This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of September 6, 2014. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!


TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 3 over Arizona; total 57


Pittsburgh 5 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 54
NEVADA pick 'em over Washington State; total 60


WYOMING 6 over Air Force; total 58
PENN STATE 16 over Akron; total 53
MISSISSIPPI STATE 29 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 58
Arizona State 22 over NEW MEXICO; total 62
TENNESSEE 9 over Arkansas State; total 56
IOWA 12 over Ball State; total 54
TEXAS pick 'em over Brigham Young; total 53
Buffalo 2 over ARMY; total 56
PURDUE 2 over Central Michigan; total 56
Colorado 19 over MASSACHUSETTS; total 54
BOISE STATE 5 over Colorado State; total 56
Duke 18 over TROY; total 62
SOUTH CAROLINA 21 over East Carolina; total 60
FLORIDA 25 over Eastern Michigan; total 52
ALABAMA 26 over Florida Atlantic; total 54
UTAH 8 over Fresno State; total 60
Georgia Tech 6 over TULANE; total 57
LOUISIANA-MONROE 15 over Idaho; total 57
Kansas State 5 over IOWA STATE; total 56
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 20 over Louisiana Tech; total 59
Maryland 10 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 52
UCLA 26 over Memphis; total 54
NOTRE DAME 4 over Michigan; total 55
OREGON 9 over Michigan State; total 55
MINNESOTA 12 over Middle Tennessee State; total 54
Mississippi 13 over VANDERBILT; total 54
Missouri 3 over TOLEDO; total 61
Navy 12 over TEMPLE; total 55
New Mexico State pick 'em over GEORGIA STATE; total 58
NORTHWESTERN 4 over Northern Illinois; total 58
KENTUCKY 9 over Ohio; total 54
Oklahoma 20 over TULSA; total 57
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 3 over Old Dominion; total 64
Oregon State 18 over HAWAII; total 56
NORTH CAROLINA 17 over San Diego State; total 60
AUBURN 23 over San Jose State; total 59
KENT 3 over South Alabama; total 52
STANFORD 6 over Southern California; total 51
NORTH TEXAS 7 over Southern Methodist; total 54
Texas Tech 8 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 61
OHIO STATE 14 over Virginia Tech; total 53
ILLINOIS 5 over Western Kentucky; total 58

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:

More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted on the ARGH Power Ratings Facebook page

2013 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook):

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread15-23.39515-23.395
ARGH Picks3-3.5003-3.500

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team-2.92763
Mean error13.5461
Mean square error273.660

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