These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of September 26, 2009. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
9/24
SOUTH CAROLINA 2 over Mississippi; total 50
9/25
Missouri 12 over NEVADA; total 55
9/26
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 12 over Akron; total 49
TEXAS A&M 15 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 55
OREGON STATE 5 over Arizona; total 45
GEORGIA 10 over Arizona State; total 55
ALABAMA 20 over Arkansas; total 59
IOWA STATE 8 over Army; total 45
AUBURN 26 over Ball State; total 49
Boise State 13 over BOWLING GREEN STATE; total 47
Buffalo 1 over TEMPLE; total 50
California 3 over OREGON; total 57
EAST CAROLINA 4 over Central Florida; total 47
BRIGHAM YOUNG 12 over Colorado State; total 51
Florida 12 over KENTUCKY; total 54
CINCINNATI 20 over Fresno State; total 61
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 9 over Idaho; total 49
OHIO STATE 13 over Illinois; total 48
MICHIGAN 9 over Indiana; total 51
PENN STATE 5 over Iowa; total 40
Louisiana State 8 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 46
NEBRASKA 15 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 49
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 4 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 56
UTAH 13 over Louisville; total 51
Marshall 1 over MEMPHIS; total 51
VIRGINIA TECH 9 over Miami, Florida; total 51
KENT 6 over Miami, Ohio; total 46
WISCONSIN 8 over Michigan State; total 54
Middle Tennessee State 7 over NORTH TEXAS; total 54
Minnesota pick 'em over NORTHWESTERN; total 52
Nevada-Las Vegas 4 over WYOMING; total 44
NEW MEXICO 9 over New Mexico State; total 45
North Carolina pick 'em over GEORGIA TECH; total 46
Notre Dame 5 over PURDUE; total 59
TENNESSEE 9 over Ohio; total 47
Pittsburgh 4 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 50
Rutgers 3 over MARYLAND; total 56
AIR FORCE 17 over San Diego State; total 52
FLORIDA STATE 6 over South Florida; total 55
KANSAS 11 over Southern Mississippi; total 54
CLEMSON 3 over Texas Christian; total 48
HOUSTON 3 over Texas Tech; total 62
TEXAS 27 over Texas-El Paso; total 55
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 2 over Toledo; total 58
ARKANSAS STATE 5 over Troy; total 50
Vanderbilt 6 over RICE; total 48
BOSTON COLLEGE 3 over Wake Forest; total 43
STANFORD 9 over Washington; total 52
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 24 over Washington State; total 48
NAVY 21 over Western Kentucky; total 49
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2009 season: | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 39-13 | .750 | 104-34 | .754 |
| Against the spread | 27-24-1 | .529 | 72-65-1 | .525 |
| Over-under | 23-28-1 | .452 | 73-63-2 | .536 |
| ARGH Picks | 1-2-1 | .375 | 7-10-1 | .417 |
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 119-19 |
| Percentage | .86232 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.29710 |
| Mean error | 9.7319 |
| Mean square error | 154.023 |
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