ARGH 2004 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings as of September 19, 2004. Teams included are the 117 Division 1-A teams, the two teams in the process of moving to Division 1-A (Florida Atlantic and Florida International), and Florida A&M, who plays more than half their schedule against rated teams.

The estimated home field advantage is .588, or about 4.59 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team without regard to location.

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This WeekLast Week Team 2004 Record Power Rating
1 1 Southern California 3 - 0 0.870
2 2 Oklahoma 3 - 0 0.868
3 5 Miami, Florida 2 - 0 0.831
4 3 Texas 2 - 0 0.826
5 6 Georgia 3 - 0 0.805
6 9 Auburn 3 - 0 0.799
7 7 Ohio St. 3 - 0 0.798
8 11 Utah 3 - 0 0.781
9 4 Louisiana St. 2 - 1 0.778
10 8 Florida St. 1 - 1 0.774
11 12 Virginia 3 - 0 0.747
12 20 Colorado 3 - 0 0.738
13 13 Wisconsin 3 - 0 0.736
14 23 West Virginia 3 - 0 0.734
15 32 Boston College 3 - 0 0.729
16 15 Boise State 3 - 0 0.727
17 22 Oklahoma St. 3 - 0 0.717
18 43 Arizona St. 3 - 0 0.715
19 17 Alabama 3 - 0 0.710
20 21 California 2 - 0 0.706
21 10 Michigan 2 - 1 0.705
22 19 Purdue 2 - 0 0.702
23 30 Minnesota 3 - 0 0.698
24 39 South Carolina 2 - 1 0.695
25 25 Tennessee 2 - 0 0.690
26 18 Fresno St. 3 - 0 0.679
27 29 Virginia Tech 2 - 1 0.673
28 37 Arkansas 2 - 1 0.667
29 24 North Carolina St. 1 - 1 0.658
30 41 Texas Tech 2 - 1 0.655
31 28 Louisville 2 - 0 0.654
32 38 Memphis 3 - 0 0.653
33 34 Notre Dame 2 - 1 0.653
34 16 Maryland 2 - 1 0.650
35 33 Bowling Green 1 - 1 0.649
36 42 Washington St. 2 - 1 0.648
37 35 Southern Mississippi 1 - 0 0.645
38 26 Florida 1 - 1 0.643
39 45 Nebraska 2 - 1 0.635
40 59 Texas A&M 2 - 1 0.628
41 44 Missouri 2 - 1 0.622
42 14 Iowa 2 - 1 0.613
43 56 Penn State 2 - 1 0.610
44 27 Texas Christian 2 - 1 0.601
45 55 UCLA 2 - 1 0.601
46 54 Oregon St. 1 - 2 0.585
47 60 Florida Atlantic* 3 - 0 0.580
48 46 Wake Forest 2 - 1 0.579
49 40 Troy St. 2 - 1 0.570
50 58 Kansas 2 - 1 0.555
51 50 Connecticut 2 - 1 0.554
52 48 Pittsburgh 1 - 1 0.554
53 31 Georgia Tech 2 - 1 0.549
54 47 Miami, Ohio 2 - 2 0.547
55 63 AL-Birmingham 1 - 1 0.547
56 51 Kansas St. 2 - 1 0.543
57 78 Navy 3 - 0 0.539
58 36 Clemson 1 - 2 0.538
59 70 Northwestern 1 - 2 0.536
60 52 Oregon 0 - 2 0.523
61 61 Indiana 2 - 1 0.511
62 66 Mississippi 1 - 2 0.503
63 67 Stanford 2 - 0 0.502
64 49 South Florida 1 - 1 0.501
65 57 Marshall 0 - 3 0.501
66 53 Cincinnati 1 - 2 0.499
67 76 Kentucky 1 - 1 0.496
68 65 New Mexico 1 - 2 0.493
69 84 Rice 2 - 0 0.488
70 74 San Diego St. 1 - 1 0.480
71 83 North Carolina 2 - 1 0.476
72 79 Iowa St. 2 - 1 0.471
73 64 Michigan St. 1 - 2 0.460
74 75 Louisiana Tech 2 - 1 0.457
75 85 Syracuse 2 - 1 0.454
76 62 Northern Illinois 1 - 2 0.452
77 68 Hawaii 0 - 2 0.436
78 69 Colorado St. 0 - 3 0.433
79 73 Vanderbilt 0 - 2 0.430
80 88 Nevada 2 - 1 0.429
81 95 Air Force 2 - 1 0.428
82 72 Washington 0 - 2 0.424
83 71 North Texas 0 - 3 0.423
84 89 Illinois 2 - 1 0.421
85 77 Toledo 1 - 2 0.420
86 82 Houston 1 - 2 0.418
87 81 Brigham Young 1 - 2 0.408
88 92 Rutgers 2 - 1 0.404
89 90 Arizona 1 - 2 0.398
90 93 Wyoming 1 - 1 0.387
91 86 Tulane 1 - 1 0.386
92 103 New Mexico St. 1 - 2 0.377
93 96 Florida International* 1 - 0 0.360
94 100 Middle Tennessee St. 1 - 1 0.351
95 102 Temple 1 - 2 0.349
96 91 Kent 1 - 2 0.340
97 80 Nevada-Las Vegas 0 - 3 0.336
98 94 Western Michigan 1 - 2 0.334
99 98 Ohio 1 - 2 0.330
100 99 Duke 0 - 3 0.328
101 109 Texas-El Paso 1 - 2 0.322
102 106 Baylor 1 - 1 0.316
103 87 Tulsa 0 - 3 0.303
104 101 Utah St. 1 - 2 0.302
105 97 Mississippi St. 1 - 2 0.300
106 104 LA-Lafayette 1 - 2 0.291
107 105 Central Florida 0 - 3 0.288
108 113 Central Michigan 1 - 2 0.275
109 108 Arkansas St. 0 - 3 0.272
110 107 Akron 0 - 3 0.263
111 110 Ball St. 0 - 3 0.262
112 112 East Carolina 0 - 2 0.260
113 114 San Jose St. 1 - 1 0.259
114 111 Eastern Michigan 1 - 2 0.252
115 115 LA-Monroe 0 - 2 0.239
116 116 Army 0 - 2 0.191
117 117 Southern Methodist 0 - 3 0.187
118 118 Idaho 0 - 3 0.170
119 120 Buffalo 0 - 3 0.160
120 121 Wild Card U. 2 - 32 0.145
121 119 Florida A&M* 0 - 3 0.143

2004 conference power ratings:

ConferenceRecord Power Rating
Big Twelve 26-8 .631
SEC 14-4 .626
ACC 12-6 .618
Big Ten 23-9 .617
Pac-10 15-9 .597
Independents 5-1 .596
Big East 13-5 .540
Conference USA 11-10.487
Mountain West 8-12.468
WAC 11-10 .429
MAC 7-29 .362
Sun Belt 6-15 .358

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