This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 3, 2009. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

9/30

LOUISIANA TECH 2 over Hawaii; total 54

10/1

WEST VIRGINIA 10 over Colorado; total 53
Southern Mississippi 12 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 60

10/2

Pittsburgh 6 over LOUISVILLE; total 55
BRIGHAM YOUNG 22 over Utah State; total 62

10/3

Air Force pick 'em over NAVY; total 49
Alabama 10 over KENTUCKY; total 51
IOWA 18 over Arkansas State; total 44
Auburn 1 over TENNESSEE; total 57
Central Michigan 12 over BUFFALO; total 53
Cincinnati 27 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 54
Clemson 10 over MARYLAND; total 51
IDAHO 2 over Colorado State; total 53
MARSHALL 4 over East Carolina; total 46
LOUISIANA-MONROE 11 over Florida International; total 56
BOSTON COLLEGE 6 over Florida State; total 48
Georgia Tech 4 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 48
Houston 14 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 59
Iowa State 2 over Kansas State; total 44
BAYLOR 16 over Kent; total 50
Louisiana State 1 over GEORGIA; total 52
CENTRAL FLORIDA 10 over Memphis; total 46
Michigan 3 over MICHIGAN STATE; total 58
Mississippi pick 'em over VANDERBILT; total 41
NEVADA pick 'em over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 52
TEXAS TECH 24 over New Mexico; total 51
SAN DIEGO STATE 8 over New Mexico State; total 45
WAKE FOREST 2 over North Carolina State; total 49
PURDUE 7 over Northwestern; total 61
BOWLING GREEN STATE 4 over Ohio; total 47
Ohio State 8 over INDIANA; total 45
Oklahoma 2 over MIAMI, FLORIDA; total 53
ARIZONA STATE 6 over Oregon State; total 48
Penn State 5 over ILLINOIS; total 42
South Florida 10 over SYRACUSE; total 49
Southern California pick 'em over CALIFORNIA; total 47
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 22 over Southern Methodist; total 53
Temple 1 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 50
Texas A&M 4 over Arkansas; total 62
Toledo 12 over BALL STATE; total 61
ARMY 5 over Tulane; total 49
Tulsa 14 over RICE; total 60
STANFORD 4 over UCLA; total 45
NORTH CAROLINA 15 over Virginia; total 43
Virginia Tech 16 over DUKE; total 49
NOTRE DAME 11 over Washington; total 52
OREGON 24 over Washington State; total 52
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 5 over Western Michigan; total 48
MINNESOTA 2 over Wisconsin; total 53
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 2 over Wyoming; total 47



ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football. This week's picks are:

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted at Twitter

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2009 season:

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up36-14.720140-48.745
Against the spread27-22-1.55099-87-2.532
Over-under23-27.46096-90-2.516
ARGH Picks5-2.71412-12-1.500

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record167-21
Percentage.88830
Bias toward home team0.19282
Mean error9.3285
Mean square error145.496

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