The following are the ARGH power ratings as of October 17, 2004. Teams included are the 117 Division 1-A teams, the two teams in the process of moving to Division 1-A (Florida Atlantic and Florida International), and Florida A&M, who plays more than half their schedule against rated teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .595, or about 4.91 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team without regard to location.
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This Week | Last Week | Team | 2004 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | Southern California | 6 - 0 | 0.929 |
2 | 1 | Oklahoma | 6 - 0 | 0.903 |
3 | 3 | Miami, Florida | 5 - 0 | 0.894 |
4 | 4 | Auburn | 7 - 0 | 0.886 |
5 | 12 | Florida St. | 5 - 1 | 0.861 |
6 | 7 | Utah | 6 - 0 | 0.859 |
7 | 5 | Wisconsin | 7 - 0 | 0.856 |
8 | 10 | Texas | 5 - 1 | 0.819 |
9 | 6 | Purdue | 5 - 1 | 0.814 |
10 | 14 | California | 4 - 1 | 0.813 |
11 | 8 | Arizona St. | 5 - 1 | 0.812 |
12 | 19 | Texas A&M | 5 - 1 | 0.802 |
13 | 13 | Georgia | 5 - 1 | 0.792 |
14 | 15 | Michigan | 6 - 1 | 0.780 |
15 | 17 | Tennessee | 5 - 1 | 0.773 |
16 | 11 | Virginia | 5 - 1 | 0.773 |
17 | 9 | Oklahoma St. | 5 - 1 | 0.766 |
18 | 16 | Louisville | 4 - 1 | 0.765 |
19 | 21 | Boise State | 6 - 0 | 0.748 |
20 | 27 | Notre Dame | 5 - 2 | 0.748 |
21 | 24 | Virginia Tech | 5 - 2 | 0.745 |
22 | 23 | Louisiana St. | 4 - 2 | 0.745 |
23 | 20 | South Carolina | 5 - 2 | 0.737 |
24 | 22 | Texas Tech | 4 - 2 | 0.725 |
25 | 31 | Alabama | 5 - 2 | 0.711 |
26 | 37 | Stanford | 4 - 2 | 0.700 |
27 | 33 | West Virginia | 5 - 1 | 0.699 |
28 | 35 | AL-Birmingham | 5 - 1 | 0.693 |
29 | 42 | Iowa | 4 - 2 | 0.685 |
30 | 30 | Florida | 4 - 2 | 0.682 |
31 | 36 | North Carolina St. | 4 - 2 | 0.673 |
32 | 18 | Minnesota | 5 - 2 | 0.670 |
33 | 26 | Missouri | 4 - 2 | 0.669 |
34 | 34 | Arkansas | 3 - 3 | 0.656 |
35 | 38 | Memphis | 5 - 1 | 0.643 |
36 | 25 | Southern Mississippi | 4 - 1 | 0.638 |
37 | 29 | UCLA | 4 - 2 | 0.637 |
38 | 40 | Bowling Green | 4 - 2 | 0.620 |
39 | 28 | Boston College | 4 - 2 | 0.615 |
40 | 45 | Colorado | 4 - 2 | 0.602 |
41 | 32 | Ohio St. | 3 - 3 | 0.600 |
42 | 48 | Georgia Tech | 4 - 2 | 0.598 |
43 | 68 | Michigan St. | 4 - 3 | 0.595 |
44 | 39 | Navy | 5 - 1 | 0.594 |
45 | 59 | Texas-El Paso | 4 - 2 | 0.591 |
46 | 47 | Kansas | 3 - 3 | 0.581 |
47 | 50 | Florida Atlantic* | 5 - 0 | 0.577 |
48 | 55 | Nebraska | 4 - 2 | 0.576 |
49 | 41 | Connecticut | 4 - 2 | 0.566 |
50 | 58 | Oregon | 3 - 3 | 0.561 |
51 | 46 | Northwestern | 3 - 3 | 0.561 |
52 | 53 | Wake Forest | 3 - 3 | 0.556 |
53 | 44 | Maryland | 3 - 3 | 0.555 |
54 | 49 | Wyoming | 4 - 2 | 0.552 |
55 | 57 | Fresno St. | 3 - 2 | 0.552 |
56 | 51 | Washington St. | 3 - 3 | 0.550 |
57 | 65 | Clemson | 2 - 4 | 0.549 |
58 | 76 | Brigham Young | 3 - 4 | 0.548 |
59 | 70 | Oregon St. | 2 - 4 | 0.533 |
60 | 66 | New Mexico | 3 - 4 | 0.532 |
