ARGH NFL Game Predictions (1-11-04)

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of January 4, 2004. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

PATRIOTS 7 over Titans - total 44
CHIEFS 3 over Colts - total 56
RAMS 5 over Panthers - total 45
EAGLES 6 over Packers - total 46

Top three picks against the spread:

Patriots -6
Colts +3
Panthers +7.5

Odds against winning the Super Bowl:

Patriots 2.1 to 1
Eagles 4.4 to 1
Chiefs 7.8 to 1
Rams 8.2 to 1
Colts 8.5 to 1
Packers 18.9 to 1
Titans 13.6 to 1
Panthers 20.6 to 1

Results for the ARGH NFL picks for the 2003 season:

	Last Week		Overall
Straight-up	3-1	.750	169-91	.650
Against the spread	4-0	1.000	108-142-10	.434
Over-under	1-3	.250	135-120-5	.529
ARGH NFL Top Three Picks	3-0	1.000	25-25-4	.500

Retrodictive standings determine how well the system reflects games that have already been played.

Retrodictive record: 189-71, .72692
Mean pointspread error: 9.8404
Bias toward home team: -0.26731
Mean squared error: 158.266

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