These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of September 27, 2014. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
9/25
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 16 over Appalachian State; total 61
OKLAHOMA STATE 15 over Texas Tech; total 65
UCLA 5 over ARIZONA STATE; total 61
9/26
Fresno State 6 over NEW MEXICO; total 73
OLD DOMINION 7 over Middle Tennessee State; total 68
9/27
PITTSBURGH 16 over Akron; total 52
Baylor 14 over IOWA STATE; total 61
Boise State 9 over AIR FORCE; total 55
Bowling Green State 15 over MASSACHUSETTS; total 67
TOLEDO 9 over Central Michigan; total 59
OHIO STATE 16 over Cincinnati; total 63
CALIFORNIA 11 over Colorado; total 64
BOSTON COLLEGE 6 over Colorado State; total 57
Duke 4 over MIAMI, FLORIDA; total 57
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 14 over Florida International; total 54
Florida State 9 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 57
NEBRASKA 20 over Illinois; total 66
Iowa 3 over PURDUE; total 48
VIRGINIA 22 over Kent; total 52
AUBURN 27 over Louisiana Tech; total 61
INDIANA 2 over Maryland; total 61
MISSISSIPPI 19 over Memphis; total 57
BUFFALO 19 over Miami, Ohio; total 60
MICHIGAN 3 over Minnesota; total 44
SOUTH CAROLINA 11 over Missouri; total 65
Nevada 2 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 52
SAN DIEGO STATE 10 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 55
LOUISIANA STATE 28 over New Mexico State; total 54
CLEMSON 10 over North Carolina; total 70
PENN STATE 14 over Northwestern; total 41
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 7 over Oregon State; total 50
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 1 over Rice; total 58
South Alabama 4 over IDAHO; total 55
WISCONSIN 19 over South Florida; total 52
Stanford 2 over WASHINGTON; total 51
Notre Dame 10 over Syracuse; total 48
Temple 4 over CONNECTICUT; total 47
GEORGIA 14 over Tennessee; total 59
Texas 6 over KANSAS; total 47
Texas A&M 15 over Arkansas; total 70
Texas Christian 13 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 51
TULSA 3 over Texas State; total 62
KANSAS STATE 16 over Texas-El Paso; total 55
Texas-San Antonio 6 over FLORIDA ATLANTIC; total 49
LOUISIANA-MONROE 19 over Troy; total 55
RUTGERS 18 over Tulane; total 57
KENTUCKY 14 over Vanderbilt; total 55
LOUISVILLE 16 over Wake Forest; total 46
UTAH 18 over Washington State; total 65
NAVY 13 over Western Kentucky; total 67
VIRGINIA TECH 18 over Western Michigan; total 58
MICHIGAN STATE 16 over Wyoming; total 51
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2014 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 33-13 | .717 | 138-42 | .767 |
| Against the spread | 26-20 | .565 | 78-99-2 | .441 |
| Over-under | 22-24 | .478 | 87-89-3 | .494 |
| ARGH Picks | 1-4 | .200 | 12-13-1 | .481 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 162-18 |
| Percentage | .90000 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.27222 |
| Mean error | 10.6944 |
| Mean square error | 183.068 |
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