These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of October 4, 2014. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
10/2
OREGON 13 over Arizona; total 71
HOUSTON 3 over Central Florida; total 51
Florida Atlantic 3 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 49
10/3
Louisville 4 over SYRACUSE; total 48
FRESNO STATE 5 over San Diego State; total 61
BRIGHAM YOUNG 22 over Utah State; total 53
10/4
MISSISSIPPI 3 over Alabama; total 51
WESTERN KENTUCKY 15 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 73
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 13 over Arizona State; total 61
ARMY 3 over Ball State; total 55
Baylor 2 over TEXAS; total 58
NEVADA 4 over Boise State; total 47
BOWLING GREEN STATE 13 over Buffalo; total 78
WASHINGTON STATE 4 over California; total 76
AKRON 16 over Eastern Michigan; total 51
TENNESSEE 1 over Florida; total 55
Georgia Southern 14 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 62
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 19 over Georgia State; total 67
RICE 12 over Hawaii; total 56
TEXAS STATE 22 over Idaho; total 65
OKLAHOMA STATE 20 over Iowa State; total 60
WEST VIRGINIA 17 over Kansas; total 53
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 24 over Kent; total 54
AUBURN 11 over Louisiana State; total 56
ARKANSAS STATE 4 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 47
Marshall 10 over OLD DOMINION; total 68
MIAMI, OHIO 2 over Massachusetts; total 58
Memphis pick 'em over CINCINNATI; total 62
GEORGIA TECH 6 over Miami, Florida; total 57
RUTGERS 9 over Michigan; total 45
AIR FORCE 2 over Navy; total 55
Nebraska 1 over MICHIGAN STATE; total 66
SAN JOSE STATE 11 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 51
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 19 over New Mexico; total 59
CLEMSON 7 over North Carolina State; total 68
INDIANA 9 over North Texas; total 59
CENTRAL MICHIGAN pick 'em over Ohio; total 47
MARYLAND 2 over Ohio State; total 60
Oklahoma 9 over TEXAS CHRISTIAN; total 55
Oregon State 7 over COLORADO; total 59
VIRGINIA 7 over Pittsburgh; total 55
ILLINOIS 12 over Purdue; total 58
South Alabama 1 over APPALACHIAN STATE; total 47
South Carolina 2 over KENTUCKY; total 55
EAST CAROLINA 28 over Southern Methodist; total 61
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 18 over Southern Mississippi; total 61
NOTRE DAME 4 over Stanford; total 39
Texas A&M 1 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 63
KANSAS STATE 15 over Texas Tech; total 67
LOUISIANA TECH 10 over Texas-El Paso; total 63
Toledo 4 over WESTERN MICHIGAN; total 74
COLORADO STATE 18 over Tulsa; total 61
UCLA 21 over Utah; total 63
GEORGIA 28 over Vanderbilt; total 59
Virginia Tech pick 'em over NORTH CAROLINA; total 66
FLORIDA STATE 25 over Wake Forest; total 48
Wisconsin 3 over NORTHWESTERN; total 45
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2014 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 38-14 | .731 | 176-56 | .759 |
| Against the spread | 21-28-3 | .433 | 99-127-5 | .439 |
| Over-under | 26-25-1 | .510 | 113-114-4 | .498 |
| ARGH Picks | 5-9-1 | .367 | 17-22-2 | .439 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 198-34 |
| Percentage | .85345 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.40948 |
| Mean error | 10.5151 |
| Mean square error | 171.866 |
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