The following are the pre-season ARGH power ratings for 1999. These are final, although I reserve the right to revise them should there be a coaching change between now and the beginning of the season.
Click here to see the factors used to calculate this year's preseason power ratings.
Click here to see two sets of projected records for each team.
Click here to see strength of schedule, both overall and non-conference, for each team.
The estimated home field advantage at the beginning of the year is .583.
| 1999 | 1998 | Team | 1998 Record | Power Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Florida St. | 11 - 2 | 0.899 |
| 2 | 1 | Tennessee | 13 - 0 | 0.874 |
| 3 | 2 | Ohio St. | 11 - 1 | 0.832 |
| 4 | 12 | Penn State | 9 - 3 | 0.831 |
| 5 | 8 | Texas A&M | 11 - 3 | 0.823 |
| 6 | 11 | Nebraska | 9 - 4 | 0.819 |
| 7 | 14 | Michigan | 10 - 3 | 0.805 |
| 8 | 6 | Florida | 10 - 2 | 0.803 |
| 9 | 7 | Arizona | 12 - 1 | 0.801 |
| 10 | 4 | Wisconsin | 11 - 1 | 0.788 |
| 11 | 16 | Purdue | 9 - 4 | 0.772 |
| 12 | 34 | Marshall | 12 - 1 | 0.757 |
| 13 | 10 | UCLA | 10 - 2 | 0.750 |
| 14 | 5 | Kansas St. | 11 - 2 | 0.733 |
| 15 | 23 | Southern California | 8 - 5 | 0.721 |
| 16 | 36 | Michigan St. | 6 - 6 | 0.709 |
| 17 | 24 | Georgia | 9 - 3 | 0.706 |
| 18 | 28 | Miami, Florida | 9 - 3 | 0.702 |
| 19 | 15 | Virginia Tech | 9 - 3 | 0.699 |
| 20 | 18 | Georgia Tech | 10 - 2 | 0.697 |
| 21 | 9 | Air Force | 12 - 1 | 0.693 |
| 22 | 20 | Virginia | 9 - 3 | 0.692 |
| 23 | 49 | Mississippi | 7 - 5 | 0.690 |
| 24 | 30 | Colorado | 8 - 4 | 0.684 |
| 25 | 17 | Arkansas | 9 - 3 | 0.669 |
| 26 | 40 | Louisiana St. | 4 - 7 | 0.661 |
| 27 | 22 | Syracuse | 8 - 4 | 0.659 |
| 28 | 38 | Alabama | 7 - 5 | 0.652 |
| 29 | 26 | Miami, Ohio | 10 - 1 | 0.650 |
| 30 | 19 | Texas | 9 - 3 | 0.639 |
| 31 | 54 | Louisiana Tech | 6 - 6 | 0.638 |
| 32 | 27 | Oregon | 8 - 4 | 0.637 |
| 33 | 25 | Notre Dame | 9 - 3 | 0.634 |
| 34 | 37 | Texas Tech | 7 - 5 | 0.631 |
| 35 | 79 | Washington St. | 3 - 8 | 0.612 |
| 36 | 47 | Arizona St. | 5 - 6 | 0.608 |
| 37 | 42 | North Carolina St. | 7 - 5 | 0.600 |
| 38 | 41 | Washington | 6 - 6 | 0.597 |
| 39 | 21 | Missouri | 8 - 4 | 0.594 |
| 40 | 69 | Stanford | 3 - 8 | 0.592 |
| 41 | 50 | Minnesota | 5 - 6 | 0.589 |
| 42 | 32 | Southern Mississippi | 7 - 5 | 0.588 |
| 43 | 44 | North Carolina | 7 - 5 | 0.585 |
| 44 | 61 | Indiana | 4 - 7 | 0.585 |
| 45 | 29 | West Virginia | 8 - 4 | 0.582 |
| 46 | 59 | Auburn | 3 - 8 | 0.582 |
| 47 | 43 | Wyoming | 8 - 3 | 0.579 |
| 48 | 13 | Tulane | 12 - 0 | 0.579 |
| 49 | 57 | Idaho | 9 - 3 | 0.570 |
| 50 | 52 | Utah | 7 - 4 | 0.558 |
| 51 | 31 | Mississippi St. | 8 - 5 | 0.551 |
| 52 | 35 | Colorado St. | 8 - 4 | 0.547 |
| 53 | 58 | Louisville | 7 - 5 | 0.547 |
| 54 | 46 | Oklahoma St. | 5 - 6 | 0.546 |
| 55 | 65 | Nevada | 6 - 5 | 0.542 |
| 56 | 53 | San Diego St. | 7 - 5 | 0.537 |
| 57 | 56 | Oklahoma | 5 - 6 | 0.523 |
