This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of September 14, 2013. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!


TEXAS TECH 3 over Texas Christian; total 60
ARKANSAS STATE 9 over Troy; total 61
LOUISIANA TECH 4 over Tulane; total 61


BOISE STATE 20 over Air Force; total 57


MICHIGAN 32 over Akron; total 59
Alabama 7 over TEXAS A&M; total 62
Ball State pick 'em over NORTH TEXAS; total 57
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 12 over Boston College; total 45
Bowling Green State 4 over INDIANA; total 62
PENN STATE 10 over Central Florida; total 48
Central Michigan pick 'em over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 60
RUTGERS 17 over Eastern Michigan; total 55
SOUTH FLORIDA 1 over Florida Atlantic; total 50
Fresno State 8 over COLORADO; total 66
WEST VIRGINIA 32 over Georgia State; total 53
DUKE 1 over Georgia Tech; total 58
Washington 14 over Illinois; total 56
IOWA STATE 3 over Iowa; total 48
RICE 17 over Kansas; total 56
LOUISIANA STATE 24 over Kent; total 53
WAKE FOREST 1 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 49
Louisville 10 over KENTUCKY; total 52
Marshall 2 over OHIO; total 60
Maryland pick 'em over CONNECTICUT; total 50
KANSAS STATE 28 over Massachusetts; total 53
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 13 over Memphis; total 56
TEXAS 8 over Mississippi; total 58
AUBURN 5 over Mississippi State; total 50
FLORIDA STATE 24 over Nevada; total 58
PITTSBURGH 17 over New Mexico; total 53
Northern Illinois 21 over IDAHO; total 56
Notre Dame 14 over PURDUE; total 49
Ohio State 16 over CALIFORNIA; total 57
UTAH 3 over Oregon State; total 60
ARKANSAS 24 over Southern Mississippi; total 54
Stanford 22 over ARMY; total 52
OREGON 22 over Tennessee; total 65
NEW MEXICO STATE 1 over Texas-El Paso; total 58
ARIZONA 18 over Texas-San Antonio; total 60
OKLAHOMA 17 over Tulsa; total 50
NEBRASKA 5 over UCLA; total 62
SOUTH CAROLINA 12 over Vanderbilt; total 53
EAST CAROLINA 1 over Virginia Tech; total 56
Western Kentucky 1 over SOUTH ALABAMA; total 56
NORTHWESTERN 31 over Western Michigan; total 59
ARIZONA STATE 3 over Wisconsin; total 55

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:

More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted on the ARGH Power Ratings Facebook page

2013 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook):

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread19-22.46341-45.477
ARGH Picks3-2.6007-4.636

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team-2.51744
Mean error10.2384
Mean square error161.647

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