan State; total 42


Holiday Bowl: Texas 9 over Washington State; total 59
Houston Bowl: Texas Tech 9 over Navy; total 74
Silicon Valley Football Classic: UCLA pick 'em over Fresno State; total 40


Independence Bowl: Arkansas 5 over Missouri; total 58
Liberty Bowl: Utah 2 over Southern Mississippi; total 42
Music City Bowl: Auburn 2 over Wisconsin; total 46
San Francisco Bowl: Colorado State 1 over Boston College; total 55
Sun Bowl: Minnesota 9 over Oregon; total 62


Capital One Bowl: Georgia 4 over Purdue; total 35
Gator Bowl: Maryland 5 over West Virginia; total 47
Outback Bowl: Iowa 1 over Florida; total 45
Orange Bowl: MIAMI, FLORIDA 1 over Florida State; total 43
Rose Bowl: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 7 over Michigan; total 63


Cotton Bowl: Mississippi 4 over Oklahoma State; total 62
Peach Bowl: Tennessee 7 over Clemson; total 45
Fiesta Bowl: Kansas State 1 over Ohio State; total 42


Humanitarian Bowl: Georgia Tech 3 over Tulsa; total 46


Sugar Bowl: Oklahoma pick 'em over Louisiana State; total 52

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2003 season:

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread5-2.714345-310-16.526
ARGH Early Bird Picks0-0NA28-16.636
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks0-0NA5-3.625

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team-0.48882
Mean error11.2601
Mean square error206.7425

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