| 58 | 33 | Kentucky | 7 - 5 | 0.523 |
| 59 | 45 | Brigham Young | 9 - 5 | 0.516 |
| 60 | 76 | Houston | 3 - 8 | 0.493 |
| 61 | 80 | Duke | 4 - 7 | 0.491 |
| 62 | 72 | Western Michigan | 7 - 4 | 0.490 |
| 63 | 63 | Toledo | 7 - 5 | 0.489 |
| 64 | 48 | Texas Christian | 7 - 5 | 0.485 |
| 65 | 55 | California | 5 - 6 | 0.477 |
| 66 | 67 | Kansas | 4 - 7 | 0.475 |
| 67 | 60 | Rice | 5 - 6 | 0.468 |
| 68 | 78 | Baylor | 2 - 9 | 0.454 |
| 69 | 39 | Central Florida | 9 - 2 | 0.452 |
| 70 | 73 | Iowa | 3 - 8 | 0.446 |
| 71 | 101 | Vanderbilt | 2 - 9 | 0.433 |
| 72 | 51 | Oregon St. | 5 - 6 | 0.432 |
| 73 | 68 | East Carolina | 6 - 5 | 0.432 |
| 74 | 88 | AL-Birmingham | 4 - 7 | 0.423 |
| 75 | 62 | Fresno St. | 5 - 6 | 0.418 |
| 76 | 66 | Southern Methodist | 5 - 7 | 0.416 |
| 77 | 74 | Iowa St. | 3 - 8 | 0.413 |
| 78 | 84 | Maryland | 3 - 8 | 0.404 |
| 79 | 95 | Memphis | 2 - 9 | 0.385 |
| 80 | 70 | Bowling Green | 5 - 6 | 0.384 |
| 81 | 64 | Boston College | 4 - 7 | 0.369 |
| 82 | 100 | Utah St. | 3 - 8 | 0.367 |
| 83 | 92 | Illinois | 3 - 8 | 0.365 |
| 84 | 82 | Wake Forest | 3 - 8 | 0.362 |
| 85 | 71 | Tulsa | 4 - 7 | 0.361 |
| 86 | 83 | Northwestern | 3 - 9 | 0.358 |
| 87 | 91 | South Carolina | 1 - 10 | 0.357 |
| 88 | 77 | Clemson | 3 - 8 | 0.347 |
| 89 | 96 | New Mexico St. | 3 - 8 | 0.340 |
| 90 | 75 | Ohio | 5 - 6 | 0.340 |
| 91 | 85 | Rutgers | 5 - 6 | 0.335 |
| 92 | 94 | Pittsburgh | 2 - 9 | 0.328 |
| 93 | 97 | Navy | 3 - 8 | 0.328 |
| 94 | 86 | Boise State | 6 - 5 | 0.323 |
| 95 | 90 | Central Michigan | 6 - 5 | 0.322 |
| 96 | 103 | New Mexico | 3 - 9 | 0.312 |
| 97 | 89 | Northeast Louisiana | 5 - 6 | 0.302 |
| 98 | 106 | Eastern Michigan | 3 - 8 | 0.290 |
| 99 | 99 | North Texas | 3 - 8 | 0.287 |
| 100 | NA | Connecticut | 10 - 3 | 0.283 |
| 101 | 87 | San Jose St. | 4 - 8 | 0.278 |
| 102 | 98 | Akron | 4 - 7 | 0.268 |
| 103 | 81 | Army | 3 - 8 | 0.264 |
| 104 | 93 | Texas-El Paso | 3 - 8 | 0.258 |
| 105 | 105 | Arkansas St. | 4 - 8 | 0.257 |
| 106 | 102 | Cincinnati | 2 - 9 | 0.240 |
| 107 | 104 | Temple | 2 - 9 | 0.238 |
| 108 | 108 | SW Louisiana | 2 - 9 | 0.227 |
| 109 | 112 | Ball St. | 1 - 10 | 0.210 |
| 110 | 111 | Wild Card U. | 9 - 44 | 0.175 |
| 111 | 109 | Northern Illinois | 2 - 9 | 0.160 |
| 112 | 110 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 0 - 11 | 0.141 |
| 113 | 113 | Hawaii | 0 - 12 | 0.140 |
| 114 | 114 | Kent | 0 - 11 | 0.122 |
| 115 | 107 | Middle Tennessee St. | 5 - 5 | 0.112 |
| 116 | NA | Buffalo | 4 - 7 | 0.038 |
The following are the preseason power ratings for the various conferences:
| Conference | Power Rating |
|---|---|
| Big Ten | .644 |
| SEC | .625 |
| Pac-10 | .623 |
| Big Twelve | .611 |
| ACC | .564 |
| Big East | .489 |
| Mountain West | .485 |
| Conference USA | .439 |
| Independents | .385 |
| Big West | .384 |
| WAC | .353 |
| MAC | .348 |
Click here to send me feedback