This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of September 17, 2011. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

9/15
Louisiana State 8 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 56

9/16

Boise State 15 over TOLEDO; total 58
CONNECTICUT 4 over Iowa State; total 52

9/17

CINCINNATI 29 over Akron; total 57
ILLINOIS 6 over Arizona State; total 58
VIRGINIA TECH 22 over Arkansas State; total 53
CLEMSON 1 over Auburn; total 61
BALL STATE 3 over Buffalo; total 49
Central Florida 4 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 50
WESTERN MICHIGAN 4 over Central Michigan; total 49
Colorado State 1 over Colorado; total 50
BOSTON COLLEGE 10 over Duke; total 50
MICHIGAN 23 over Eastern Michigan; total 55
Hawaii 13 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 61
Houston 6 over LOUISIANA TECH; total 63
TEXAS A&M 28 over Idaho; total 55
GEORGIA TECH 10 over Kansas; total 64
KANSAS STATE 15 over Kent; total 50
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 23 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 54
KENTUCKY 10 over Louisville; total 45
OHIO 4 over Marshall; total 51
MINNESOTA 4 over Miami, Ohio; total 49
NOTRE DAME 4 over Michigan State; total 51
VANDERBILT 2 over Mississippi; total 54
SOUTH CAROLINA 22 over Navy; total 62
Nevada 15 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 57
ALABAMA 40 over North Texas; total 54
Wisconsin 17 over Northern Illinois; total 60
Northwestern 13 over ARMY; total 54
Ohio State 6 over MIAMI, FLORIDA; total 52
Oklahoma 4 over FLORIDA STATE; total 55
Oklahoma State 12 over TULSA; total 62
Penn State 6 over TEMPLE; total 49
IOWA 4 over Pittsburgh; total 54
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 14 over South Alabama; total 52
Stanford 7 over ARIZONA; total 55
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 12 over Syracuse; total 48
FLORIDA 9 over Tennessee; total 54
Texas 7 over UCLA; total 50
Texas Tech 20 over NEW MEXICO; total 55
NEW MEXICO STATE 2 over Texas-El Paso; total 54
ARKANSAS 23 over Troy; total 60
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 6 over Tulane; total 56
BRIGHAM YOUNG 5 over Utah; total 45
NORTH CAROLINA 7 over Virginia; total 53
NEBRASKA 10 over Washington; total 56
SAN DIEGO STATE 8 over Washington State; total 60
West Virginia 5 over MARYLAND; total 53
BOWLING GREEN STATE 4 over Wyoming; total 56



ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football. This week's picks are:

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted at Twitter

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2010 season (includes late picks posted on Twitter):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up36-10.80569-18.805
Against the spread23-21-2.34636-46-3.346
Over-under21-25.47439-45.474
ARGH Picks2-1.6672-1.667

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record78-9
Percentage.89655
Bias toward home team-1.45977
Mean error9.0690
Mean square error130.766

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