The following are the ARGH power ratings as of December 5, 2004. Teams included are the 117 Division 1-A teams, the two teams in the process of moving to Division 1-A (Florida Atlantic and Florida International), and Florida A&M, who plays more than half their schedule against rated teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .617, or about 6.12 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team without regard to location.
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This Week | Last Week | Team | 2004 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Southern California | 12 - 0 | 0.949 |
2 | 2 | Oklahoma | 12 - 0 | 0.942 |
3 | 3 | Auburn | 12 - 0 | 0.929 |
4 | 4 | California | 10 - 1 | 0.902 |
5 | 5 | Texas | 10 - 1 | 0.895 |
6 | 6 | Utah | 11 - 0 | 0.885 |
7 | 10 | Virginia Tech | 10 - 2 | 0.857 |
8 | 9 | Louisville | 10 - 1 | 0.845 |
9 | 8 | Boise State | 11 - 0 | 0.845 |
10 | 7 | Miami, Florida | 8 - 3 | 0.825 |
11 | 11 | Louisiana St. | 9 - 2 | 0.814 |
12 | 12 | Georgia | 9 - 2 | 0.811 |
13 | 14 | Florida St. | 8 - 3 | 0.801 |
14 | 13 | Iowa | 9 - 2 | 0.801 |
15 | 15 | Virginia | 8 - 3 | 0.796 |
16 | 16 | Arizona St. | 8 - 3 | 0.779 |
17 | 18 | Texas A&M | 7 - 4 | 0.772 |
18 | 17 | Michigan | 9 - 2 | 0.771 |
19 | 19 | Purdue | 7 - 4 | 0.754 |
20 | 20 | Oklahoma St. | 7 - 4 | 0.743 |
21 | 21 | Texas Tech | 7 - 4 | 0.742 |
22 | 22 | Wisconsin | 9 - 2 | 0.734 |
23 | 23 | Tennessee | 9 - 3 | 0.726 |
24 | 24 | Florida | 7 - 4 | 0.704 |
25 | 25 | Ohio St. | 7 - 4 | 0.696 |
26 | 26 | Oregon St. | 6 - 5 | 0.686 |
27 | 27 | Fresno St. | 8 - 3 | 0.676 |
28 | 28 | Notre Dame | 6 - 5 | 0.657 |
29 | 30 | UCLA | 6 - 5 | 0.652 |
30 | 33 | West Virginia | 8 - 3 | 0.646 |
31 | 31 | Boston College | 8 - 3 | 0.644 |
32 | 34 | Texas-El Paso | 8 - 3 | 0.643 |
33 | 32 | New Mexico | 7 - 4 | 0.640 |
34 | 35 | Arkansas | 5 - 6 | 0.634 |
35 | 29 | Colorado | 7 - 5 | 0.633 |
36 | 36 | Alabama | 6 - 5 | 0.631 |
37 | 38 | Bowling Green | 8 - 3 | 0.621 |
38 | 37 | Clemson | 6 - 5 | 0.621 |
39 | 39 | North Carolina | 6 - 5 | 0.617 |
40 | 40 | Georgia Tech | 6 - 5 | 0.617 |
41 | 41 | Minnesota | 6 - 5 | 0.604 |
42 | 47 | Pittsburgh | 8 - 3 | 0.601 |
43 | 42 | North Carolina St. | 5 - 6 | 0.601 |
44 | 43 | Troy St. | 7 - 4 | 0.595 |
45 | 44 | South Carolina | 6 - 5 | 0.587 |
46 | 45 | Kansas | 4 - 7 | 0.578 |
47 | 46 | Memphis | 8 - 3 | 0.562 |
48 | 48 | Stanford | 4 - 7 | 0.558 |
49 | 62 | Navy | 9 - 2 | 0.557 |
50 | 50 | Northwestern | 6 - 6 | 0.553 |
51 | 56 | Syracuse | 6 - 5 | 0.551 |
52 | 51 | Iowa St. | 6 - 5 | 0.551 |
53 | 54 | Oregon | 5 - 6 | 0.551 |
54 | 57 | Brigham Young | 5 - 6 | 0.548 |
55 | 55 | Missouri | 5 - 6 | 0.545 |
56 | 65 | Toledo | 9 - 3 | 0.542 |
57 | 53 | AL-Birmingham | 7 - 4 | 0.539 |
58 | 60 | Maryland | 5 - 6 | 0.535 |
59 | 58 | Washington St. | 5 - 6 | 0.533 |
60 | 49 | Michigan St. | 5 - 7 | 0.526 |
