ARGH Game Predictions (Weekend of September 30, 2006)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of September 30, 2006. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!

Please note that effective immediately I will no longer be able to comply with requests to send copies of these ratings out via e-mail. You can thank AOL's sledgehammer approach to spam prevention for this. I apologize for any inconveniences this may cause.


Southern Mississippi 4 over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 45


Auburn 8 over SOUTH CAROLINA; total 35
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 12 over Brigham Young; total 42


Rutgers 1 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 39


Akron 2 over KENT; total 39
FLORIDA 12 over Alabama; total 38
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 3 over Arkansas State; total 39
UTAH 2 over Boise State; total 50
OHIO 10 over Bowling Green State; total 51
California 3 over OREGON STATE; total 56
KENTUCKY 6 over Central Michigan; total 52
MISSOURI 17 over Colorado; total 34
FRESNO STATE 8 over Colorado State; total 42
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 14 over Eastern Michigan; total 49
LOUISIANA-MONROE 12 over Florida Atlantic; total 46
Georgia 14 over MISSISSIPPI; total 38
VIRGINIA TECH 10 over Georgia Tech; total 38
MIAMI, FLORIDA 6 over Houston; total 50
Idaho pick 'em over UTAH STATE; total 44
MICHIGAN STATE 19 over Illinois; total 54
NEBRASKA 14 over Kansas; total 50
Kansas State 2 over BAYLOR; total 39
CLEMSON 26 over Louisiana Tech; total 56
CINCINNATI 13 over Miami, Ohio; total 41
Michigan 10 over MINNESOTA; total 50
NORTH TEXAS 2 over Middle Tennessee State; total 39
LOUISIANA STATE 19 over Mississippi State; total 36
CONNECTICUT 6 over Navy; total 43
Nevada pick 'em over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 50
AIR FORCE 8 over New Mexico; total 49
TEXAS-EL PASO 15 over New Mexico State; total 55
Northern Illinois 5 over BALL STATE; total 55
PENN STATE 14 over Northwestern; total 40
Ohio State 3 over IOWA; total 38
Oregon 2 over ARIZONA STATE; total 56
NOTRE DAME 19 over Purdue; total 64
ARMY 12 over Rice; total 45
SAN JOSE STATE 8 over San Diego State; total 45
Southern California 11 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 48
TULANE 2 over Southern Methodist; total 51
UCLA 20 over Stanford; total 50
VANDERBILT 21 over Temple; total 41
Tennessee 11 over MEMPHIS; total 49
TEXAS A&M 6 over Texas Tech; total 51
PITTSBURGH 12 over Toledo; total 59
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 4 over Troy; total 39
Virginia 3 over DUKE; total 32
ARIZONA 1 over Washington; total 41
Wisconsin 7 over INDIANA; total 42
SYRACUSE 8 over Wyoming; total 39

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.

ARGH Picks this week are:

More picks may be added later as lines change.

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season:

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread22-25-2.46994-90-9.510
ARGH Picks2-5.2865-6-1.458

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team-1.06736
Mean error10.1710
Mean square error171.063

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