These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of October 1, 2005. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

9/27

FRESNO STATE 8 over Toledo; total 64

9/28

MIAMI, OHIO 9 over Cincinnati; total 50

9/29

COLORADO STATE 7 over Air Force; total 61

9/30

RUTGERS 6 over Pittsburgh; total 40

10/1

CALIFORNIA 22 over Arizona; total 51

Arkansas State 1 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 54

BOSTON COLLEGE 30 over Ball State; total 51

TEXAS A&M 16 over Baylor; total 59

Boise State 7 over HAWAII; total 58

SAN DIEGO STATE 4 over Brigham Young; total 55

WESTERN MICHIGAN 17 over Buffalo; total 46

LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 6 over Central Florida; total 51

AKRON 16 over Central Michigan; total 56

Clemson 8 over WAKE FOREST; total 50

OKLAHOMA STATE 3 over Colorado; total 36

Connecticut 12 over ARMY; total 49

Florida 2 over ALABAMA; total 45

LOUISVILLE 29 over Florida Atlantic; total 54

TULSA 12 over Houston; total 58

IOWA 17 over Illinois; total 53

WISCONSIN 24 over Indiana; total 51

NEBRASKA 5 over Iowa State; total 37

TEXAS TECH 9 over Kansas; total 63

OKLAHOMA 7 over Kansas State; total 50

EASTERN MICHIGAN 10 over Kent; total 51

Louisiana State 6 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 44

MICHIGAN STATE 12 over Michigan; total 56

VANDERBILT 19 over Middle Tennessee State; total 41

PENN STATE 2 over Minnesota; total 58

TENNESSEE 16 over Mississippi; total 39

DUKE 5 over Navy; total 52

SAN JOSE STATE 2 over Nevada; total 57

WYOMING 24 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 47

TEXAS CHRISTIAN 7 over New Mexico; total 52

LOUISIANA TECH 17 over New Mexico State; total 51

PURDUE 6 over Notre Dame; total 60

Oregon 1 over STANFORD; total 57

ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 18 over Rice; total 53

AUBURN 15 over South Carolina; total 46

MIAMI, FLORIDA 14 over South Florida; total 42

Southern California 9 over ARIZONA STATE; total 68

MARSHALL 7 over Southern Methodist; total 48

Southern Mississippi 5 over EAST CAROLINA; total 56

FLORIDA STATE 21 over Syracuse; total 43

BOWLING GREEN STATE 32 over Temple; total 66

Texas 16 over MISSOURI; total 61

Texas-El Paso 3 over MEMPHIS; total 55

NORTH CAROLINA 3 over Utah; total 49

Utah State 2 over IDAHO; total 47

Virginia 4 over MARYLAND; total 48

Virginia Tech 6 over WEST VIRGINIA; total 43

UCLA 30 over Washington; total 57

OREGON STATE 1 over Washington State; total 64

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

- Duke +6.5
- Florida Atlantic +39

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

- Kansas +19

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|

Last Week | Overall | |||

Straight-up | 29-13 | .690 | 132-47 | .737 |

Against the spread | 22-20 | .524 | 81-95-3 | .466 |

Over-under | 15-12 | .556 | 57-67-1 | .460 |

ARGH Early Bird Picks | 3-0 | 1.000 | 11-6 | .647 |

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks | 0-0 | NA | 4-1 | .800 |

ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
---|---|

Record | 162-17 |

Percentage | .90503 |

Bias toward home team | 1.07542 |

Mean error | 9.5056 |

Mean square error | 149.735 |

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