These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of September 30, 2006. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Please note that effective immediately I will no longer be able to comply with requests to send copies of these ratings out via e-mail. You can thank AOL's sledgehammer approach to spam prevention for this. I apologize for any inconveniences this may cause.
9/26
Southern Mississippi 4 over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 45
9/28
Auburn 8 over SOUTH CAROLINA; total 35
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 12 over Brigham Young; total 42
9/29
Rutgers 1 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 39
9/30
Akron 2 over KENT; total 39
FLORIDA 12 over Alabama; total 38
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 3 over Arkansas State; total 39
UTAH 2 over Boise State; total 50
OHIO 10 over Bowling Green State; total 51
California 3 over OREGON STATE; total 56
KENTUCKY 6 over Central Michigan; total 52
MISSOURI 17 over Colorado; total 34
FRESNO STATE 8 over Colorado State; total 42
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 14 over Eastern Michigan; total 49
LOUISIANA-MONROE 12 over Florida Atlantic; total 46
Georgia 14 over MISSISSIPPI; total 38
VIRGINIA TECH 10 over Georgia Tech; total 38
MIAMI, FLORIDA 6 over Houston; total 50
Idaho pick 'em over UTAH STATE; total 44
MICHIGAN STATE 19 over Illinois; total 54
NEBRASKA 14 over Kansas; total 50
Kansas State 2 over BAYLOR; total 39
CLEMSON 26 over Louisiana Tech; total 56
CINCINNATI 13 over Miami, Ohio; total 41
Michigan 10 over MINNESOTA; total 50
NORTH TEXAS 2 over Middle Tennessee State; total 39
LOUISIANA STATE 19 over Mississippi State; total 36
CONNECTICUT 6 over Navy; total 43
Nevada pick 'em over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 50
AIR FORCE 8 over New Mexico; total 49
TEXAS-EL PASO 15 over New Mexico State; total 55
Northern Illinois 5 over BALL STATE; total 55
PENN STATE 14 over Northwestern; total 40
Ohio State 3 over IOWA; total 38
Oregon 2 over ARIZONA STATE; total 56
NOTRE DAME 19 over Purdue; total 64
ARMY 12 over Rice; total 45
SAN JOSE STATE 8 over San Diego State; total 45
Southern California 11 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 48
TULANE 2 over Southern Methodist; total 51
UCLA 20 over Stanford; total 50
VANDERBILT 21 over Temple; total 41
Tennessee 11 over MEMPHIS; total 49
TEXAS A&M 6 over Texas Tech; total 51
PITTSBURGH 12 over Toledo; total 59
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 4 over Troy; total 39
Virginia 3 over DUKE; total 32
ARIZONA 1 over Washington; total 41
Wisconsin 7 over INDIANA; total 42
SYRACUSE 8 over Wyoming; total 39
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.
ARGH Picks this week are:
The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Last Week | Overall | |||
Straight-up | 38-11 | .776 | 157-36 | .813 |
Against the spread | 22-25-2 | .469 | 94-90-9 | .510 |
Over-under | 25-23-1 | .520 | 82-96-3 | .461 |
ARGH Picks | 2-5 | .286 | 5-6-1 | .458 |
ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
---|---|
Record | 178-15 |
Percentage | 0.92228 |
Bias toward home team | -1.06736 |
Mean error | 10.1710 |
Mean square error | 171.063 |
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