These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of October 6, 2012. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
10/4Arkansas State 1 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 62
CENTRAL FLORIDA 9 over East Carolina; total 46
Southern California 8 over UTAH; total 48
10/5
SYRACUSE pick 'em over Pittsburgh; total 55
BRIGHAM YOUNG 5 over Utah State; total 39
10/6
STANFORD 16 over Arizona; total 53
AUBURN 14 over Arkansas; total 54
Boise State 16 over SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI; total 46
Boston College 13 over ARMY; total 56
Bowling Green State 5 over AKRON; total 62
OHIO 24 over Buffalo; total 57
TOLEDO 14 over Central Michigan; total 61
RUTGERS 9 over Connecticut; total 35
Florida State 15 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 56
Fresno State 20 over COLORADO STATE; total 60
SOUTH CAROLINA 9 over Georgia; total 61
CLEMSON 21 over Georgia Tech; total 69
SAN DIEGO STATE 15 over Hawaii; total 68
WISCONSIN 11 over Illinois; total 46
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 7 over Iowa State; total 36
KANSAS STATE 28 over Kansas; total 50
Kent 13 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 55
FLORIDA 3 over Louisiana State; total 46
Louisiana-Monroe 3 over MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE; total 66
WESTERN MICHIGAN 23 over Massachusetts; total 55
CINCINNATI 17 over Miami, Ohio; total 55
PURDUE 2 over Michigan; total 59
Michigan State 12 over INDIANA; total 46
Mississippi State 11 over KENTUCKY; total 49
AIR FORCE 6 over Navy; total 55
OHIO STATE 12 over Nebraska; total 58
LOUISIANA TECH 37 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 72
New Mexico State 8 over IDAHO; total 60
HOUSTON 4 over North Texas; total 48
Northern Illinois 2 over BALL STATE; total 69
Northwestern pick 'em over PENN STATE; total 43
Notre Dame 18 over Miami, Florida; total 53
TEXAS TECH 5 over Oklahoma; total 55
Rice 10 over MEMPHIS; total 65
South Florida 2 over TEMPLE; total 48
Southern Methodist pick 'em over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 52
Texas A&M 9 over MISSISSIPPI; total 60
NEW MEXICO 8 over Texas State; total 60
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 30 over Tulane; total 57
Tulsa 10 over MARSHALL; total 80
UCLA 11 over CALIFORNIA; total 54
MISSOURI 11 over Vanderbilt; total 46
DUKE 13 over Virginia; total 61
NORTH CAROLINA 2 over Virginia Tech; total 51
MARYLAND 5 over Wake Forest; total 50
OREGON 18 over Washington; total 60
OREGON STATE 23 over Washington State; total 50
TEXAS 13 over West Virginia; total 76
NEVADA 24 over Wyoming; total 66
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2012 Results (includes late picks posted on Twitter): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 39-12 | .765 | 175-60 | .745 |
| Against the spread | 32-17-2 | .647 | 130-103-2 | .557 |
| Over-under | 28-23 | .549 | 112-119-2 | .485 |
| ARGH Picks | 2-0 | 1.000 | 11-7 | .611 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 213-22 |
| Percentage | .90638 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.06702 |
| Mean error | 9.3564 |
| Mean square error | 144.535 |
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