This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of September 24, 2011. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

9/22
CINCINNATI 9 over North Carolina State; total 65

9/23

Central Florida 1 over BRIGHAM YOUNG; total 44

9/24

ALABAMA 14 over Arkansas; total 53
EAST CAROLINA 15 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 59
BALL STATE 2 over Army; total 49
Bowling Green State 3 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 51
California 2 over WASHINGTON; total 64
MICHIGAN STATE 18 over Central Michigan; total 46
OHIO STATE 17 over Colorado; total 48
UTAH STATE 4 over Colorado State; total 52
Connecticut 7 over BUFFALO; total 46
PENN STATE 15 over Eastern Michigan; total 42
Florida 8 over KENTUCKY; total 44
AUBURN 30 over Florida Atlantic; total 58
CLEMSON 1 over Florida State; total 52
IDAHO 1 over Fresno State; total 55
Georgia 6 over MISSISSIPPI; total 57
Indiana 5 over NORTH TEXAS; total 59
MIAMI, FLORIDA 8 over Kansas State; total 46
Louisiana State 6 over WEST VIRGINIA; total 52
MISSISSIPPI STATE 19 over Louisiana Tech; total 58
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 17 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 55
IOWA 13 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 52
BOSTON COLLEGE 5 over Massachusetts; total 49
TROY 14 over Middle Tennessee State; total 58
OKLAHOMA 17 over Missouri; total 52
Nebraska 11 over WYOMING; total 59
TEXAS TECH 8 over Nevada; total 61
SAN JOSE STATE 1 over New Mexico State; total 48
GEORGIA TECH 3 over North Carolina; total 61
Notre Dame 5 over PITTSBURGH; total 54
RUTGERS 3 over Ohio; total 51
TEXAS A&M 3 over Oklahoma State; total 65
Oregon 13 over ARIZONA; total 61
BAYLOR 17 over Rice; total 60
MICHIGAN 13 over San Diego State; total 56
South Alabama 3 over KENT; total 42
Southern California 6 over ARIZONA STATE; total 52
Southern Methodist 16 over MEMPHIS; total 52
VIRGINIA 4 over Southern Mississippi; total 51
MARYLAND 6 over Temple; total 51
SOUTH FLORIDA 19 over Texas-El Paso; total 51
SYRACUSE 4 over Toledo; total 56
DUKE 1 over Tulane; total 55
BOISE STATE 23 over Tulsa; total 59
OREGON STATE 2 over UCLA; total 53
SOUTH CAROLINA 16 over Vanderbilt; total 58
Virginia Tech 16 over MARSHALL; total 48
ILLINOIS 14 over Western Michigan; total 52



ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football. This week's picks are:

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted at Twitter

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2010 season (includes late picks posted on Twitter):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up37-12.755106-30.779
Against the spread29-20.59265-66-3.496
Over-under26-23.53165-68.489
ARGH Picks0-0NA2-1.667

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record123-13
Percentage.90441
Bias toward home team-0.96507
Mean error9.5754
Mean square error156.361

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