ARGH 2004 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings as of October 3, 2004. Teams included are the 117 Division 1-A teams, the two teams in the process of moving to Division 1-A (Florida Atlantic and Florida International), and Florida A&M, who plays more than half their schedule against rated teams.

The estimated home field advantage is .591, or about 4.71 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team without regard to location.

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This WeekLast Week Team 2004 Record Power Rating
1 1 Southern California 4 - 0 0.885
2 2 Miami, Florida 4 - 0 0.882
3 3 Oklahoma 4 - 0 0.865
4 5 Georgia 4 - 0 0.851
5 7 Utah 5 - 0 0.843
6 10 Auburn 5 - 0 0.831
7 4 Texas 4 - 0 0.830
8 11 Arizona St. 5 - 0 0.827
9 15 South Carolina 4 - 1 0.821
10 17 Purdue 4 - 0 0.814
11 8 Wisconsin 5 - 0 0.812
12 9 Florida St. 3 - 1 0.801
13 18 Minnesota 5 - 0 0.784
14 23 Oklahoma St. 4 - 0 0.769
15 13 Virginia 4 - 0 0.764
16 28 California 3 - 0 0.757
17 14 Michigan 4 - 1 0.751
18 16 Boise State 5 - 0 0.748
19 21 Louisville 4 - 0 0.746
20 6 Ohio St. 3 - 1 0.740
21 33 Southern Mississippi 3 - 0 0.734
22 27 North Carolina St. 3 - 1 0.718
23 12 Louisiana St. 3 - 2 0.711
24 36 Virginia Tech 3 - 2 0.704
25 35 Florida 3 - 1 0.698
26 26 Boston College 4 - 1 0.697
27 37 Texas A&M 3 - 1 0.691
28 22 Tennessee 3 - 1 0.686
29 41 Missouri 3 - 1 0.683
30 19 West Virginia 4 - 1 0.680
31 30 Maryland 3 - 1 0.675
32 29 Texas Tech 3 - 2 0.669
33 39 Nebraska 3 - 1 0.666
34 24 Colorado 3 - 1 0.666
35 32 Washington St. 3 - 1 0.661
36 40 AL-Birmingham 3 - 1 0.659
37 45 UCLA 3 - 1 0.653
38 31 Alabama 3 - 2 0.652
39 25 Arkansas 3 - 2 0.650
40 49 Stanford 3 - 1 0.645
41 20 Notre Dame 3 - 2 0.644
42 43 Memphis 4 - 1 0.634
43 47 Navy 5 - 0 0.631
44 53 Troy St. 3 - 2 0.630
45 46 Connecticut 4 - 1 0.620
46 34 Fresno St. 3 - 1 0.608
47 38 Wake Forest 3 - 2 0.607
48 48 Iowa 3 - 2 0.606
49 52 Bowling Green 2 - 2 0.605
50 69 Northwestern 2 - 3 0.584
51 54 Kansas 2 - 3 0.563
52 68 Marshall 1 - 3 0.557
53 42 Penn State 2 - 3 0.555
54 59 Texas Christian 3 - 2 0.547
55 61 Clemson 1 - 3 0.532
56 55 South Florida 2 - 2 0.530
57 44 New Mexico 2 - 3 0.530
58 58 Florida Atlantic* 3 - 0 0.525
59 67 Northern Illinois 3 - 2 0.524
60 72 Brigham Young 2 - 3 0.518
61 51 Miami, Ohio 2 - 3 0.513
62 75 Louisiana Tech 3 - 2 0.508
63 57 Georgia Tech 2 - 2 0.505
64 74 Wyoming 3 - 1 0.503
65 56 Kansas St. 2 - 2 0.503
66 63 Oregon 1 - 3 0.489
67 66 Pittsburgh 2 - 2 0.488
68 62 Cincinnati 2 - 3 0.486
69 60 San Diego St. 2 - 2 0.484
70 82 Syracuse 3 - 2 0.482
71 50 Oregon St. 1 - 4 0.481
72 77 Toledo 3 - 2 0.479
73 70 Iowa St. 2 - 2 0.459
74 95 Texas-El Paso 2 - 2 0.456
75 81 Mississippi 2 - 3 0.451
76 65 Rice 2 - 2 0.447
77 90 Ohio 3 - 2 0.444
78 85 Illinois 2 - 3 0.444
79 64 Michigan St. 2 - 3 0.438
80 79 Air Force 2 - 3 0.437
81 80 North Carolina 2 - 3 0.437
82 76 Hawaii 1 - 2 0.436
83 88 Vanderbilt 1 - 3 0.431
84 83 Arizona 1 - 3 0.416
85 73 Indiana 2 - 3 0.409
86 71 Kentucky 1 - 3 0.394
87 78 Colorado St. 1 - 4 0.389
88 89 Baylor 2 - 2 0.383
89 96 LA-Lafayette 3 - 2 0.377
90 93 Utah St. 2 - 3 0.362
91 106 Nevada-Las Vegas 1 - 4 0.360
92 84 Houston 1 - 4 0.356
93 97 Tulane 1 - 2 0.348
94 86 Rutgers 2 - 2 0.346
95 87 Nevada 2 - 3 0.342
96 103 Duke 1 - 4 0.338
97 94 Florida International* 1 - 1 0.330
98 114 San Jose St. 2 - 2 0.326
99 91 Washington 0 - 4 0.323
100 92 Tulsa 1 - 4 0.315
101 100 Arkansas St. 1 - 4 0.296
102 101 North Texas 1 - 4 0.287
103 110 Western Michigan 1 - 3 0.285
104 108 Central Michigan 2 - 2 0.284
105 104 Ball St. 1 - 4 0.279
106 98 New Mexico St. 1 - 4 0.275
107 113 Southern Methodist 1 - 4 0.274
108 99 Middle Tennessee St. 1 - 3 0.272
109 102 Temple 1 - 4 0.265
110 107 Kent 1 - 4 0.233
111 109 Akron 1 - 4 0.228
112 112 Mississippi St. 1 - 4 0.227
113 111 East Carolina 0 - 4 0.216
114 118 Florida A&M* 2 - 3 0.213
115 119 Idaho 1 - 4 0.210
116 105 Central Florida 0 - 4 0.209
117 116 Eastern Michigan 1 - 4 0.193
118 121 Buffalo 1 - 4 0.190
119 115 LA-Monroe 0 - 4 0.186
120 117 Army 0 - 4 0.178
121 120 Wild Card U. 3 - 41 0.143

2004 conference power ratings:

ConferenceRecord Power Rating
Big Twelve 28-8 .646
Independents 8-2 .638
ACC 17-7 .633
Big Ten 24-9 .631
SEC 18-7 .617
Pac-10 17-10 .614
Big East 16-10 .511
Mountain West 14-16.508
Conference USA 12-12.494
WAC 14-14 .446
MAC 10-31 .359
Sun Belt 8-22 .341

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