ARGH 2004 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings as of October 10, 2004. Teams included are the 117 Division 1-A teams, the two teams in the process of moving to Division 1-A (Florida Atlantic and Florida International), and Florida A&M, who plays more than half their schedule against rated teams.

The estimated home field advantage is .591, or about 4.68 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team without regard to location.

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This WeekLast Week Team 2004 Record Power Rating
1 3 Oklahoma 5 - 0 0.908
2 1 Southern California 5 - 0 0.896
3 2 Miami, Florida 4 - 0 0.884
4 6 Auburn 6 - 0 0.865
5 11 Wisconsin 6 - 0 0.844
6 10 Purdue 5 - 0 0.844
7 5 Utah 5 - 0 0.838
8 8 Arizona St. 5 - 0 0.836
9 14 Oklahoma St. 5 - 0 0.822
10 7 Texas 4 - 1 0.821
11 15 Virginia 5 - 0 0.812
12 12 Florida St. 4 - 1 0.811
13 4 Georgia 4 - 1 0.787
14 16 California 3 - 1 0.781
15 17 Michigan 5 - 1 0.775
16 19 Louisville 4 - 0 0.760
17 28 Tennessee 4 - 1 0.754
18 13 Minnesota 5 - 1 0.749
19 27 Texas A&M 4 - 1 0.747
20 9 South Carolina 4 - 2 0.743
21 18 Boise State 5 - 0 0.742
22 32 Texas Tech 4 - 2 0.737
23 23 Louisiana St. 4 - 2 0.736
24 24 Virginia Tech 4 - 2 0.725
25 21 Southern Mississippi 4 - 0 0.711
26 29 Missouri 4 - 1 0.696
27 41 Notre Dame 4 - 2 0.691
28 26 Boston College 4 - 1 0.681
29 37 UCLA 4 - 1 0.679
30 25 Florida 3 - 2 0.673
31 38 Alabama 4 - 2 0.672
32 20 Ohio St. 3 - 2 0.666
33 30 West Virginia 4 - 1 0.666
34 39 Arkansas 3 - 2 0.660
35 36 AL-Birmingham 4 - 1 0.656
36 22 North Carolina St. 3 - 2 0.639
37 40 Stanford 3 - 2 0.638
38 42 Memphis 4 - 1 0.635
39 43 Navy 5 - 0 0.630
40 49 Bowling Green 3 - 2 0.623
41 45 Connecticut 4 - 1 0.621
42 48 Iowa 3 - 2 0.621
43 44 Troy St. 3 - 2 0.605
44 31 Maryland 3 - 2 0.598
45 34 Colorado 3 - 2 0.597
46 50 Northwestern 3 - 3 0.591
47 51 Kansas 3 - 3 0.584
48 63 Georgia Tech 3 - 2 0.578
49 64 Wyoming 4 - 1 0.577
50 58 Florida Atlantic* 4 - 0 0.576
51 35 Washington St. 3 - 2 0.570
52 54 Texas Christian 3 - 2 0.563
53 47 Wake Forest 3 - 3 0.558
54 52 Marshall 2 - 3 0.552
55 33 Nebraska 3 - 2 0.551
56 53 Penn State 2 - 4 0.546
57 46 Fresno St. 3 - 2 0.544
58 66 Oregon 2 - 3 0.544
59 74 Texas-El Paso 3 - 2 0.536
60 75 Mississippi 3 - 3 0.525
61 81 North Carolina 3 - 3 0.518
62 59 Northern Illinois 4 - 2 0.516
63 76 Rice 3 - 2 0.512
64 56 South Florida 2 - 2 0.511
65 55 Clemson 1 - 4 0.507
66 57 New Mexico 2 - 4 0.500
67 80 Air Force 3 - 3 0.498
68 79 Michigan St. 3 - 3 0.495
69 72 Toledo 4 - 2 0.495
70 71 Oregon St. 1 - 4 0.493
71 70 Syracuse 3 - 3 0.491
72 61 Miami, Ohio 3 - 3 0.489
73 62 Louisiana Tech 3 - 3 0.480
74 67 Pittsburgh 3 - 2 0.478
75 82 Hawaii 2 - 2 0.474
76 60 Brigham Young 2 - 4 0.473
77 65 Kansas St. 2 - 3 0.465
78 69 San Diego St. 2 - 3 0.457
79 73 Iowa St. 2 - 3 0.427
80 91 Nevada-Las Vegas 2 - 4 0.426
81 85 Indiana 2 - 4 0.418
82 78 Illinois 2 - 4 0.410
83 77 Ohio 3 - 3 0.410
84 94 Rutgers 3 - 2 0.396
85 68 Cincinnati 2 - 4 0.396
86 92 Houston 1 - 5 0.388
87 87 Colorado St. 1 - 4 0.378
88 84 Arizona 1 - 4 0.376
89 83 Vanderbilt 1 - 4 0.370
90 88 Baylor 2 - 3 0.367
91 89 LA-Lafayette 3 - 3 0.354
92 99 Washington 1 - 4 0.352
93 86 Kentucky 1 - 4 0.350
94 108 Middle Tennessee St. 2 - 3 0.346
95 97 Florida International* 2 - 1 0.344
96 102 North Texas 2 - 4 0.335
97 100 Tulsa 1 - 4 0.332
98 96 Duke 1 - 4 0.331
99 106 New Mexico St. 2 - 4 0.324
100 90 Utah St. 2 - 4 0.314
101 95 Nevada 2 - 4 0.305
102 98 San Jose St. 2 - 3 0.300
103 93 Tulane 1 - 3 0.279
104 120 Army 1 - 4 0.279
105 111 Akron 2 - 4 0.270
106 104 Central Michigan 2 - 3 0.269
107 101 Arkansas St. 1 - 5 0.261
108 107 Southern Methodist 1 - 5 0.259
109 113 East Carolina 1 - 4 0.241
110 109 Temple 1 - 5 0.240
111 119 LA-Monroe 1 - 4 0.240
112 103 Western Michigan 1 - 4 0.239
113 110 Kent 1 - 5 0.228
114 105 Ball St. 1 - 5 0.225
115 117 Eastern Michigan 2 - 4 0.222
116 112 Mississippi St. 1 - 5 0.210
117 116 Central Florida 0 - 5 0.194
118 115 Idaho 1 - 5 0.171
119 118 Buffalo 1 - 5 0.163
120 114 Florida A&M* 2 - 4 0.158
121 121 Wild Card U. 4 - 43 0.145

2004 conference power ratings:

ConferenceRecord Power Rating
Independents 9-2 .661
Big Twelve 28-8 .643
ACC 18-7 .633
Big Ten 24-9 .633
Pac-10 18-11 .617
SEC 19-9 .612
Mountain West 14-16.518
Big East 17-11 .510
Conference USA 13-12.493
WAC 14-16 .448
Sun Belt 10-22 .352
MAC 10-31 .349

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