61 | 52 | Miami, Ohio | 8 - 4 | 0.523 |
62 | 61 | Penn State | 4 - 7 | 0.521 |
63 | 59 | Cincinnati | 6 - 5 | 0.519 |
64 | 63 | Connecticut | 7 - 4 | 0.516 |
65 | 66 | Wyoming | 6 - 5 | 0.511 |
66 | 68 | Louisiana Tech | 6 - 6 | 0.509 |
67 | 67 | Nebraska | 5 - 6 | 0.509 |
68 | 64 | Southern Mississippi | 6 - 5 | 0.504 |
69 | 69 | Northern Illinois | 8 - 3 | 0.504 |
70 | 70 | Kansas St. | 4 - 7 | 0.488 |
71 | 71 | Florida Atlantic* | 9 - 3 | 0.484 |
72 | 72 | Marshall | 6 - 5 | 0.475 |
73 | 73 | Wake Forest | 4 - 7 | 0.467 |
74 | 74 | Air Force | 5 - 6 | 0.451 |
75 | 79 | Hawaii | 7 - 5 | 0.446 |
76 | 76 | North Texas | 7 - 4 | 0.439 |
77 | 75 | Texas Christian | 5 - 6 | 0.437 |
78 | 77 | Mississippi | 4 - 7 | 0.435 |
79 | 78 | Colorado St. | 4 - 7 | 0.424 |
80 | 80 | San Diego St. | 4 - 7 | 0.402 |
81 | 81 | New Mexico St. | 5 - 6 | 0.395 |
82 | 82 | Arizona | 3 - 8 | 0.389 |
83 | 86 | Baylor | 3 - 8 | 0.365 |
84 | 85 | Indiana | 3 - 8 | 0.362 |
85 | 87 | Kent | 5 - 6 | 0.360 |
86 | 83 | Tulane | 5 - 6 | 0.348 |
87 | 88 | Illinois | 3 - 8 | 0.347 |
88 | 90 | Middle Tennessee St. | 5 - 6 | 0.346 |
89 | 91 | Tulsa | 4 - 8 | 0.345 |
90 | 89 | Akron | 6 - 5 | 0.344 |
91 | 92 | Rutgers | 4 - 7 | 0.336 |
92 | 84 | South Florida | 4 - 7 | 0.334 |
93 | 93 | Houston | 3 - 8 | 0.320 |
94 | 95 | Rice | 3 - 8 | 0.311 |
95 | 94 | LA-Monroe | 5 - 6 | 0.309 |
96 | 96 | Nevada | 5 - 7 | 0.305 |
97 | 98 | Duke | 2 - 9 | 0.301 |
98 | 99 | Vanderbilt | 2 - 9 | 0.293 |
99 | 97 | Mississippi St. | 3 - 8 | 0.293 |
100 | 100 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 2 - 9 | 0.277 |
101 | 101 | Ohio | 4 - 7 | 0.271 |
102 | 102 | Kentucky | 2 - 9 | 0.267 |
103 | 103 | LA-Lafayette | 4 - 7 | 0.265 |
104 | 104 | Southern Methodist | 3 - 8 | 0.258 |
105 | 106 | Temple | 2 - 9 | 0.253 |
106 | 105 | Army | 2 - 9 | 0.234 |
107 | 107 | Utah St. | 3 - 8 | 0.232 |
108 | 108 | Arkansas St. | 3 - 8 | 0.232 |
109 | 109 | Washington | 1 - 10 | 0.221 |
110 | 111 | Central Michigan | 4 - 7 | 0.212 |
111 | 113 | San Jose St. | 2 - 9 | 0.211 |
112 | 112 | Eastern Michigan | 4 - 7 | 0.211 |
113 | 110 | East Carolina | 2 - 9 | 0.207 |
114 | 114 | Idaho | 3 - 9 | 0.193 |
115 | 115 | Ball St. | 2 - 9 | 0.168 |
116 | 119 | Florida International* | 3 - 7 | 0.144 |
117 | 116 | Wild Card U. | 8 - 49 | 0.142 |
118 | 117 | Florida A&M* | 3 - 8 | 0.142 |
119 | 118 | Buffalo | 2 - 9 | 0.139 |
120 | 120 | Western Michigan | 1 - 10 | 0.139 |
121 | 121 | Central Florida | 0 - 11 | 0.090 |
2004 conference power ratings:
Conference | Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
Big Twelve | 28-8 | .647 |
ACC | 24-10 | .640 |
Pac-10 | 20-11 | .622 |
Independents | 14-6 | .607 |
Big Ten | 24-11 | .606 |
SEC | 25-11 | .594 |
Mountain West | 16-16 | .517 |
Big East | 22-13 | .507 |
WAC | 17-17 | .455 |
Conference USA | 14-19 | .441 |
Sun Belt | 15-29 | .330 |
MAC | 10-32 | .328 |