The following are the ARGH power ratings as of November 14, 2004. Teams included are the 117 Division 1-A teams, the two teams in the process of moving to Division 1-A (Florida Atlantic and Florida International), and Florida A&M, who plays more than half their schedule against rated teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .614, or about 5.82 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team without regard to location.
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This Week | Last Week | Team | 2004 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Southern California | 10 - 0 | 0.942 |
2 | 2 | Oklahoma | 10 - 0 | 0.923 |
3 | 3 | Auburn | 10 - 0 | 0.918 |
4 | 4 | California | 8 - 1 | 0.883 |
5 | 6 | Texas | 9 - 1 | 0.880 |
6 | 7 | Utah | 10 - 0 | 0.869 |
7 | 10 | Florida St. | 8 - 2 | 0.833 |
8 | 14 | Miami, Florida | 7 - 2 | 0.825 |
9 | 12 | Arizona St. | 8 - 2 | 0.820 |
10 | 13 | Michigan | 9 - 1 | 0.819 |
11 | 9 | Boise State | 9 - 0 | 0.803 |
12 | 8 | Georgia | 8 - 2 | 0.800 |
13 | 15 | Louisville | 7 - 1 | 0.797 |
14 | 11 | Virginia | 7 - 2 | 0.788 |
15 | 16 | Virginia Tech | 7 - 2 | 0.784 |
16 | 20 | Louisiana St. | 7 - 2 | 0.783 |
17 | 5 | Wisconsin | 9 - 1 | 0.782 |
18 | 19 | Iowa | 8 - 2 | 0.781 |
19 | 18 | Texas A&M | 7 - 3 | 0.774 |
20 | 17 | Tennessee | 7 - 2 | 0.757 |
21 | 22 | Oklahoma St. | 7 - 3 | 0.756 |
22 | 21 | Purdue | 6 - 4 | 0.751 |
23 | 30 | Boston College | 7 - 2 | 0.713 |
24 | 25 | Texas Tech | 6 - 4 | 0.706 |
25 | 24 | Notre Dame | 6 - 4 | 0.687 |
26 | 23 | West Virginia | 8 - 2 | 0.672 |
27 | 29 | Texas-El Paso | 7 - 2 | 0.672 |
28 | 26 | Ohio St. | 6 - 4 | 0.670 |
29 | 39 | Florida | 6 - 4 | 0.663 |
30 | 31 | Bowling Green | 8 - 2 | 0.662 |
31 | 36 | UCLA | 6 - 4 | 0.657 |
32 | 33 | Arkansas | 4 - 5 | 0.657 |
33 | 38 | Oregon St. | 5 - 5 | 0.649 |
34 | 43 | Georgia Tech | 6 - 3 | 0.645 |
35 | 44 | Fresno St. | 6 - 3 | 0.643 |
36 | 28 | Alabama | 6 - 4 | 0.641 |
37 | 42 | Colorado | 6 - 4 | 0.634 |
38 | 27 | South Carolina | 6 - 4 | 0.628 |
39 | 34 | Minnesota | 6 - 5 | 0.621 |
40 | 46 | New Mexico | 6 - 4 | 0.620 |
41 | 55 | Michigan St. | 5 - 5 | 0.609 |
42 | 52 | North Carolina | 5 - 5 | 0.597 |
43 | 32 | Clemson | 5 - 5 | 0.593 |
44 | 35 | Oregon | 5 - 5 | 0.591 |
45 | 37 | Stanford | 4 - 6 | 0.590 |
46 | 40 | Northwestern | 5 - 5 | 0.588 |
47 | 51 | AL-Birmingham | 6 - 3 | 0.583 |
48 | 47 | Troy St. | 6 - 4 | 0.579 |
49 | 50 | Maryland | 4 - 5 | 0.574 |
50 | 41 | Brigham Young | 5 - 5 | 0.568 |
51 | 49 | North Carolina St. | 4 - 6 | 0.568 |
52 | 48 | Cincinnati | 5 - 4 | 0.561 |
53 | 54 | Missouri | 4 - 5 | 0.560 |
54 | 45 | Southern Mississippi | 5 - 3 | 0.558 |
55 | 60 | Memphis | 6 - 3 | 0.554 |
56 | 69 | Pittsburgh | 6 - 3 | 0.548 |
57 | 58 | Washington St. | 4 - 6 | 0.541 |
58 | 61 | Iowa St. | 5 - 4 | 0.537 |
59 | 62 | Miami, Ohio | 7 - 3 | 0.537 |
