The following are the ARGH power ratings as of November 7, 2004. Teams included are the 117 Division 1-A teams, the two teams in the process of moving to Division 1-A (Florida Atlantic and Florida International), and Florida A&M, who plays more than half their schedule against rated teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .604, or about 5.37 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team without regard to location.
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This Week | Last Week | Team | 2004 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Southern California | 9 - 0 | 0.942 |
2 | 2 | Oklahoma | 9 - 0 | 0.919 |
3 | 3 | Auburn | 9 - 0 | 0.901 |
4 | 4 | California | 7 - 1 | 0.882 |
5 | 6 | Wisconsin | 9 - 0 | 0.881 |
6 | 5 | Texas | 8 - 1 | 0.876 |
7 | 7 | Utah | 9 - 0 | 0.863 |
8 | 9 | Georgia | 8 - 1 | 0.831 |
9 | 11 | Boise State | 8 - 0 | 0.825 |
10 | 10 | Florida St. | 7 - 2 | 0.822 |
11 | 15 | Virginia | 7 - 1 | 0.821 |
12 | 12 | Arizona St. | 7 - 2 | 0.820 |
13 | 14 | Michigan | 8 - 1 | 0.803 |
14 | 8 | Miami, Florida | 6 - 2 | 0.796 |
15 | 16 | Louisville | 6 - 1 | 0.784 |
16 | 19 | Virginia Tech | 7 - 2 | 0.782 |
17 | 13 | Tennessee | 7 - 2 | 0.771 |
18 | 18 | Texas A&M | 6 - 3 | 0.761 |
19 | 23 | Iowa | 7 - 2 | 0.761 |
20 | 20 | Louisiana St. | 6 - 2 | 0.757 |
21 | 21 | Purdue | 5 - 4 | 0.745 |
22 | 17 | Oklahoma St. | 6 - 3 | 0.743 |
23 | 22 | West Virginia | 8 - 1 | 0.733 |
24 | 25 | Notre Dame | 6 - 3 | 0.727 |
25 | 24 | Texas Tech | 6 - 3 | 0.715 |
26 | 29 | Ohio St. | 6 - 3 | 0.700 |
27 | 27 | South Carolina | 6 - 3 | 0.695 |
28 | 26 | Alabama | 6 - 3 | 0.678 |
29 | 31 | Texas-El Paso | 6 - 2 | 0.666 |
30 | 33 | Boston College | 6 - 2 | 0.664 |
31 | 35 | Bowling Green | 7 - 2 | 0.652 |
32 | 45 | Clemson | 5 - 4 | 0.640 |
33 | 34 | Arkansas | 3 - 5 | 0.636 |
34 | 32 | Minnesota | 6 - 4 | 0.632 |
35 | 40 | Oregon | 5 - 4 | 0.632 |
36 | 30 | UCLA | 5 - 4 | 0.628 |
37 | 38 | Stanford | 4 - 5 | 0.625 |
38 | 42 | Oregon St. | 4 - 5 | 0.620 |
39 | 39 | Florida | 5 - 4 | 0.620 |
40 | 43 | Northwestern | 5 - 4 | 0.618 |
41 | 47 | Brigham Young | 5 - 4 | 0.616 |
42 | 49 | Colorado | 5 - 4 | 0.608 |
43 | 55 | Georgia Tech | 5 - 3 | 0.604 |
44 | 52 | Fresno St. | 5 - 3 | 0.599 |
45 | 28 | Southern Mississippi | 5 - 2 | 0.597 |
46 | 50 | New Mexico | 5 - 4 | 0.581 |
47 | 59 | Troy St. | 5 - 4 | 0.580 |
48 | 66 | Cincinnati | 5 - 4 | 0.579 |
49 | 37 | North Carolina St. | 4 - 5 | 0.578 |
50 | 44 | Maryland | 4 - 5 | 0.574 |
51 | 36 | AL-Birmingham | 5 - 3 | 0.567 |
52 | 53 | North Carolina | 4 - 5 | 0.557 |
53 | 57 | Wake Forest | 4 - 4 | 0.556 |
54 | 41 | Missouri | 4 - 5 | 0.554 |
55 | 46 | Michigan St. | 4 - 5 | 0.552 |
56 | 65 | Syracuse | 5 - 4 | 0.550 |
57 | 63 | Wyoming | 6 - 3 | 0.548 |
58 | 72 | Washington St. | 4 - 5 | 0.543 |
59 | 61 | Northern Illinois | 7 - 2 | 0.540 |
