ARGH Game Predictions (Games of 10-01-05)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of October 1, 2005. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!


FRESNO STATE 8 over Toledo; total 64


MIAMI, OHIO 9 over Cincinnati; total 50


COLORADO STATE 7 over Air Force; total 61


RUTGERS 6 over Pittsburgh; total 40


CALIFORNIA 22 over Arizona; total 51
Arkansas State 1 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 54
BOSTON COLLEGE 30 over Ball State; total 51
TEXAS A&M 16 over Baylor; total 59
Boise State 7 over HAWAII; total 58
SAN DIEGO STATE 4 over Brigham Young; total 55
WESTERN MICHIGAN 17 over Buffalo; total 46
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 6 over Central Florida; total 51
AKRON 16 over Central Michigan; total 56
Clemson 8 over WAKE FOREST; total 50
OKLAHOMA STATE 3 over Colorado; total 36
Connecticut 12 over ARMY; total 49
Florida 2 over ALABAMA; total 45
LOUISVILLE 29 over Florida Atlantic; total 54
TULSA 12 over Houston; total 58
IOWA 17 over Illinois; total 53
WISCONSIN 24 over Indiana; total 51
NEBRASKA 5 over Iowa State; total 37
TEXAS TECH 9 over Kansas; total 63
OKLAHOMA 7 over Kansas State; total 50
EASTERN MICHIGAN 10 over Kent; total 51
Louisiana State 6 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 44
MICHIGAN STATE 12 over Michigan; total 56
VANDERBILT 19 over Middle Tennessee State; total 41
PENN STATE 2 over Minnesota; total 58
TENNESSEE 16 over Mississippi; total 39
DUKE 5 over Navy; total 52
SAN JOSE STATE 2 over Nevada; total 57
WYOMING 24 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 47
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 7 over New Mexico; total 52
LOUISIANA TECH 17 over New Mexico State; total 51
PURDUE 6 over Notre Dame; total 60
Oregon 1 over STANFORD; total 57
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 18 over Rice; total 53
AUBURN 15 over South Carolina; total 46
MIAMI, FLORIDA 14 over South Florida; total 42
Southern California 9 over ARIZONA STATE; total 68
MARSHALL 7 over Southern Methodist; total 48
Southern Mississippi 5 over EAST CAROLINA; total 56
FLORIDA STATE 21 over Syracuse; total 43
BOWLING GREEN STATE 32 over Temple; total 66
Texas 16 over MISSOURI; total 61
Texas-El Paso 3 over MEMPHIS; total 55
NORTH CAROLINA 3 over Utah; total 49
Utah State 2 over IDAHO; total 47
Virginia 4 over MARYLAND; total 48
Virginia Tech 6 over WEST VIRGINIA; total 43
UCLA 30 over Washington; total 57
OREGON STATE 1 over Washington State; total 64

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season:

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread22-20.52481-95-3.466
ARGH Early Bird Picks3-01.00011-6.647
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks0-0NA4-1.800

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team1.07542
Mean error9.5056
Mean square error149.735

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