60 | 64 | Nebraska | 5 - 5 | 0.526 |
61 | 57 | Wyoming | 6 - 4 | 0.521 |
62 | 53 | Wake Forest | 4 - 5 | 0.521 |
63 | 63 | Kansas St. | 4 - 6 | 0.519 |
64 | 68 | Kansas | 3 - 7 | 0.518 |
65 | 56 | Syracuse | 5 - 5 | 0.502 |
66 | 65 | Connecticut | 5 - 4 | 0.500 |
67 | 59 | Northern Illinois | 7 - 3 | 0.491 |
68 | 66 | Marshall | 5 - 5 | 0.484 |
69 | 72 | Penn State | 3 - 7 | 0.483 |
70 | 77 | Toledo | 7 - 3 | 0.481 |
71 | 75 | Louisiana Tech | 5 - 5 | 0.480 |
72 | 79 | Colorado St. | 4 - 6 | 0.472 |
73 | 71 | Navy | 7 - 2 | 0.471 |
74 | 70 | Texas Christian | 4 - 5 | 0.463 |
75 | 76 | South Florida | 4 - 4 | 0.447 |
76 | 67 | Florida Atlantic* | 6 - 3 | 0.446 |
77 | 83 | New Mexico St. | 5 - 5 | 0.437 |
78 | 81 | North Texas | 6 - 4 | 0.416 |
79 | 73 | Mississippi | 3 - 6 | 0.416 |
80 | 74 | Air Force | 4 - 6 | 0.409 |
81 | 78 | Indiana | 3 - 7 | 0.398 |
82 | 85 | Rutgers | 4 - 5 | 0.389 |
83 | 89 | San Diego St. | 3 - 7 | 0.388 |
84 | 82 | Illinois | 3 - 7 | 0.382 |
85 | 87 | Baylor | 3 - 7 | 0.375 |
86 | 90 | Akron | 6 - 4 | 0.369 |
87 | 80 | Hawaii | 4 - 5 | 0.361 |
88 | 93 | Middle Tennessee St. | 5 - 5 | 0.357 |
89 | 91 | Tulane | 4 - 5 | 0.356 |
90 | 98 | Kent | 4 - 6 | 0.354 |
91 | 86 | Houston | 3 - 7 | 0.353 |
92 | 94 | Rice | 3 - 7 | 0.332 |
93 | 104 | Duke | 2 - 8 | 0.325 |
94 | 97 | Mississippi St. | 3 - 6 | 0.321 |
95 | 92 | Arizona | 2 - 8 | 0.321 |
96 | 84 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 2 - 8 | 0.316 |
97 | 88 | Nevada | 5 - 5 | 0.310 |
98 | 95 | LA-Monroe | 4 - 6 | 0.299 |
99 | 102 | LA-Lafayette | 4 - 6 | 0.288 |
100 | 96 | Vanderbilt | 2 - 8 | 0.286 |
101 | 100 | Tulsa | 2 - 8 | 0.274 |
102 | 101 | Ohio | 4 - 7 | 0.273 |
103 | 112 | Temple | 2 - 8 | 0.271 |
104 | 99 | Army | 2 - 7 | 0.270 |
105 | 107 | Arkansas St. | 3 - 7 | 0.259 |
106 | 108 | Kentucky | 2 - 8 | 0.258 |
107 | 114 | Southern Methodist | 3 - 7 | 0.255 |
108 | 103 | East Carolina | 2 - 7 | 0.245 |
109 | 113 | San Jose St. | 2 - 7 | 0.231 |
110 | 110 | Washington | 1 - 9 | 0.226 |
111 | 106 | Eastern Michigan | 4 - 6 | 0.223 |
112 | 105 | Central Michigan | 3 - 7 | 0.209 |
113 | 111 | Idaho | 3 - 8 | 0.206 |
114 | 109 | Utah St. | 2 - 8 | 0.198 |
115 | 117 | Ball St. | 2 - 8 | 0.185 |
116 | 116 | Florida A&M* | 3 - 6 | 0.170 |
117 | 115 | Florida International* | 2 - 5 | 0.160 |
118 | 120 | Buffalo | 2 - 8 | 0.151 |
119 | 118 | Western Michigan | 1 - 9 | 0.141 |
120 | 119 | Wild Card U. | 6 - 47 | 0.138 |
121 | 121 | Central Florida | 0 - 10 | 0.103 |
2004 conference power ratings:
Conference | Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
Big Twelve | 28-8 | .642 |
ACC | 22-8 | .641 |
Big Ten | 24-9 | .626 |
Pac-10 | 18-11 | .622 |
SEC | 23-10 | .594 |
Independents | 12-5 | .579 |
Mountain West | 16-16 | .520 |
Big East | 19-12 | .513 |
Conference USA | 14-15 | .472 |
WAC | 14-17 | .436 |
MAC | 10-31 | .333 |
Sun Belt | 12-27 | .331 |