These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 1, 2016. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 9-30-16
9/29
HOUSTON 21 over Connecticut; total 46
TEXAS TECH 21 over Kansas; total 78
9/30
Stanford 1 over WASHINGTON; total 51
BRIGHAM YOUNG pick 'em over Toledo; total 49
10/1
Akron 8 over KENT; total 62
UCLA 10 over Arizona; total 53
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 1 over Arizona State; total 68
Baylor 21 over IOWA STATE; total 55
BOSTON COLLEGE 12 over Buffalo; total 43
EAST CAROLINA 4 over Central Florida; total 57
Eastern Michigan 7 over BOWLING GREEN STATE; total 69
Florida 12 over VANDERBILT; total 45
Florida Atlantic 5 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 58
NEVADA-LAS VEGAS 5 over Fresno State; total 65
APPALACHIAN STATE 18 over Georgia State; total 53
NEBRASKA 20 over Illinois; total 56
WEST VIRGINIA 6 over Kansas State; total 54
ALABAMA 33 over Kentucky; total 65
Louisiana-Lafayette 7 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 68
AUBURN 22 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 53
CLEMSON 9 over Louisville; total 65
PITTSBURGH 12 over Marshall; total 72
MISSISSIPPI 4 over Memphis; total 65
Miami, Florida 2 over GEORGIA TECH; total 49
Michigan State 3 over INDIANA; total 55
Middle Tennessee State 10 over NORTH TEXAS; total 61
Minnesota 2 over PENN STATE; total 59
LOUISIANA STATE 6 over Missouri; total 48
AIR FORCE 2 over Navy; total 56
Nevada 4 over HAWAII; total 61
FLORIDA STATE 9 over North Carolina; total 73
BALL STATE 16 over Northern Illinois; total 59
IOWA 6 over Northwestern; total 36
Notre Dame pick 'em over SYRACUSE; total 66
Ohio 12 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 60
Oklahoma 1 over TEXAS CHRISTIAN; total 66
Old Dominion 5 over CHARLOTTE; total 62
WASHINGTON STATE 1 over Oregon; total 73
COLORADO 15 over Oregon State; total 59
MARYLAND 9 over Purdue; total 59
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 26 over Rice; total 61
OHIO STATE 26 over Rutgers; total 59
San Diego State 11 over SOUTH ALABAMA; total 54
NEW MEXICO 7 over San Jose State; total 65
South Florida pick 'em over CINCINNATI; total 61
TEMPLE 10 over Southern Methodist; total 49
Tennessee 11 over GEORGIA; total 53
OKLAHOMA STATE 6 over Texas; total 69
Texas A&M 16 over SOUTH CAROLINA; total 46
LOUISIANA TECH 15 over Texas-El Paso; total 63
Troy 15 over IDAHO; total 63
Tulane 6 over MASSACHUSETTS; total 51
Utah 10 over CALIFORNIA; total 65
BOISE STATE 17 over Utah State; total 57
DUKE 12 over Virginia; total 54
Wake Forest 3 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 54
Western Michigan 7 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN; total 64
MICHIGAN 4 over Wisconsin; total 52
COLORADO STATE 6 over Wyoming; total 57
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2015 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 38-14 | .731 | 151-43 | .778 |
| Against the spread | 30-22 | .577 | 97-94-3 | .508 |
| Over-under | 22-29-1 | .433 | 94-98-2 | .490 |
| ARGH Picks | 5-5 | .500 | 14-19 | .424 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 178-16 |
| Percentage | .91753 |
| Bias toward home team | -1.46778 |
| Mean error | 10.0090 |
| Mean square error | 181.848 |
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