ARGH 2004 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings as of October 24, 2004. Teams included are the 117 Division 1-A teams, the two teams in the process of moving to Division 1-A (Florida Atlantic and Florida International), and Florida A&M, who plays more than half their schedule against rated teams.

The estimated home field advantage is .596, or about 4.99 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team without regard to location.

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This WeekLast Week Team 2004 Record Power Rating
1 1 Southern California 7 - 0 0.936
2 2 Oklahoma 7 - 0 0.914
3 3 Miami, Florida 6 - 0 0.899
4 4 Auburn 8 - 0 0.896
5 7 Wisconsin 8 - 0 0.864
6 6 Utah 7 - 0 0.860
7 5 Florida St. 6 - 1 0.860
8 8 Texas 6 - 1 0.845
9 10 California 5 - 1 0.835
10 11 Arizona St. 6 - 1 0.827
11 12 Texas A&M 6 - 1 0.817
12 13 Georgia 6 - 1 0.816
13 14 Michigan 7 - 1 0.807
14 17 Oklahoma St. 6 - 1 0.796
15 18 Louisville 5 - 1 0.787
16 15 Tennessee 6 - 1 0.783
17 9 Purdue 5 - 2 0.780
18 16 Virginia 6 - 1 0.780
19 19 Boise State 7 - 0 0.775
20 21 Virginia Tech 5 - 2 0.752
21 22 Louisiana St. 5 - 2 0.748
22 23 South Carolina 5 - 2 0.732
23 27 West Virginia 6 - 1 0.729
24 29 Iowa 5 - 2 0.719
25 32 Minnesota 6 - 2 0.714
26 20 Notre Dame 5 - 3 0.709
27 25 Alabama 5 - 3 0.696
28 24 Texas Tech 4 - 3 0.678
29 36 Southern Mississippi 5 - 1 0.673
30 39 Boston College 5 - 2 0.666
31 26 Stanford 4 - 3 0.657
32 31 North Carolina St. 4 - 3 0.649
33 45 Texas-El Paso 5 - 2 0.643
34 38 Bowling Green 5 - 2 0.643
35 33 Missouri 4 - 3 0.642
36 41 Ohio St. 4 - 3 0.641
37 34 Arkansas 3 - 4 0.637
38 37 UCLA 4 - 3 0.627
39 28 AL-Birmingham 5 - 2 0.626
40 40 Colorado 4 - 3 0.609
41 30 Florida 4 - 3 0.606
42 50 Oregon 4 - 3 0.597
43 44 Navy 6 - 1 0.595
44 42 Georgia Tech 4 - 2 0.594
45 58 Brigham Young 4 - 4 0.587
46 43 Michigan St. 4 - 3 0.585
47 59 Oregon St. 3 - 4 0.579
48 49 Connecticut 5 - 2 0.576
49 52 Wake Forest 3 - 4 0.569
50 57 Clemson 3 - 4 0.567
51 51 Northwestern 3 - 4 0.563
52 46 Kansas 3 - 4 0.561
53 35 Memphis 5 - 2 0.551
54 65 Marshall 4 - 3 0.550
55 69 Pittsburgh 5 - 2 0.539
56 63 Northern Illinois 6 - 2 0.539
57 55 Fresno St. 3 - 3 0.538
58 60 New Mexico 4 - 4 0.535
59 53 Maryland 3 - 4 0.533
60 66 Penn State 2 - 5 0.523
61 61 North Carolina 3 - 4 0.520
62 62 Troy St. 3 - 4 0.516
63 74 Kansas St. 3 - 4 0.514
64 48 Nebraska 4 - 3 0.514
65 47 Florida Atlantic* 5 - 1 0.512
66 68 Texas Christian 4 - 3 0.502
67 73 Miami, Ohio 5 - 3 0.501
68 54 Wyoming 4 - 3 0.500
69 64 Louisiana Tech 4 - 4 0.499
70 56 Washington St. 3 - 4 0.496
71 67 Mississippi 3 - 4 0.495
72 72 Toledo 6 - 2 0.484
73 78 Colorado St. 3 - 4 0.482
74 85 Cincinnati 3 - 4 0.475
75 71 Syracuse 3 - 4 0.471
76 75 Iowa St. 3 - 4 0.463
77 70 Air Force 3 - 4 0.462
78 80 Hawaii 3 - 3 0.429
79 77 Rice 3 - 4 0.418
80 76 Indiana 2 - 5 0.401
81 83 Nevada-Las Vegas 2 - 6 0.400
82 82 South Florida 2 - 4 0.387
83 79 Illinois 2 - 6 0.383
84 84 San Diego St. 2 - 5 0.383
85 81 Rutgers 4 - 3 0.378
86 89 Nevada 4 - 4 0.358
87 88 Vanderbilt 2 - 5 0.357
88 86 Houston 1 - 6 0.348
89 91 Army 2 - 4 0.348
90 95 North Texas 3 - 4 0.341
91 87 Ohio 3 - 5 0.338
92 96 Middle Tennessee St. 3 - 4 0.336
93 109 Tulane 2 - 4 0.330
94 102 LA-Monroe 3 - 4 0.324
95 93 Kentucky 1 - 6 0.315
96 100 LA-Lafayette 4 - 4 0.311
97 94 Tulsa 1 - 6 0.307
98 92 Baylor 2 - 5 0.304
99 105 Akron 4 - 4 0.300
100 99 Washington 1 - 6 0.296
101 90 Arizona 1 - 6 0.295
102 114 Mississippi St. 2 - 5 0.293
103 97 New Mexico St. 2 - 5 0.288
104 101 Duke 1 - 6 0.282
105 104 Utah St. 2 - 5 0.280
106 98 Arkansas St. 2 - 6 0.277
107 106 San Jose St. 2 - 4 0.257
108 110 East Carolina 1 - 5 0.254
109 108 Central Michigan 2 - 5 0.244
110 103 Florida International* 2 - 3 0.231
111 107 Western Michigan 2 - 5 0.228
112 111 Kent 1 - 6 0.222
113 112 Temple 1 - 7 0.220
114 115 Southern Methodist 1 - 6 0.203
115 113 Idaho 2 - 6 0.193
116 116 Eastern Michigan 2 - 5 0.188
117 119 Florida A&M* 3 - 5 0.182
118 117 Ball St. 1 - 7 0.176
119 118 Central Florida 0 - 7 0.143
120 120 Buffalo 1 - 7 0.137
121 121 Wild Card U. 5 - 46 0.136

2004 conference power ratings:

ConferenceRecord Power Rating
Independents 10-3 .652
Big Twelve 28-8 .638
ACC 21-8 .637
Big Ten 24-9 .634
SEC 23-9 .615
Pac-10 18-11 .615
Mountain West 15-16.526
Big East 18-11 .511
Conference USA 13-14.480
WAC 14-17 .443
MAC 10-31 .335
Sun Belt 11-26 .328

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