This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of September 29, 2012. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!

Stanford 13 over WASHINGTON; total 50


BRIGHAM YOUNG 18 over Hawaii; total 53


Arizona State 7 over CALIFORNIA; total 56
TEXAS A&M 18 over Arkansas; total 60
Ball State pick 'em over KENT; total 60
WEST VIRGINIA 8 over Baylor; total 73
Boise State 16 over NEW MEXICO; total 49
CONNECTICUT 15 over Buffalo; total 50
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 8 over Central Michigan; total 57
Clemson 10 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 55
AIR FORCE 15 over Colorado State; total 56
WAKE FOREST pick 'em over Duke; total 60
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 10 over Florida International; total 62
Florida State 15 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 57
NORTH CAROLINA 29 over Idaho; total 54
NORTHWESTERN 16 over Indiana; total 55
Louisiana Tech 8 over VIRGINIA; total 65
Louisiana-Monroe 13 over TULANE; total 57
Louisville 16 over SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI; total 53
PURDUE 15 over Marshall; total 69
Miami, Ohio 4 over AKRON; total 63
GEORGIA TECH 23 over Middle Tennessee State; total 61
Minnesota 1 over IOWA; total 43
ALABAMA 29 over Mississippi; total 54
Missouri pick 'em over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 54
Nevada 14 over TEXAS STATE; total 66
UTAH STATE 20 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 49
MIAMI, FLORIDA 1 over North Carolina State; total 55
North Texas 4 over FLORIDA ATLANTIC; total 44
Ohio 28 over MASSACHUSETTS; total 53
MICHIGAN STATE 2 over Ohio State; total 44
Oregon 29 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 62
ARIZONA 1 over Oregon State; total 50
ILLINOIS pick 'em over Penn State; total 43
Houston 4 over Rice; total 70
FRESNO STATE 6 over San Diego State; total 63
San Jose State 3 over NAVY; total 54
South Carolina 18 over KENTUCKY; total 48
GEORGIA 17 over Tennessee; total 64
OKLAHOMA STATE 1 over Texas; total 72
Texas Christian 15 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 50
IOWA STATE 4 over Texas Tech; total 50
EAST CAROLINA 8 over Texas-El Paso; total 49
Texas-San Antonio 9 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 59
WESTERN MICHIGAN 2 over Toledo; total 54
Troy 6 over SOUTH ALABAMA; total 45
Tulsa 19 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 61
UCLA 25 over COLORADO; total 57
Virginia Tech 3 over Cincinnati; total 45
Western Kentucky 4 over ARKANSAS STATE; total 59
NEBRASKA 10 over Wisconsin; total 53

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football. This affects this week's Ball State-Kent State game, which will be considered a tie against the one point spread.

ARGH Picks this week are:

More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted at Twitter

2012 Results (includes late picks posted on Twitter):

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread29-20.59298-86.533
ARGH Picks4-2.6679-7.563

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team-0.08288
Mean error9.6535
Mean square error149.863

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