60 | 58 | Memphis | 5 - 3 | 0.531 |
61 | 68 | Iowa St. | 5 - 4 | 0.530 |
62 | 67 | Miami, Ohio | 6 - 3 | 0.527 |
63 | 70 | Kansas St. | 4 - 5 | 0.527 |
64 | 51 | Nebraska | 5 - 4 | 0.524 |
65 | 64 | Connecticut | 5 - 3 | 0.521 |
66 | 54 | Marshall | 5 - 4 | 0.519 |
67 | 56 | Florida Atlantic* | 6 - 2 | 0.518 |
68 | 60 | Kansas | 3 - 6 | 0.513 |
69 | 62 | Pittsburgh | 5 - 3 | 0.494 |
70 | 75 | Texas Christian | 4 - 4 | 0.480 |
71 | 48 | Navy | 7 - 2 | 0.478 |
72 | 71 | Penn State | 2 - 7 | 0.466 |
73 | 73 | Mississippi | 3 - 5 | 0.463 |
74 | 77 | Air Force | 4 - 5 | 0.461 |
75 | 69 | Louisiana Tech | 4 - 5 | 0.449 |
76 | 87 | South Florida | 3 - 4 | 0.441 |
77 | 74 | Toledo | 6 - 3 | 0.439 |
78 | 76 | Indiana | 3 - 6 | 0.432 |
79 | 78 | Colorado St. | 3 - 6 | 0.430 |
80 | 81 | Hawaii | 4 - 4 | 0.407 |
81 | 82 | North Texas | 5 - 4 | 0.403 |
82 | 89 | Illinois | 3 - 7 | 0.383 |
83 | 93 | New Mexico St. | 4 - 5 | 0.382 |
84 | 79 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 2 - 7 | 0.380 |
85 | 83 | Rutgers | 4 - 5 | 0.375 |
86 | 88 | Houston | 3 - 6 | 0.373 |
87 | 80 | Baylor | 3 - 6 | 0.372 |
88 | 91 | Nevada | 5 - 4 | 0.347 |
89 | 85 | San Diego St. | 2 - 7 | 0.341 |
90 | 98 | Akron | 5 - 4 | 0.339 |
91 | 100 | Tulane | 3 - 5 | 0.339 |
92 | 103 | Arizona | 2 - 7 | 0.334 |
93 | 84 | Middle Tennessee St. | 4 - 5 | 0.330 |
94 | 86 | Rice | 3 - 6 | 0.327 |
95 | 96 | LA-Monroe | 4 - 5 | 0.326 |
96 | 90 | Vanderbilt | 2 - 7 | 0.313 |
97 | 94 | Mississippi St. | 3 - 6 | 0.313 |
98 | 105 | Kent | 3 - 6 | 0.306 |
99 | 97 | Army | 2 - 6 | 0.300 |
100 | 92 | Tulsa | 2 - 7 | 0.293 |
101 | 101 | Ohio | 4 - 6 | 0.288 |
102 | 95 | LA-Lafayette | 4 - 5 | 0.286 |
103 | 99 | East Carolina | 2 - 6 | 0.277 |
104 | 104 | Duke | 1 - 8 | 0.276 |
105 | 107 | Central Michigan | 3 - 6 | 0.246 |
106 | 111 | Eastern Michigan | 4 - 5 | 0.245 |
107 | 102 | Arkansas St. | 2 - 7 | 0.242 |
108 | 108 | Kentucky | 1 - 8 | 0.239 |
109 | 109 | Utah St. | 2 - 7 | 0.234 |
110 | 106 | Washington | 1 - 8 | 0.231 |
111 | 114 | Idaho | 3 - 7 | 0.221 |
112 | 112 | Temple | 1 - 8 | 0.217 |
113 | 110 | San Jose St. | 2 - 6 | 0.216 |
114 | 115 | Southern Methodist | 2 - 7 | 0.214 |
115 | 113 | Florida International* | 2 - 4 | 0.201 |
116 | 116 | Florida A&M* | 3 - 6 | 0.167 |
117 | 117 | Ball St. | 1 - 8 | 0.165 |
118 | 118 | Western Michigan | 1 - 8 | 0.149 |
119 | 120 | Wild Card U. | 5 - 47 | 0.129 |
120 | 119 | Buffalo | 1 - 8 | 0.121 |
121 | 121 | Central Florida | 0 - 9 | 0.116 |
2004 conference power ratings:
Conference | Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
ACC | 21-8 | .637 |
Big Twelve | 28-8 | .637 |
Big Ten | 24-9 | .634 |
Pac-10 | 18-11 | .626 |
Independents | 12-4 | .603 |
SEC | 23-10 | .601 |
Mountain West | 16-16 | .527 |
Big East | 18-11 | .508 |
Conference USA | 14-15 | .479 |
WAC | 14-17 | .434 |
Sun Belt | 12-26 | .338 |
MAC | 10-31 | .332 |