ARGH Game Predictions (Weekend of September 29, 2007)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of September 29, 2007. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

9/27

ARKANSAS STATE 10 over Memphis; total 56
BOISE STATE 10 over Southern Mississippi; total 51

9/28

West Virginia 5 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 57

9/29

Air Force 2 over NAVY; total 53
CONNECTICUT 14 over Akron; total 45
Alabama 3 over Florida State; total 49
TULSA 20 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 63
Arizona State 18 over STANFORD; total 59
FLORIDA 21 over Auburn; total 58
TEXAS A&M 15 over Baylor; total 57
NEW MEXICO 2 over Brigham Young; total 53
BALL STATE 15 over Buffalo; total 57
OREGON 8 over California; total 68
Cincinnati 13 over SAN DIEGO STATE; total 55
Clemson 2 over GEORGIA TECH; total 55
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 12 over Colorado State; total 45
MIAMI, FLORIDA 20 over Duke; total 50
HOUSTON 17 over East Carolina; total 56
VANDERBILT 17 over Eastern Michigan; total 46
KENTUCKY 24 over Florida Atlantic; total 61
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 14 over Florida International; total 49
Hawaii 26 over IDAHO; total 70
IOWA 3 over Indiana; total 44
NEBRASKA 27 over Iowa State; total 54
TEXAS 20 over Kansas State; total 55
OHIO 5 over Kent; total 51
Louisiana State 31 over TULANE; total 51
FRESNO STATE 10 over Louisiana Tech; total 62
CENTRAL FLORIDA 29 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 61
TROY 20 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 68
Louisville 8 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 71
RUTGERS 17 over Maryland; total 51
Michigan 7 over NORTHWESTERN; total 47
WISCONSIN 10 over Michigan State; total 52
GEORGIA 18 over Mississippi; total 47
SOUTH CAROLINA 10 over Mississippi State; total 42
NEVADA 3 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 54
VIRGINIA TECH 20 over North Carolina; total 47
ARKANSAS 35 over North Texas; total 65
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 5 over Northern Illinois; total 58
PURDUE 25 over Notre Dame; total 57
Ohio State 25 over MINNESOTA; total 60
Oklahoma 13 over COLORADO; total 57
Penn State pick 'em over ILLINOIS; total 49
VIRGINIA 6 over Pittsburgh; total 40
Southern California 16 over WASHINGTON; total 59
MIAMI, OHIO 2 over Syracuse; total 52
ARMY 13 over Temple; total 47
Texas-El Paso 3 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 55
UCLA 2 over OREGON STATE; total 59
UTAH 16 over Utah State; total 43
Washington State 1 over ARIZONA; total 60
BOWLING GREEN STATE 1 over Western Kentucky; total 57
Western Michigan 2 over TOLEDO; total 73

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.

ARGH Picks this week are:

• Northwestern +17
• Colorado +24

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record	180-17
Percentage	.91371
Bias toward home team	-0.08249
Mean error	9.4378
Mean square error	147.229

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