These are the ARGH system predictions for the games of the 2003-2004 bowl Season. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
12/16
New Orleans Bowl: Memphis 1 over North Texas; total 48
12/18
GMAC Bowl: Miami, Ohio 22 over Louisville; total 67
12/22
Tangerine Bowl: North Carolina State 10 over Kansas; total 70
12/23
Fort Worth Bowl: Boise State 2 over TEXAS CHRISTIAN; total 55
12/24
Las Vegas Bowl: New Mexico 3 over Oregon State; total 55
12/25
Hawaii Bowl: HAWAII 7 over Houston; total 74
12/26
Insight Bowl: Virginia Tech 2 over California; total 56
Motor City Bowl: Bowling Green State 9 over Northwestern; total 50
12/27
Continental Tire Bowl: Virginia 1 over Pittsburgh; total 52
12/29
Alamo Bowl: Nebraska 4 over Michigan State; total 42
12/30
Holiday Bowl: Texas 9 over Washington State; total 59
Houston Bowl: Texas Tech 9 over Navy; total 74
Silicon Valley Football Classic: UCLA pick 'em over Fresno State; total 40
12/31
Independence Bowl: Arkansas 5 over Missouri; total 58
Liberty Bowl: Utah 2 over Southern Mississippi; total 42
Music City Bowl: Auburn 2 over Wisconsin; total 46
San Francisco Bowl: Colorado State 1 over Boston College; total 55
Sun Bowl: Minnesota 9 over Oregon; total 62
1/1
Capital One Bowl: Georgia 4 over Purdue; total 35
Gator Bowl: Maryland 5 over West Virginia; total 47
Outback Bowl: Iowa 1 over Florida; total 45
Orange Bowl: MIAMI, FLORIDA 1 over Florida State; total 43
Rose Bowl: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 7 over Michigan; total 63
1/2
Cotton Bowl: Mississippi 4 over Oklahoma State; total 62
Peach Bowl: Tennessee 7 over Clemson; total 45
Fiesta Bowl: Kansas State 1 over Ohio State; total 42
1/3
Humanitarian Bowl: Georgia Tech 3 over Tulsa; total 46
1/4
Sugar Bowl: Oklahoma pick 'em over Louisiana State; total 52
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.
ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:
| The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2003 season: | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 5-2 | .714 | 499-172 | .744 |
| Against the spread | 5-2 | .714 | 345-310-16 | .526 |
| Over-under | 4-3 | .571 | 300-310-10 | .492 |
| ARGH Early Bird Picks | 0-0 | NA | 28-16 | .636 |
| ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks | 0-0 | NA | 5-3 | .625 |
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 558-113 |
| Percentage | .83159 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.48882 |
| Mean error | 11.2601 |
| Mean square error | 206.7425 |
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