These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of October 1, 2011. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
9/29Houston 14 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 62
South Florida 9 over PITTSBURGH; total 57
9/30
BRIGHAM YOUNG 14 over Utah State; total 56
10/1
NAVY 3 over Air Force; total 58
EASTERN MICHIGAN 10 over Akron; total 46
Alabama 6 over FLORIDA; total 48
TROY 15 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 58
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 13 over Arizona; total 54
Arkansas State 16 over WESTERN KENTUCKY; total 51
SOUTH CAROLINA 15 over Auburn; total 66
OKLAHOMA 29 over Ball State; total 54
KANSAS STATE 1 over Baylor; total 59
WEST VIRGINIA 16 over Bowling Green State; total 60
TENNESSEE 20 over Buffalo; total 50
Cincinnati 20 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 59
VIRGINIA TECH 7 over Clemson; total 53
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 11 over Duke; total 53
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 21 over Florida Atlantic; total 57
Georgia Tech 10 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 67
LOUISIANA TECH 1 over Hawaii; total 62
VIRGINIA 13 over Idaho; total 53
OHIO 15 over Kent; total 50
LOUISIANA STATE 26 over Kentucky; total 47
LOUISVILLE 9 over Marshall; total 43
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 9 over Memphis; total 55
OHIO STATE 4 over Michigan State; total 44
MICHIGAN 28 over Minnesota; total 50
FRESNO STATE 7 over Mississippi; total 54
GEORGIA 5 over Mississippi State; total 57
WISCONSIN 3 over Nebraska; total 59
BOISE STATE 27 over Nevada; total 60
New Mexico State 4 over NEW MEXICO; total 55
North Carolina 3 over EAST CAROLINA; total 57
TULSA 20 over North Texas; total 60
Northern Illinois 4 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN; total 60
ILLINOIS 15 over Northwestern; total 48
Notre Dame 6 over PURDUE; total 48
ARIZONA STATE 19 over Oregon State; total 52
Penn State 16 over INDIANA; total 46
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 12 over Rice; total 55
SYRACUSE 2 over Rutgers; total 52
COLORADO STATE 10 over San Jose State; total 45
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 10 over Southern Methodist; total 57
Texas 7 over IOWA STATE; total 53
Texas A&M 4 over Arkansas; total 56
Texas Tech 10 over KANSAS; total 69
TEMPLE 10 over Toledo; total 51
Tulane pick 'em over ARMY; total 58
STANFORD 20 over UCLA; total 55
Wake Forest 3 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 51
UTAH 10 over Washington; total 58
COLORADO 1 over Washington State; total 59
CONNECTICUT 3 over Western Michigan; total 44
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football. This week's picks are:
ARGH Picks this week are:
| The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2010 season (includes late picks posted on Twitter): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 36-13 | .735 | 142-43 | .768 |
| Against the spread | 22-25-2 | .469 | 87-91-5 | .489 |
| Over-under | 26-23 | .531 | 91-91 | .500 |
| ARGH Picks | 3-1-1 | .700 | 5-2-1 | .688 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 170-15 |
| Percentage | .91892 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.41216 |
| Mean error | 9.4095 |
| Mean square error | 145.165 |
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