These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of September 16, 2017. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 9-14-17
9/14
BOISE STATE 11 over New Mexico; total 59
9/15
Arizona 11 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 57
SOUTH FLORIDA 12 over Illinois; total 54
TEMPLE 13 over Massachusetts; total 52
9/16
MICHIGAN 20 over Air Force; total 57
Appalachian State 14 over TEXAS STATE; total 49
TEXAS TECH 4 over Arizona State; total 70
OHIO STATE 17 over Army; total 55
DUKE 12 over Baylor; total 58
NORTHWESTERN 18 over Bowling Green State; total 54
SYRACUSE 11 over Central Michigan; total 60
MIAMI, OHIO 3 over Cincinnati; total 48
Clemson 7 over LOUISVILLE; total 57
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 3 over Coastal Carolina; total 60
ALABAMA 22 over Colorado State; total 52
VIRGINIA 7 over Connecticut; total 47
WASHINGTON 20 over Fresno State; total 55
PENN STATE 25 over Georgia State; total 51
WESTERN MICHIGAN 13 over Idaho; total 57
AKRON 2 over Iowa State; total 60
OHIO 10 over Kansas; total 56
VANDERBILT 3 over Kansas State; total 51
MARSHALL 6 over Kent; total 57
SOUTH CAROLINA 4 over Kentucky; total 52
Louisiana State 4 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 53
WESTERN KENTUCKY 9 over Louisiana Tech; total 62
TEXAS A&M 17 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 65
MINNESOTA 10 over Middle Tennessee State; total 54
CALIFORNIA 3 over Mississippi; total 65
OLD DOMINION 2 over North Carolina; total 54
IOWA 20 over North Texas; total 59
NEBRASKA 14 over Northern Illinois; total 58
Notre Dame 6 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 51
Oklahoma State 9 over PITTSBURGH; total 59
Oregon 6 over WYOMING; total 62
WASHINGTON STATE 23 over Oregon State; total 65
MISSOURI 8 over Purdue; total 64
HOUSTON 16 over Rice; total 55
UTAH 18 over San Jose State; total 51
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 14 over Southern Methodist; total 61
Southern Mississippi 1 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 56
Stanford 6 over SAN DIEGO STATE; total 53
FLORIDA 2 over Tennessee; total 56
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 18 over Texas; total 63
Troy 3 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 55
OKLAHOMA 25 over Tulane; total 55
TOLEDO 8 over Tulsa; total 69
MEMPHIS 3 over UCLA; total 64
WAKE FOREST 12 over Utah State; total 53
Virginia Tech 19 over EAST CAROLINA; total 55
Wisconsin 13 over BRIGHAM YOUNG; total 43
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2017 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 32-14 | .696 | 68-23 | .747 |
| Against the spread | 22-24 | .478 | 43-47-1 | .478 |
| Over-under | 24-22 | .522 | 53-38 | .582 |
| ARGH Picks | 9-7 | .563 | 16-9 | .640 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 83-8 |
| Percentage | .91209 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.79945 |
| Mean error | 10.9588 |
| Mean square error | 191.865 |
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