These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 4, 2008. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
9/30
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 4 over Florida Atlantic; total 45
10/1
BOISE STATE 19 over Louisiana Tech; total 51
10/2
Memphis 1 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 55
UTAH 13 over Oregon State; total 57
SOUTH FLORIDA 13 over Pittsburgh; total 51
10/3
Brigham Young 22 over UTAH STATE; total 58
Cincinnati 3 over MARSHALL; total 51
10/4
Akron 3 over KENT; total 49
CALIFORNIA 12 over Arizona State; total 53
TULANE 18 over Army; total 39
VANDERBILT 3 over Auburn; total 35
Ball State 17 over TOLEDO; total 68
Boston College 6 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 40
Connecticut 2 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 46
GEORGIA TECH 8 over Duke; total 46
BOWLING GREEN STATE 18 over Eastern Michigan; total 52
Florida 12 over ARKANSAS; total 56
Florida International 2 over NORTH TEXAS; total 56
Florida State 3 over MIAMI, FLORIDA; total 50
FRESNO STATE 19 over Hawaii; total 57
MICHIGAN 7 over Illinois; total 53
MINNESOTA 12 over Indiana; total 57
MICHIGAN STATE 8 over Iowa; total 40
Kansas 8 over IOWA STATE; total 54
ALABAMA 10 over Kentucky; total 44
LOUISIANA-MONROE 5 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 54
Maryland 8 over VIRGINIA; total 43
Missouri 6 over NEBRASKA; total 66
AIR FORCE 6 over Navy; total 51
Nevada 15 over IDAHO; total 69
Nevada-Las Vegas 1 over COLORADO STATE; total 53
TENNESSEE 7 over Northern Illinois; total 44
WESTERN MICHIGAN 13 over Ohio; total 51
WISCONSIN 3 over Ohio State; total 45
Oklahoma 17 over BAYLOR; total 60
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 8 over Oregon; total 59
Penn State 13 over PURDUE; total 60
TULSA 13 over Rice; total 79
WEST VIRGINIA 9 over Rutgers; total 42
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 22 over San Diego State; total 47
MISSISSIPPI 3 over South Carolina; total 40
CENTRAL FLORIDA 9 over Southern Methodist; total 58
NOTRE DAME 7 over Stanford; total 45
MIAMI, OHIO 4 over Temple; total 39
Texas 10 over COLORADO; total 54
OKLAHOMA STATE 22 over Texas A&M; total 61
Texas Tech 3 over KANSAS STATE; total 65
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 13 over Texas-El Paso; total 60
ARIZONA 17 over Washington; total 59
UCLA 12 over Washington State; total 59
VIRGINIA TECH 16 over Western Kentucky; total 46
NEW MEXICO 8 over Wyoming; total 43
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2008 season: | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 31-17 | .646 | 168-53 | .760 |
| Against the spread | 26-21-1 | .552 | 108-110-3 | .495 |
| Over-under | 31-17 | .646 | 124-87-7 | .585 |
| ARGH Picks | 1-0 | 1.000 | 10-7 | .588 |
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 191-30 |
| Percentage | .86425 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.29299 |
| Mean error | 10.7862 |
| Mean square error | 182.895 |
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