These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of September 23, 2017. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 9-22-17
9/21
SOUTH FLORIDA 16 over Temple; total 56
9/22
Utah 1 over ARIZONA; total 58
BOISE STATE 11 over Virginia; total 52
9/23
TROY 12 over Akron; total 50
Alabama 8 over VANDERBILT; total 43
NORTH TEXAS 7 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 62
SOUTHERN METHODIST 8 over Arkansas State; total 68
Army 4 over TULANE; total 52
Auburn 10 over MISSOURI; total 50
WESTERN KENTUCKY 5 over Ball State; total 51
CLEMSON 25 over Boston College; total 51
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 15 over Bowling Green State; total 53
MARYLAND 10 over Central Florida; total 63
NAVY 9 over Cincinnati; total 52
Duke 1 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 63
KENTUCKY 4 over Florida; total 46
BUFFALO 1 over Florida Atlantic; total 46
RICE 3 over Florida International; total 53
INDIANA 17 over Georgia Southern; total 53
Georgia State 4 over CHARLOTTE; total 50
WYOMING 3 over Hawaii; total 56
SOUTH ALABAMA 6 over Idaho; total 54
LOUISVILLE 25 over Kent; total 60
SOUTH CAROLINA 13 over Louisiana Tech; total 60
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 2 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 66
TENNESSEE 27 over Massachusetts; total 56
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 5 over Miami, Ohio; total 53
Michigan 10 over PURDUE; total 54
GEORGIA 7 over Mississippi State; total 54
WASHINGTON STATE 30 over Nevada; total 59
OHIO STATE 32 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 62
TULSA 10 over New Mexico; total 72
FLORIDA STATE 10 over North Carolina State; total 57
Notre Dame 6 over MICHIGAN STATE; total 54
EASTERN MICHIGAN 5 over Ohio; total 53
Oklahoma 27 over BAYLOR; total 61
VIRGINIA TECH 15 over Old Dominion; total 52
Oregon 11 over ARIZONA STATE; total 75
Penn State 5 over IOWA; total 50
GEORGIA TECH 10 over Pittsburgh; total 61
NEBRASKA 7 over Rutgers; total 55
San Diego State 6 over AIR FORCE; total 52
Southern California 9 over CALIFORNIA; total 61
LOUISIANA STATE 7 over Syracuse; total 51
Texas A&M pick 'em over Arkansas; total 55
OKLAHOMA STATE 6 over Texas Christian; total 63
HOUSTON 11 over Texas Tech; total 65
NEW MEXICO STATE 15 over Texas-El Paso; total 60
Texas-San Antonio 8 over TEXAS STATE; total 45
MIAMI, FLORIDA 8 over Toledo; total 61
STANFORD 9 over UCLA; total 63
Utah State 3 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 61
Wake Forest 1 over APPALACHIAN STATE; total 48
Washington 2 over COLORADO; total 51
West Virginia 13 over KANSAS; total 63
9/24
CONNECTICUT 9 over East Carolina; total 56
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2017 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 42-9 | .824 | 110-32 | .775 |
| Against the spread | 25-25-1 | .500 | 68-72-2 | .486 |
| Over-under | 16-35 | .314 | 69-73 | .486 |
| ARGH Picks | 3-6 | .333 | 19-15 | .559 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 133-9 |
| Percentage | .93662 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.06866 |
| Mean error | 10.3345 |
| Mean square error | 177.247 |
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