61 | 61 | North Carolina | 3 - 4 | 0.528 |
62 | 43 | Troy St. | 3 - 3 | 0.527 |
63 | 62 | Northern Illinois | 5 - 2 | 0.527 |
64 | 73 | Louisiana Tech | 4 - 3 | 0.527 |
65 | 54 | Marshall | 3 - 3 | 0.525 |
66 | 56 | Penn State | 2 - 4 | 0.523 |
67 | 60 | Mississippi | 3 - 4 | 0.519 |
68 | 52 | Texas Christian | 3 - 3 | 0.514 |
69 | 74 | Pittsburgh | 4 - 2 | 0.506 |
70 | 67 | Air Force | 3 - 3 | 0.503 |
71 | 71 | Syracuse | 3 - 3 | 0.502 |
72 | 69 | Toledo | 5 - 2 | 0.497 |
73 | 72 | Miami, Ohio | 4 - 3 | 0.473 |
74 | 77 | Kansas St. | 2 - 4 | 0.466 |
75 | 79 | Iowa St. | 2 - 4 | 0.429 |
76 | 81 | Indiana | 2 - 4 | 0.425 |
77 | 63 | Rice | 3 - 3 | 0.424 |
78 | 87 | Colorado St. | 2 - 4 | 0.424 |
79 | 82 | Illinois | 2 - 5 | 0.419 |
80 | 75 | Hawaii | 2 - 3 | 0.419 |
81 | 84 | Rutgers | 4 - 2 | 0.418 |
82 | 64 | South Florida | 2 - 3 | 0.412 |
83 | 80 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 2 - 5 | 0.410 |
84 | 78 | San Diego St. | 2 - 4 | 0.406 |
85 | 85 | Cincinnati | 2 - 4 | 0.396 |
86 | 86 | Houston | 1 - 5 | 0.378 |
87 | 83 | Ohio | 3 - 4 | 0.367 |
88 | 89 | Vanderbilt | 1 - 5 | 0.350 |
89 | 101 | Nevada | 3 - 4 | 0.347 |
90 | 88 | Arizona | 1 - 5 | 0.346 |
91 | 104 | Army | 2 - 4 | 0.344 |
92 | 90 | Baylor | 2 - 4 | 0.343 |
93 | 93 | Kentucky | 1 - 5 | 0.341 |
94 | 97 | Tulsa | 1 - 5 | 0.326 |
95 | 96 | North Texas | 2 - 4 | 0.325 |
96 | 94 | Middle Tennessee St. | 2 - 4 | 0.322 |
97 | 99 | New Mexico St. | 2 - 4 | 0.319 |
98 | 107 | Arkansas St. | 2 - 5 | 0.313 |
99 | 92 | Washington | 1 - 5 | 0.313 |
100 | 91 | LA-Lafayette | 3 - 4 | 0.301 |
101 | 98 | Duke | 1 - 5 | 0.297 |
102 | 111 | LA-Monroe | 2 - 4 | 0.291 |
103 | 95 | Florida International* | 2 - 2 | 0.289 |
104 | 100 | Utah St. | 2 - 5 | 0.286 |
105 | 105 | Akron | 3 - 4 | 0.286 |
106 | 102 | San Jose St. | 2 - 3 | 0.283 |
107 | 112 | Western Michigan | 2 - 4 | 0.254 |
108 | 106 | Central Michigan | 2 - 4 | 0.252 |
109 | 103 | Tulane | 1 - 4 | 0.252 |
110 | 109 | East Carolina | 1 - 4 | 0.247 |
111 | 113 | Kent | 1 - 6 | 0.219 |
112 | 110 | Temple | 1 - 6 | 0.217 |
113 | 118 | Idaho | 2 - 5 | 0.216 |
114 | 116 | Mississippi St. | 1 - 5 | 0.215 |
115 | 108 | Southern Methodist | 1 - 6 | 0.209 |
116 | 115 | Eastern Michigan | 2 - 5 | 0.205 |
117 | 114 | Ball St. | 1 - 6 | 0.201 |
118 | 117 | Central Florida | 0 - 6 | 0.164 |
119 | 120 | Florida A&M* | 2 - 5 | 0.149 |
120 | 119 | Buffalo | 1 - 6 | 0.147 |
121 | 121 | Wild Card U. | 4 - 44 | 0.140 |
2004 conference power ratings:
Conference | Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
Independents | 9-2 | .671 |
Big Twelve | 28-8 | .640 |
ACC | 21-8 | .639 |
Big Ten | 24-9 | .630 |
Pac-10 | 18-11 | .619 |
SEC | 21-9 | .617 |
Mountain West | 15-16 | .529 |
Big East | 17-11 | .503 |
Conference USA | 13-14 | .480 |
WAC | 14-16 | .443 |
Sun Belt | 11-24 | .342 |
MAC | 10-31 | .338 |