ARGH 2004 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings as of October 17, 2004. Teams included are the 117 Division 1-A teams, the two teams in the process of moving to Division 1-A (Florida Atlantic and Florida International), and Florida A&M, who plays more than half their schedule against rated teams.

The estimated home field advantage is .595, or about 4.91 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team without regard to location.

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This WeekLast Week Team 2004 Record Power Rating
1 2 Southern California 6 - 0 0.929
2 1 Oklahoma 6 - 0 0.903
3 3 Miami, Florida 5 - 0 0.894
4 4 Auburn 7 - 0 0.886
5 12 Florida St. 5 - 1 0.861
6 7 Utah 6 - 0 0.859
7 5 Wisconsin 7 - 0 0.856
8 10 Texas 5 - 1 0.819
9 6 Purdue 5 - 1 0.814
10 14 California 4 - 1 0.813
11 8 Arizona St. 5 - 1 0.812
12 19 Texas A&M 5 - 1 0.802
13 13 Georgia 5 - 1 0.792
14 15 Michigan 6 - 1 0.780
15 17 Tennessee 5 - 1 0.773
16 11 Virginia 5 - 1 0.773
17 9 Oklahoma St. 5 - 1 0.766
18 16 Louisville 4 - 1 0.765
19 21 Boise State 6 - 0 0.748
20 27 Notre Dame 5 - 2 0.748
21 24 Virginia Tech 5 - 2 0.745
22 23 Louisiana St. 4 - 2 0.745
23 20 South Carolina 5 - 2 0.737
24 22 Texas Tech 4 - 2 0.725
25 31 Alabama 5 - 2 0.711
26 37 Stanford 4 - 2 0.700
27 33 West Virginia 5 - 1 0.699
28 35 AL-Birmingham 5 - 1 0.693
29 42 Iowa 4 - 2 0.685
30 30 Florida 4 - 2 0.682
31 36 North Carolina St. 4 - 2 0.673
32 18 Minnesota 5 - 2 0.670
33 26 Missouri 4 - 2 0.669
34 34 Arkansas 3 - 3 0.656
35 38 Memphis 5 - 1 0.643
36 25 Southern Mississippi 4 - 1 0.638
37 29 UCLA 4 - 2 0.637
38 40 Bowling Green 4 - 2 0.620
39 28 Boston College 4 - 2 0.615
40 45 Colorado 4 - 2 0.602
41 32 Ohio St. 3 - 3 0.600
42 48 Georgia Tech 4 - 2 0.598
43 68 Michigan St. 4 - 3 0.595
44 39 Navy 5 - 1 0.594
45 59 Texas-El Paso 4 - 2 0.591
46 47 Kansas 3 - 3 0.581
47 50 Florida Atlantic* 5 - 0 0.577
48 55 Nebraska 4 - 2 0.576
49 41 Connecticut 4 - 2 0.566
50 58 Oregon 3 - 3 0.561
51 46 Northwestern 3 - 3 0.561
52 53 Wake Forest 3 - 3 0.556
53 44 Maryland 3 - 3 0.555
54 49 Wyoming 4 - 2 0.552
55 57 Fresno St. 3 - 2 0.552
56 51 Washington St. 3 - 3 0.550
57 65 Clemson 2 - 4 0.549
58 76 Brigham Young 3 - 4 0.548
59 70 Oregon St. 2 - 4 0.533
60 66 New Mexico 3 - 4 0.532
61 61 North Carolina 3 - 4 0.528
62 43 Troy St. 3 - 3 0.527
63 62 Northern Illinois 5 - 2 0.527
64 73 Louisiana Tech 4 - 3 0.527
65 54 Marshall 3 - 3 0.525
66 56 Penn State 2 - 4 0.523
67 60 Mississippi 3 - 4 0.519
68 52 Texas Christian 3 - 3 0.514
69 74 Pittsburgh 4 - 2 0.506
70 67 Air Force 3 - 3 0.503
71 71 Syracuse 3 - 3 0.502
72 69 Toledo 5 - 2 0.497
73 72 Miami, Ohio 4 - 3 0.473
74 77 Kansas St. 2 - 4 0.466
75 79 Iowa St. 2 - 4 0.429
76 81 Indiana 2 - 4 0.425
77 63 Rice 3 - 3 0.424
78 87 Colorado St. 2 - 4 0.424
79 82 Illinois 2 - 5 0.419
80 75 Hawaii 2 - 3 0.419
81 84 Rutgers 4 - 2 0.418
82 64 South Florida 2 - 3 0.412
83 80 Nevada-Las Vegas 2 - 5 0.410
84 78 San Diego St. 2 - 4 0.406
85 85 Cincinnati 2 - 4 0.396
86 86 Houston 1 - 5 0.378
87 83 Ohio 3 - 4 0.367
88 89 Vanderbilt 1 - 5 0.350
89 101 Nevada 3 - 4 0.347
90 88 Arizona 1 - 5 0.346
91 104 Army 2 - 4 0.344
92 90 Baylor 2 - 4 0.343
93 93 Kentucky 1 - 5 0.341
94 97 Tulsa 1 - 5 0.326
95 96 North Texas 2 - 4 0.325
96 94 Middle Tennessee St. 2 - 4 0.322
97 99 New Mexico St. 2 - 4 0.319
98 107 Arkansas St. 2 - 5 0.313
99 92 Washington 1 - 5 0.313
100 91 LA-Lafayette 3 - 4 0.301
101 98 Duke 1 - 5 0.297
102 111 LA-Monroe 2 - 4 0.291
103 95 Florida International* 2 - 2 0.289
104 100 Utah St. 2 - 5 0.286
105 105 Akron 3 - 4 0.286
106 102 San Jose St. 2 - 3 0.283
107 112 Western Michigan 2 - 4 0.254
108 106 Central Michigan 2 - 4 0.252
109 103 Tulane 1 - 4 0.252
110 109 East Carolina 1 - 4 0.247
111 113 Kent 1 - 6 0.219
112 110 Temple 1 - 6 0.217
113 118 Idaho 2 - 5 0.216
114 116 Mississippi St. 1 - 5 0.215
115 108 Southern Methodist 1 - 6 0.209
116 115 Eastern Michigan 2 - 5 0.205
117 114 Ball St. 1 - 6 0.201
118 117 Central Florida 0 - 6 0.164
119 120 Florida A&M* 2 - 5 0.149
120 119 Buffalo 1 - 6 0.147
121 121 Wild Card U. 4 - 44 0.140

2004 conference power ratings:

ConferenceRecord Power Rating
Independents 9-2 .671
Big Twelve 28-8 .640
ACC 21-8 .639
Big Ten 24-9 .630
Pac-10 18-11 .619
SEC 21-9 .617
Mountain West 15-16.529
Big East 17-11 .503
Conference USA 13-14.480
WAC 14-16 .443
Sun Belt 11-24 .342
MAC 10-31 .338

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