ARGH Game Predictions (Games of 9-24-05)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of September 24, 2005. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!


BOISE STATE 11 over Bowling Green State; total 65


UTAH 11 over Air Force; total 51
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 8 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 45


California 21 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 53
Iowa State 13 over ARMY; total 45


Arizona State 1 over OREGON STATE; total 65
ALABAMA 17 over Arkansas; total 56
CLEMSON 7 over Boston College; total 48
MIAMI, FLORIDA 9 over Colorado; total 46
VIRGINIA 24 over Duke; total 50
WEST VIRGINIA 24 over East Carolina; total 51
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 8 over Eastern Michigan; total 52
Florida 21 over KENTUCKY; total 50
ARKANSAS STATE 17 over Florida International; total 54
Georgia 9 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 43
VIRGINIA TECH 6 over Georgia Tech; total 44
Hawaii 4 over IDAHO; total 59
OHIO STATE 9 over Iowa; total 44
OHIO 5 over Kent; total 46
Louisville 6 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 54
Marshall 2 over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 48
WAKE FOREST 2 over Maryland; total 50
TULSA 5 over Memphis; total 53
WISCONSIN 9 over Michigan; total 50
Michigan State 11 over ILLINOIS; total 61
RICE 7 over Navy; total 59
COLORADO STATE 16 over Nevada; total 56
Nevada-Las Vegas pick 'em over UTAH STATE; total 49
TEXAS-EL PASO 1 over New Mexico; total 58
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 10 over North Carolina; total 50
KANSAS STATE 18 over North Texas; total 48
AKRON 1 over Northern Illinois; total 56
Notre Dame 11 over WASHINGTON; total 53
NORTHWESTERN 1 over Penn State; total 54
MINNESOTA 9 over Purdue; total 61
SAN DIEGO STATE 15 over San Jose State; total 56
Southern California 14 over OREGON; total 63
Southern Mississippi 1 over HOUSTON; total 58
LOUISIANA STATE 9 over Tennessee; total 44
BRIGHAM YOUNG 3 over Texas Christian; total 42
SOUTH CAROLINA 11 over Troy; total 45
SOUTHERN METHODIST 5 over Tulane; total 53
TEMPLE 5 over Western Michigan; total 62
Wyoming 1 over MISSISSIPPI; total 46

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season:

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread17-28-1.38059-75-3.442
ARGH Early Bird Picks3-01.0008-6.571
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks2-1.6674-1.800

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team1.14599
Mean error9.7701
Mean square error159.239

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