ARGH NFL Game Predictions (1-4-04)

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of January 4, 2004. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

RAVENS 1 over Titans - total 47
COLTS 8 over Broncos - total 49
PACKERS 6 over Seahawks - total 48
PANTHERS 3 over Cowboys - total 34

Top three picks against the spread:

Colts -3
Seahawks +7
Panthers -3

Odds against winning the Super Bowl:

Patriots 1.8 to 1
Eagles 4.0 to 1
Chiefs 6.8 to 1
Rams 7.6 to 1
Colts 15.8 to 1
Packers 26.5 to 1
Titans 30.1 to 1
Panthers 41.2 to 1
Ravens 57.9 to 1
Seahawks 82.0 to 1
Cowboys 99.3 to 1
Broncos 105.4 to 1

Results for the ARGH NFL picks for the 2003 season:

	Last Week		Overall
Straight-up	12-4	.750	166-90	.648
Against the spread	5-11	.313	104-142-10	.426
Over-under	7-9	.438	134-117-5	.533
ARGH NFL Top Three Picks	1-2	.333	22-25-4	.471

Retrodictive standings determine how well the system reflects games that have already been played.

Retrodictive record: 188-68, .73438
Mean pointspread error: 9.8271
Bias toward home team: -0.20410
Mean squared error: 157.575

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