ARGH 2004 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings as of November 21, 2004. Teams included are the 117 Division 1-A teams, the two teams in the process of moving to Division 1-A (Florida Atlantic and Florida International), and Florida A&M, who plays more than half their schedule against rated teams.

The estimated home field advantage is .619, or about 6.16 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team without regard to location.

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This WeekLast Week Team 2004 Record Power Rating
1 1 Southern California 10 - 0 0.945
2 2 Oklahoma 11 - 0 0.933
3 3 Auburn 11 - 0 0.929
4 4 California 9 - 1 0.898
5 5 Texas 9 - 1 0.887
6 6 Utah 11 - 0 0.884
7 8 Miami, Florida 8 - 2 0.844
8 11 Boise State 10 - 0 0.830
9 9 Arizona St. 8 - 2 0.826
10 18 Iowa 9 - 2 0.817
11 13 Louisville 8 - 1 0.815
12 14 Virginia 8 - 2 0.814
13 15 Virginia Tech 8 - 2 0.809
14 12 Georgia 8 - 2 0.806
15 7 Florida St. 8 - 3 0.802
16 10 Michigan 9 - 2 0.789
17 16 Louisiana St. 8 - 2 0.785
18 19 Texas A&M 7 - 3 0.784
19 22 Purdue 7 - 4 0.767
20 21 Oklahoma St. 7 - 3 0.765
21 20 Tennessee 8 - 2 0.748
22 17 Wisconsin 9 - 2 0.748
23 23 Boston College 8 - 2 0.723
24 24 Texas Tech 6 - 4 0.719
25 28 Ohio St. 7 - 4 0.718
26 29 Florida 7 - 4 0.707
27 27 Texas-El Paso 8 - 2 0.686
28 33 Oregon St. 6 - 5 0.683
29 25 Notre Dame 6 - 4 0.681
30 26 West Virginia 8 - 2 0.669
31 30 Bowling Green 8 - 2 0.668
32 35 Fresno St. 7 - 3 0.664
33 32 Arkansas 5 - 5 0.663
34 31 UCLA 6 - 4 0.655
35 40 New Mexico 7 - 4 0.638
36 37 Colorado 6 - 4 0.636
37 36 Alabama 6 - 5 0.633
38 43 Clemson 6 - 5 0.623
39 39 Minnesota 6 - 5 0.620
40 34 Georgia Tech 6 - 4 0.613
41 42 North Carolina 6 - 5 0.612
42 46 Northwestern 6 - 5 0.605
43 38 South Carolina 6 - 5 0.594
44 47 AL-Birmingham 7 - 3 0.592
45 52 Cincinnati 6 - 4 0.591
46 58 Iowa St. 6 - 4 0.590
47 48 Troy St. 7 - 4 0.587
48 64 Kansas 4 - 7 0.572
49 41 Michigan St. 5 - 6 0.570
50 51 North Carolina St. 4 - 6 0.567
51 45 Stanford 4 - 7 0.565
52 59 Miami, Ohio 8 - 3 0.557
53 44 Oregon 5 - 6 0.551
54 55 Memphis 7 - 3 0.551
55 50 Brigham Young 5 - 6 0.550
56 69 Penn State 4 - 7 0.548
57 56 Pittsburgh 6 - 3 0.543
58 57 Washington St. 5 - 6 0.533
59 73 Navy 8 - 2 0.525
60 60 Nebraska 5 - 5 0.524
61 53 Missouri 4 - 6 0.514
62 49 Maryland 4 - 6 0.513
63 61 Wyoming 6 - 5 0.511
64 67 Northern Illinois 8 - 3 0.507
65 54 Southern Mississippi 5 - 4 0.504
66 66 Connecticut 6 - 4 0.504
67 74 Texas Christian 5 - 5 0.502
68 65 Syracuse 5 - 5 0.497
69 62 Wake Forest 4 - 6 0.488
70 63 Kansas St. 4 - 7 0.488
71 70 Toledo 7 - 3 0.486
72 68 Marshall 6 - 5 0.483
73 76 Florida Atlantic* 7 - 3 0.465
74 71 Louisiana Tech 5 - 6 0.464
75 80 Air Force 5 - 6 0.453
76 78 North Texas 7 - 4 0.433
77 72 Colorado St. 4 - 7 0.426
78 79 Mississippi 3 - 7 0.415
79 75 South Florida 4 - 5 0.415
80 83 San Diego St. 4 - 7 0.404
81 77 New Mexico St. 5 - 6 0.392
82 81 Indiana 3 - 8 0.381
83 87 Hawaii 5 - 5 0.379
84 85 Baylor 3 - 8 0.369
85 84 Illinois 3 - 8 0.366
86 90 Kent 4 - 6 0.357
87 86 Akron 6 - 5 0.352
88 89 Tulane 4 - 5 0.351
89 82 Rutgers 4 - 6 0.350
90 88 Middle Tennessee St. 5 - 6 0.340
91 92 Rice 3 - 7 0.339
92 91 Houston 3 - 8 0.334
93 94 Mississippi St. 3 - 7 0.322
94 95 Arizona 2 - 8 0.313
95 98 LA-Monroe 5 - 6 0.301
96 97 Nevada 5 - 6 0.299
97 101 Tulsa 3 - 8 0.297
98 93 Duke 2 - 9 0.295
99 100 Vanderbilt 2 - 9 0.293
100 96 Nevada-Las Vegas 2 - 9 0.280
101 102 Ohio 4 - 7 0.270
102 104 Army 2 - 8 0.266
103 107 Southern Methodist 3 - 8 0.257
104 99 LA-Lafayette 4 - 7 0.256
105 106 Kentucky 2 - 8 0.254
106 103 Temple 2 - 9 0.251
107 108 East Carolina 2 - 8 0.231
108 114 Utah St. 3 - 8 0.229
109 105 Arkansas St. 3 - 8 0.224
110 110 Washington 1 - 10 0.217
111 112 Central Michigan 4 - 7 0.215
112 109 San Jose St. 2 - 8 0.214
113 111 Eastern Michigan 4 - 7 0.210
114 113 Idaho 3 - 9 0.186
115 115 Ball St. 2 - 9 0.171
116 116 Florida A&M* 3 - 7 0.156
117 120 Wild Card U. 8 - 48 0.144
118 118 Buffalo 2 - 9 0.139
119 119 Western Michigan 1 - 10 0.138
120 117 Florida International* 2 - 6 0.121
121 121 Central Florida 0 - 10 0.098

2004 conference power ratings:

ConferenceRecord Power Rating
Big Twelve 28-8 .648
ACC 23-9 .635
Big Ten 24-9 .630
Pac-10 18-11 .619
Independents 13-5 .603
SEC 24-11 .596
Mountain West 16-16.518
Big East 21-13 .505
Conference USA 14-15.468
WAC 15-17 .443
MAC 10-32 .332
Sun Belt 13-29 .321

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