These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of September 23, 2006. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

**Please note that effective immediately I will no longer be able to comply with requests to send copies of these ratings out via e-mail. You can thank AOL's sledgehammer approach to spam prevention for this. I apologize for any inconveniences this may cause.**

9/21

GEORGIA TECH 11 over Virginia; total 39

9/22

NEVADA 4 over Northwestern; total 45

9/23

WYOMING 6 over Air Force; total 45

Alabama 3 over ARKANSAS; total 41

CALIFORNIA 4 over Arizona State; total 53

SOUTHERN METHODIST 6 over Arkansas State; total 41

BAYLOR 10 over Army; total 39

Boston College 10 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 46

AUBURN 28 over Buffalo; total 42

Central Michigan 8 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 49

VIRGINIA TECH 18 over Cincinnati; total 42

GEORGIA 19 over Colorado; total 34

INDIANA 3 over Connecticut; total 51

SOUTH CAROLINA 18 over Florida Atlantic; total 41

MARYLAND 18 over Florida International; total 44

BOISE STATE 15 over Hawaii; total 51

OREGON STATE 19 over Idaho; total 56

Iowa 12 over ILLINOIS; total 46

TEXAS 17 over Iowa State; total 50

BOWLING GREEN STATE 16 over Kent; total 50

FLORIDA 23 over Kentucky; total 50

TEXAS A&M 19 over Louisiana Tech; total 52

Louisville 6 over KANSAS STATE; total 52

TENNESSEE 17 over Marshall; total 50

SYRACUSE 11 over Miami, Ohio; total 42

OKLAHOMA 15 over Middle Tennessee State; total 41

PURDUE 1 over Minnesota; total 62

ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 9 over Mississippi State; total 38

CLEMSON 21 over North Carolina; total 54

AKRON 11 over North Texas; total 43

MICHIGAN STATE 1 over Notre Dame; total 54

MISSOURI 11 over Ohio; total 43

HOUSTON 2 over Oklahoma State; total 55

OHIO STATE 14 over Penn State; total 44

FLORIDA STATE 21 over Rice; total 46

KANSAS 1 over South Florida; total 49

Southern California 13 over ARIZONA; total 46

WESTERN MICHIGAN 23 over Temple; total 45

Texas-El Paso 6 over NEW MEXICO; total 52

NEBRASKA 16 over Troy; total 46

LOUISIANA STATE 25 over Tulane; total 46

NAVY 6 over Tulsa; total 49

UCLA 4 over WASHINGTON; total 49

Utah 5 over SAN DIEGO STATE; total 45

BRIGHAM YOUNG 21 over Utah State; total 46

Wake Forest 8 over MISSISSIPPI; total 40

Washington State 7 over STANFORD; total 52

West Virginia 12 over EAST CAROLINA; total 51

MICHIGAN 11 over Wisconsin; total 45

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.

ARGH Picks this week are:

- Buffalo +42.5
- Florida Atlantic +30
- Hawaii-Boise State under 64
- Middle Tennessee State +29
- Tulane +36
- Wake Forest +3
- Ohio +22

More picks may be added later as lines change.

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|

Last Week | Overall | |||

Straight-up | 40-10 | .800 | 119-25 | .826 |

Against the spread | 25-21-4 | .540 | 72-65-7 | .524 |

Over-under | 26-24 | .520 | 57-73-2 | .439 |

ARGH Picks | 1-1 | .750 | 3-1-1 | .700 |

ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
---|---|

Record | 131-13 |

Percentage | 0.90972 |

Bias toward home team | -0.38021 |

Mean error | 10.1198 |

Mean square error | 159.521 |

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