These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of September 29, 2018. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 9-28-18
9/27
MIAMI, FLORIDA 22 over North Carolina; total 59
9/28
Memphis 8 over TULANE; total 63
COLORADO 13 over UCLA; total 59
9/29
TEXAS A&M 18 over Arkansas; total 62
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 1 over Arkansas State; total 53
BUFFALO 6 over Army; total 54
OKLAHOMA 23 over Baylor; total 66
Boise State 12 over WYOMING; total 53
GEORGIA TECH 17 over Bowling Green; total 68
WASHINGTON 10 over Brigham Young; total 41
MICHIGAN STATE 24 over Central Michigan; total 48
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 10 over Charlotte; total 56
Cincinnati 18 over CONNECTICUT; total 64
TROY 9 over Coastal Carolina; total 65
MISSISSIPPI STATE 5 over Florida; total 55
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 1 over Florida Atlantic; total 70
LOUISVILLE 3 over Florida State; total 46
Hawaii 15 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 66
Indiana 13 over RUTGERS; total 53
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 5 over Iowa State; total 51
BALL STATE 5 over Kent State; total 54
NEW MEXICO 9 over Liberty; total 66
ALABAMA 41 over Louisiana; total 66
NORTH TEXAS 14 over Louisiana Tech; total 65
Louisiana-Monroe 6 over GEORGIA STATE; total 55
Marshall 6 over WESTERN KENTUCKY; total 51
OHIO 9 over Massachusetts; total 74
Michigan 8 over NORTHWESTERN; total 54
LOUISIANA STATE 17 over Mississippi; total 61
AIR FORCE 2 over Nevada; total 70
EASTERN MICHIGAN 9 over Northern Illinois; total 48
PENN STATE 3 over Ohio State; total 72
Oklahoma State 10 over KANSAS; total 57
EAST CAROLINA 3 over Old Dominion; total 58
CALIFORNIA 7 over Oregon; total 64
ARIZONA STATE 22 over Oregon State; total 64
CENTRAL FLORIDA 19 over Pittsburgh; total 61
Purdue 3 over NEBRASKA; total 56
WAKE FOREST 23 over Rice; total 66
APPALACHIAN STATE 18 over South Alabama; total 67
KENTUCKY 5 over South Carolina; total 51
Southern California 4 over ARIZONA; total 60
AUBURN 19 over Southern Mississippi; total 50
NOTRE DAME 4 over Stanford; total 46
CLEMSON 16 over Syracuse; total 62
BOSTON COLLEGE 12 over Temple; total 59
GEORGIA 26 over Tennessee; total 55
Texas 11 over KANSAS STATE; total 51
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 16 over Texas-El Paso; total 50
FRESNO STATE 8 over Toledo; total 69
WASHINGTON STATE 1 over Utah; total 52
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 5 over Virginia; total 50
DUKE 14 over Virginia Tech; total 56
TEXAS TECH 4 over West Virginia; total 70
Western Michigan 5 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 55
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2018 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 43-12 | .782 | 144-54 | .727 |
| Against the spread | 30-23-2 | .564 | 99-94-5 | .513 |
| Over-under | 27-27-1 | .500 | 108-87-3 | .553 |
| ARGH Picks | 3-2 | .600 | 13-11-1 | .540 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 180-18 |
| Percentage | .90909 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.90404 |
| Mean error | 10.2172 |
| Mean square error | 168.291 |
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